Entering the 2007 season, PECOTA listed Justin Masterson as, perhaps, Boston's second most valuable minor league pitching prospect, close behind Clay Buchholz. People laughed at Nate Silver's projection.
People are no longer laughing.
Clay Buchholz is doing well for a young rookie pitcher this year, but Justin Masterson is doing superbly well for a kid recently promoted from Portland to Pawtucket. In three emergency starts he's 2-0, his one loss coming when he held the Angels to one run in six IP on April 24, only to have the bullpen allow six runs and blow his lead. Masterson has provided the Red Sox with 91-95 quality pitches on demand, and that's enough to give a team of Boston's caliber a win most of the time.
Today Masterson faces the Mariners. He'll face a new challenge: the heat. It's already 85 degrees in Fenway as I type this, the wind gently blowing out to right field. By game time the ball will be flying out to the bleacher seats given a chance to take that ride, and Masterson will be trying to throw nearly 100 pitches in a heat index of nearly 100 degrees. Today we'll see what the kid is made of.
JD Drew is going to have to rise to the occasion today, both shagging deep fly balls around the treacherous corners of Fenway's right field warning track and hitting for power in the three spot. With Big Papi on the DL, JD Drew is Boston's left-handed power threat. Yesterday he filled that role, and Boston dominated Seattle. Today is another day, Bedard is a good LHP, and JD Drew is known for oscillations in his performance. Boston needs the All Star JD Drew on the field today--he's my player to watch for the game.
Game Time: 1:35 PM EDT Fenway Park
Weather: Sunny, with a high near 93. Wind out to CF between 9 and 15 mph.
Seattle:
Erik Bedard
LHP
(4-4) 4.47 ERA
Boston:
Justin Masterson
RHP
(2-0) 2.95 ERA