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a700hitter

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Everything posted by a700hitter

  1. Yes. It is great fun. If you get the chance to make the trip some day, you should take it.
  2. He has come in last place twice and the other season they lost 100 games. There are no excuses after 3 horseshit seasons not to play .500 ball this season. Wtf is he building Mt. Rushmore? He has a huge budget and an extremely loyal fan base. Its time to cut the BS excuses for this guy if this team doesn't play .500 this season.
  3. The old ballpark was in the poorer part of town. The new complex is closer to the airport and it is just fine. I stay on Fort Myers Beach and it is very nice down there. The traffic can be horrendous getting off the island on game days. I would advise staying down on the southern part of the island. It is a quicker exit off the island thru Bonita Springs and a faster ride to the ball park. Another option is to stay in Naples. The restaurants and beach are great over there.
  4. The Allure of the Cubs. This will have me laughing all day long.
  5. I like Porcello as a #3, but how will he do squaring off against King Felix or Chris Sale.
  6. We especially need 1 or 2 guys at 180 -200 innings to pick up the slack if Buch remains frail. Every year after he has stayed in the rotation for 170+ innings, his innings have fallen way off. Also, Masterson threw only 128 innings last year and hasn't thrown more than 126 innings. If some of these guys come up lame, the bullpen could be burned out by July. Last year, bot Lester and Lackey were putting up big innings. We should also not forget that 2014 was not an injury plagued year for Buch. He put up the second highest inning total in his career. He just stunk posting an ERA well over 5. I really don't know what people expect from him. I am not expecting much.
  7. They are comfortable with the rotation. I am not. Buch is in a contract year, so there is the hope that he has a big season.
  8. An argument that a bitter Mike Torrez made when cut by the Mets at a time when he had a 5+ ERA. "Where are they going to get someone to pitch 200 innings?" he asked.
  9. Plus, he will not get an easy out each time around the lineup. We gave up a better pitcher than him in Arroyo after 2005.
  10. I like it-- laptop.
  11. He doesn't throw hard and he doesn't have good secondary pitches. He will have to be very fine to be successful.
  12. They are not damned if they win. All that matters is the record. That is the only metric that means anything.
  13. "Partially correct"? The metrics show that I am right 98.6 percent of the time-- the same as human body temperature. LOL! Anyway, in matters of betting and setting odds, I defer to you, because you are very involved in that world. Me telling you about betting would be like me telling UN how to prepare mashed plantains.
  14. Yes, that is true. Keep in mind that the initial lines are established before bets are placed and they are established based on statistical projections. Once the money starts rolling in, the lines do adjust to hedge and spread risk, but another variable that you are ignoring is that sports bettors have a degree of knowledge about the sports. Many of them are experts. It is the betting of the experts that drives the lines, not the jagoffs that just bet their favorite team.
  15. Bitching and moaning is a lot easier to take if the team is winning.
  16. What BS are you going to come up with next? Are you going to try to tell me that my selection of the Super Bowl box with Pats 8 Seahawks 4 (winning me $4k) was not a result of my superior skill and knowledge. . I guess that it wasn't also skill the year that I picked the final score right on the head. Jeesh.
  17. Agreed. With a 162 game season, 4 wild card teams, and 3 post season rounds, it is almost impossible to be accurate with projections. However, the odds do reflect the conventional wisdom of the relative strength of the teams on paper at this point in time.
  18. preseason lines largely reflect the odds makers opinions on who will will. These are adjusted to reflect that certain teams do get a disproportionate amount of action. After the bets start rolling in, they do adjust for the bets taken to spread their risk. Keep in mind that sports bettors usually know something about the sport, so the odds do reflect conventional wisdom.
  19. Was that prior to the Nat's signing Scherzer?
  20. If an East Division team lands Shields, that might throw off the parity.
  21. The bitching shouldn't bother you. You can tune that out. You will not be able to ignore that we will be rolling out a mediocre pitcher to start 4 out of every 5 games. That should bother you.
  22. They are good enough to compete for the division: If Buch stays healthy If Masterson stays healthy and gets back 4 mph on his fastball. If Miley doesn't give up a couple of dozen HRs and can get his ERA below 4, and If Kelly can be more than a 5 inning pitcher. When you have this many "ifs," a few of them will not turn out well. When 2 or more don't happen, things tend to go south. So, I disagree that this rotation is good enough on paper to compete. They can compete "if" 4 of them can turn around last year's performances. When I start hearing, if, if, if, if, I think that means trouble.
  23. He might pitch below hois career norms at Yankee Stadium, but I am pretty sure that he would be an improvement over ther #4 and #5 guys thus improving their rotation. If the Yankees overpay for him, that is no comfort to me if he makes the Yankees better.
  24. Time will tell. On paper, it is not a very good rotation. Credit or blame should be reserved until we see how they perform.
  25. Fred, I think I would do it if that is all he wants. I have little faith in our prospects after what I witnessed in the last couple of years. I respect your player evaluations, which is the only reason that I am not gungho for this trade. Have you seen him play?
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