The 5th guy needs to be a good established starter-- not great. He needs to be a guy capable of taking the ball every 5th day and giving the team a chance to win and not missing a significant number of starts. Caros Silva and Padilla and Cook don't meet these requirements. If we start out with them in the rotation, if bard has a hiccup at the beginning of the season, a tremendous strain will immediately be put on the bull pen. Also, I think you are not giving enough of analysis to the effect on the pen of moving bard to the rotation. I think most of us are around the middle of the spectrum where the overall pitching in 2012 will be around the same as last year if we don't add another starter. If we add a starter, it should be markedly improved. We don't need to spend mega-millions.