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a700hitter

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Everything posted by a700hitter

  1. a700hitter
    He doesn't throw hard and he doesn't have good secondary pitches. He will have to be very fine to be successful.
  2. a700hitter
    They are not damned if they win. All that matters is the record. That is the only metric that means anything.
  3. a700hitter
    "Partially correct"? The metrics show that I am right 98.6 percent of the time-- the same as human body temperature. LOL! Anyway, in matters of betting and setting odds, I defer to you, because you are very involved in that world. Me telling you about betting would be like me telling UN how to prepare mashed plantains.
  4. a700hitter
    Yes, that is true. Keep in mind that the initial lines are established before bets are placed and they are established based on statistical projections. Once the money starts rolling in, the lines do adjust to hedge and spread risk, but another variable that you are ignoring is that sports bettors have a degree of knowledge about the sports. Many of them are experts. It is the betting of the experts that drives the lines, not the jagoffs that just bet their favorite team.
  5. a700hitter
    Bitching and moaning is a lot easier to take if the team is winning.
  6. a700hitter
    What BS are you going to come up with next? Are you going to try to tell me that my selection of the Super Bowl box with Pats 8 Seahawks 4 (winning me $4k) was not a result of my superior skill and knowledge. . I guess that it wasn't also skill the year that I picked the final score right on the head. Jeesh.
  7. a700hitter
    Agreed. With a 162 game season, 4 wild card teams, and 3 post season rounds, it is almost impossible to be accurate with projections. However, the odds do reflect the conventional wisdom of the relative strength of the teams on paper at this point in time.
  8. a700hitter
    preseason lines largely reflect the odds makers opinions on who will will. These are adjusted to reflect that certain teams do get a disproportionate amount of action. After the bets start rolling in, they do adjust for the bets taken to spread their risk. Keep in mind that sports bettors usually know something about the sport, so the odds do reflect conventional wisdom.
  9. a700hitter
    Was that prior to the Nat's signing Scherzer?
  10. a700hitter
    If an East Division team lands Shields, that might throw off the parity.
  11. a700hitter
    The bitching shouldn't bother you. You can tune that out. You will not be able to ignore that we will be rolling out a mediocre pitcher to start 4 out of every 5 games. That should bother you.
  12. a700hitter
    They are good enough to compete for the division: If Buch stays healthy If Masterson stays healthy and gets back 4 mph on his fastball. If Miley doesn't give up a couple of dozen HRs and can get his ERA below 4, and If Kelly can be more than a 5 inning pitcher. When you have this many "ifs," a few of them will not turn out well. When 2 or more don't happen, things tend to go south. So, I disagree that this rotation is good enough on paper to compete. They can compete "if" 4 of them can turn around last year's performances. When I start hearing, if, if, if, if, I think that means trouble.
  13. a700hitter
    He might pitch below hois career norms at Yankee Stadium, but I am pretty sure that he would be an improvement over ther #4 and #5 guys thus improving their rotation. If the Yankees overpay for him, that is no comfort to me if he makes the Yankees better.
  14. a700hitter
    Time will tell. On paper, it is not a very good rotation. Credit or blame should be reserved until we see how they perform.
  15. a700hitter
    Fred, I think I would do it if that is all he wants. I have little faith in our prospects after what I witnessed in the last couple of years. I respect your player evaluations, which is the only reason that I am not gungho for this trade. Have you seen him play?
  16. a700hitter
    He has no leverage at this point. Pitchers and catchers are reporting in less than 2 weeks. He can probably be had at a reasonable price and length of years. I can't stand this " young controllable arms" idea. Our young controllable arms from last year -- Webster, De La Rosa, and Renaudo have all been jettisoned. I really don't expect the group coming behind them is much better. Porcello is a 1 year deal. So is Masterson. Buch's contract is up this season too
  17. a700hitter
    Narrative? Are you employed by MSNBC? I for one am looking forward. This staff is not formidable at all and it could be very meh. Lester pitches for the Cubs. Whether they wanted him back or not is irrelevant, but it would have been a much stronger staff with him.
  18. a700hitter
    Whether they intended to not resign Lester or they just botched and misread the situation, their current staff is collection of mediocrity, underachievers, and hopeful comebacks. They will need a lot to go right for this staff to be productive. Whether you ascribe incompetence to their negotiations with Lester or are convinced that his leaving was an execution of their plan, the staff is very questionable and it could turn into a s*** sandwich. The only saving grace is that no AL east team has a strong staff. The O's are mediocre but with more depth. The Yankees is potentially very strong depending on the health of CC, Tanaka and Pineda. Injuries like last year could devastate them. If the Blue Jays land Shields and Soriano to close, they could cause some problems for us. Their lineup is as deep as ours.
  19. a700hitter
    I won't speak for others, but other regular posters who bring knowledge and who contribute positively to the discourse have had problems with him.
  20. a700hitter
    Did you read UN s post about me. I don't even read that prick's posts and he is blaming me for this thread? Come on, the guy is a cancer. I will reiterate. There were almost no dustups while he was gone. Now, it is a common occurrence. Do the math.
  21. a700hitter
    You would be right in calling me biased in favor of iortis. That would not be stupid, nor is it stupid or unfair for me to observe that you favor UN. I don't see UN's cheap shots unless someone quotes them. MVP has been directing less cheap shots my way for some time now --that has not been a problem for me lately. So, I don't know what salt I am rubbing into what wounds. Finally, I am not going to take cheap shots from anyone... ever without responding. I was not a participant in this skidmish. It was childish, and it needs to be stopped. That is the extent of my involvement.
  22. a700hitter
    YOTN is on. It is in his hands now.
  23. a700hitter
    It takes 2 to tango, and in this case, three people are dancing. You think it is iortiz, because UN is a friend of yours. I see that this site was almost entirely peaceful until "the juggernaut" returned from hiatus. That's just a fact. Now, we are having this crap on a weekly basis, and there is one common participant to all of the skirmishes.
  24. a700hitter
    And let UN handle himself. I have him on ignore to avoid this crap. Please, don't help spread his crap.
  25. a700hitter
    Not the same thing. You are acting like a moron in this thread. You excoriated me for stepping in to defend iortiz not too long ago. You raged on about him being able to defend himself. But here you are being the cowardly third man in defending the big fat juggernaut, i.e. UN. Can't he defend himself? Calm down. Read your posts tomorrow and hopefully you will realize what a jackass you are making of yourself.
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