Often times velocity doesn't return after it is lost due to injury or merely wear and tear. If they merely expected it to return, they didn't do their homework.
With regard to Porcello, I thought he was a solid acquisition and thought him to be a solid 3 with a potential to be a 2. What I thought was a mistake was paying him on a 4 year contract like he is an established 1/2 when he is still a potential 2. If you are going to use my arguments in making your points, if you get my opinions and statements wrong, it detracts from your argument.