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a700hitter

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Everything posted by a700hitter

  1. "Noise in the data" -- I think that is a good description.
  2. As for the 2006 Cardinals, the NY Mets gave away probably 2 games in their playoff series. The Mets were clearly the more talented team, but they played very poorly. It wasn't the result of a couple of lousy bounces. The Mets made some very bad plays and their manager made some very poor decisions. As for the example of Damon and Ortiz, having bad series. It wasn't because the slumps randomly appeared. Pitchers in those series saw that they could be successfully pitched to in a certain manner and they executed the pattern over and over and the hitters took some time to adjust. I will guarantee you that they were not getting them out with fastballs down the middle and they were just randomly getting themselves out.
  3. Betting odds in any sport are not true or accurate probabilities. For example, the slowest horse in a race that has no chance of winning doesn't go off at 1 million to 1. They set the odds in a manner to encourage betting and then as the money comes in on a race or any athletic contest, the odds are adjusted to reflect the distribution of the money bet. They do not reflect an accurate mathematical probability of winning. I am not an odds-maker, and other people like iortiz are more knowledgeable about this aspect of sports, but trying to connect betting odds to mathematical probability is fallacious.
  4. This is truly silly, but to each his/her own.
  5. Morton is in his mid 30's. I would only give him a 1 or 2 year deal. No to Gio. He sucks. No to Cody Allen unless he is half the price of Kimbo. Allen is just as big a heart attack as Kimbrel, and not nearly as good. No to Chavez. He's a bag of garbage.
  6. What I like most about Cora is how he is on top of every aspect of what is going on o the field. Even when he is discussing something with his bench coach, he is still watching the field. I don't like managers who are flipping through charts and graphs in the dugout. Cora does his data homework before the game starts, so he is prepared to do his job properly from the dugout by watching the game. I can't remember having such a high opinion of any Red Sox manager, and I loved Tito.
  7. You guys are the best mods. There is no doubt about that. You are a big part of why so many of us have come here for so many years. When I started posting here, Yeszir and Youk still had pimples. Your patience is a also big reason why so many of us are still allowed to post here. I vote that the salaries of the mods be doubled. I would decree the salary increase as King of TalkSox, but it is only a ceremonial self-anointed position. Thus, any decree would have no effect.
  8. That is so great that you got to see the clinching game. I had that experience in Boston in 2013 -- game 6. It is such a great experience. Game 5 this year was much like game 6 in 2013 in that the Sox took the lead early and there really was no stress as the pitching just shut them down. It was almost as if we had the game in hand from the first inning. It is a once in a lifetime experience to see your team clinch a World Championship in person. Luckily for you the opponent was the Dodgers and not the Brewers as a trip to Milwaukee would have been much more difficult four you.
  9. I am glad that you don't teach geography. Puerto Rico is not a country.
  10. He's toast, and he can no longer do the one thing that made him valuable -- steal bases.
  11. That would be great. I usually finalize my plans in the first week of December immediately after the ST tickets go on sale. Which World Series game(s) did you attend? It seemed like there were a lot of Red Sox fans at Dodgers Stadium.
  12. I have to confess that I enjoy three consecutive Division championships and a World championship so much more than 3 last place finishes. Those were horrible summers. Three consecutive Division Championships has been really sweet. It is something that no Red Sox fan has seen, even if they are 100+ years old. That's a lot of winning and great baseball.
  13. I can understand that they want night games during the weekdays to increase the TV audience, but I don't get the reason for weekend night games. Are they so afraid that college football and the NFL will eat into the ratings? I think that assumption might be mistaken, and the day games would help draw in young kids as fans. I understand greed in business, but stupid short-sighted greed disgusts me.
  14. The games start too late and last too long. They have probably lost out on 2 generations of kids becoming fans as a result. Why not play afternoon games on Saturday and Sunday?
  15. All that I have to say about the Dodgers is what Cora said about the Yankees, “suck on it!”
  16. That was great! The hatred is coming back to the rivalry. I love it.
  17. It’s official. He is not opting out.
  18. he is a very good PH, but a terrible second half player.
  19. I disagree. If he is worth more than his current contract, then the Red Sox hold an undervalued asset. Why would we want to lose an undervalued asset? If he is not worth his current contract, then he will not opt out. There is just no economic logic to hoping that he opts out.
  20. But he has been pretty darn good during his tenure, and people have been rooting for an opt out since day 1. I never understood the logic.
  21. But Theo got him back when he went to the Cubbies.
  22. And he seems to be very happy with his team mates and manager.
  23. Price in Boston in 480 IP in 3 years: [TABLE=class: Row_summable sortable stats_table now_sortable] [TR] [TD=class: Right, bgcolor: #FFFF88]39 W[/TD] [TD=class: Right, bgcolor: #FFFF88]19 L[/TD] [TD=class: Right, bgcolor: #FFFF88].672 W%[/TD] [TD=class: Right, bgcolor: #FFFF88]3.74 ERA[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] And this is with losing almost a whole year to injury. I'll take it.
  24. We just need to keep him away from Pablo in the offseason.
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