Okay, the season starts tomorrow. Here are my predictions:
First out of the box, this team will finish last for the second year in a row, possibly 4th place if one of the other teams blows up. You don't replace Josh Beckett with Ryan Dempster on a bottom 3 starting pitching staff on a last place team and your team will not improve appreciably.
Lester and Buccholz should rebound and pitch well.
Lackey, at best, will return to his 2010 performance level.
Dempster will pitch to a 4.50 ERA and a .500 record.
The starting staff will improve from a bottom 3 staff to a middle of the pack staff -- a little below the middle. I expect them to start well but an injury or 2 will hit and the lack of depth will cause the pitching to spiral downward and it will burn out the bullpen by the middle of August.
The end of game bullpen will be much improved from last year's terrible showing. It will finish in the top half of the league. It will be in the top 3 earlier in the year, but injuries to the starting staff and a lack of adequate depth will stress the pen and hurt their performance.
The staff will perform much worse pitching to Salty than our other catchers.
Ortiz will miss significant playing time and the offense will have trouble scoring runs.
Middlebrooks hits 25 HRs and knocks in 90 runs.