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a700hitter

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Everything posted by a700hitter

  1. Statistically speaking, the old guy's ability to use statistics in an argument about statistics has been statistically under-rated.
  2. This is a legitimate point, however, the percentage drop off by AGon and Crawford is almost identical -- about 16%. Agon's drop off is slightly over 16% and Crawford's is about .4 less than 16%.
  3. The issue is not who is the better offensive player. Clearly AGon is hands down. Not only is this not an apples to apples comparison. It is not the issue at all. The issue is whether Crawford has platoon issues. You have raised this before he even signed. I did not bring AGon's stats into this to compare the two players. I brought AGon's stats into it to demonstrate that the lefty-righty split differential that Crawford has is indicative of nothing. You are straying from the point. This is not an AGon vs. Crawford comparison. There is no comparison between the two players in any aspect of their games.
  4. But .779 is far below the career OPS splits against lefties for such superstars as Jonny Gomes (.883) and Cody Ross (.945). Should the Sox obtain one of them to platoon with AGon? That would be preposterous. It is also preposterous to say that Crawford should not have been signed because of his problems against lefties. I'm pretty sure Theo checked the splits before he cut the check.
  5. They are different types of hitters. The fact is that there is more of a drop off in OPS for AGon against lefties than for Crawford. That's just a fact. You are not comparing apples to apples. Clearly, 2010 was the outlier for AGon when his left OPS split exceeded his righty OPS. This season the differential is about 300 points.
  6. And that can be accounted for by the fact that AGon is clearly the superior power hitter. AGon is the better offensive player, and he makes more money to prove it. Who is better is not the issue. The issue is whether Crawford (a great offensive player in his own right) has platoon issues. Facts are facts and the stats show that over his career Crawford's lefty-righty OPS split has a smaller differential than AGon's differential.
  7. ..and sandwiching him between Varitek and Sutton makes no sense at all. He's not the most patient hitter to begin with. What kind of pitches do you think he will see with those two hitting around him?
  8. The difference in AGon's career splits vs. righties and lefties is 149 pts while Crawford's differential is only 127 points. Who has the platoon issue? Also, AGon had a suckass .675 OPS against lefties in 2008. They are both great offensive players. AGon is a power guy and Crawford is a speed guy, but both of them are great offensive players.
  9. Is this trend based on less than 60 ABs. His 2009 and 2010 OPS against lefties were higher than his career average, so one could argue that the trend is going in the right direction.
  10. He has less than 60 ABs against lefties this season and almost 1700 career ABs against lefties. Do you think this might be too small of a sample size to make a Rey Ordonez comparison?
  11. He has more HRs at Fenway than at Yankee Stadium, and his OPS at Fenway is only a few points below what it was at the old Yankee Stadium which had much more favorable dimensions for a lefty than Fenway.
  12. I'm not worrying about a guy with Crawford's skills, work ethic and resume who is entering his prime.
  13. He had a terrible April, but so did almost the whole team. May has been getting much better, and he has 6 steals not 2.
  14. That was the challenge that he had to overcome to get to this level. It looked like he had harnessed his stuff in 2009, but he has slid back a bit.
  15. A 1 run game against a hot team is not the time to adhere to this pitch count theory. They should have discussed it in the dugout and agreed to limit his pitches in his next start. That being said, they should have been able to rely on Bard. It's not like they replaced him with the likes of Atchinson. He went to one of his horses, but the horse spit the bit.
  16. When Papelbon was at Bard's stage of his career, he was a total shutdown reliever. It surprises me that fans are so willing to let the FO take a pass on a guy like Papelbon who, with the exception of 2010, has been consistently excellent. He's only 30 with plenty of life left in his arm and he is showing the ability to make necessary adjustments by integrating more secondary pitches. I like Bard's power arm, but I still only trust Papelbon to lock down the wins.
  17. f*** Bard. 0-4. Ridiculous.
  18. Lowrie is clutch and Bard will never replace Papelbon. Never.
  19. I really didn't think he was capable of competing like this. He kept his pitches down tonight.
  20. Who was the idiot that deflected that foul pop away from AGon?
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