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ORS

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Everything posted by ORS

  1. I didn't say they were both over .360, I said he's put up an OBP of around .360 over the last two years, ie, "combined".....larger sample sizes being more relevant and whatnot.
  2. No, because there is value in having Youk/Gonzo up with people on base. Ellsbury has been inconsistent in that regard. His speed is an asset, but that asset is inconsequential when he's not on base. Crawford has been in the .360 range over the last two full seasons, so he can be the busboy (table setter). Ellsbury can join him up there when/if he improves and gets on more consistently.
  3. What exactly has Ellsbury done to warrant getting more at-bats than someone like Kevin Youkilis, Adrian Gonzalez, or David Ortiz? You guys realize that is what's happening, over the course of a full season, if you stubbornly put him at the top because he's fast? He needs to be closer to the bottom of the order, IMO.
  4. One without Yamaico Navarro, Che-Hsuan Lin (sp?), Nick Green, or Daniel Nava in it. EDIT: Seriously, though. Guys who can get on without very good power at the top, followed by guys with power who can get on, followed by guys with power who can't get on, followed by those middle of the field types who can do neither.
  5. I'm Doppelbock.
  6. In. My thoughts: Don't use SLG, as it doesn't account for actual time on the field. Total Bases would be better. If you combine it with OBP, you have the two stats for the first rudimentary Runs Created metric. I think we should go with.... Offense: Runs, RBI, SB, TB, OBP Pitching: QS, NetSV, K, ERA, WHIP No to Wins, IMO. Nothing more frustrating to lose in the W category one week because a guy got shelled but got the W because the other pitcher just sucked worse....or, alternatively, because your guy pitched well but the offense didn't support him. Anyway, whatever we choose, I'm game.
  7. You may have read it, but, like the writer, you failed to connect the dots. If HGH makes one more youthful, and the greatest common denominator for declining athletes is advanced age, then it stands to reason there's something helpful that comes from HGH use. Furthermore, while there wasn't an agreement with the MLBPA, one that scheduled the penalties for banned substance use, until 2003, in 1991 Giamatti issued a memo from the commissioners desk that said it was against league policy to use any controlled substance without the appropriate prescription. Technically, the use of controlled substances has been "against the rules" since then.
  8. While I acknowledge that you were joking, the fact that he's only 17 makes that joke fall a little flat on its face. He was 10 when they won it the first time....in his life. Just saying.
  9. That's a bit much. While those cities are stuggling right now to transition from their primary industry, what they have, and what will be appealing to other industries, is infrastructure and a deep labor pool. They'll come back.
  10. O/T, but I don't see the change being keeping the supplemental pick and eliminating the loss of the 1st round pick, not for type A's. That would eliminate the penalty of acquiring the best FA, which would only incentivize the haves taking more and more....whereas now, most of the big market teams put some thought into the loss of their 1st round pick. I think the draft pick exchange still occurs, and the supplemental pick goes away. Again, this is for type A's. For type B's, I think they keep the status quo to appease the MLBPA, so that these type of marginal players don't have the stigma of losing a pick hanging over their heads. I think the era of teams getting better on the roster and in the draft at the same time goes away via the elimination of the type A supplemental pick.
  11. Given that it's the DR, and that the victim's name is Almonte, he was probably more like 29 y/o. *rimshot
  12. This is the part I, and I think others, are taking contention with. I don't get "highly unlikely" when I look at his healthy play over the last 4 years. Unfortunately, I only have 1.5 years of healthy play, so I don't get a warm fuzzy on what to expect from him....either way....but "highly unlikely" is every bit as wrong as "highly likely", IMO.
  13. I can think of tons of examples of guys who have mid-teen HR power in their early twenties that blossom into 20 HR guys by their late 20's. In fact, it is the accepted norm that players regularly hit their physical prime around the age 27. This is an awful justification of your position. The fact of the matter with Lowrie is that nobody, and I mean nobody, can realistically expect anything from him, good or bad. There's a 2.5 year window of play, one that's pretty recent, that is either missing or can't be considered reliable because he was playing hurt. Before and after that, there's some data that suggests he could be pretty good. It's foolish to build a house on that data, but it's equally foolish to attempt to toss it aside given the circumstance, which is what you seem to want to do.
  14. You phrased it as "realistically capable", not as "something you expect to happen". Drew falls in the realistically capable group.
  15. It doesn't sound like he's using Pedroia as a justification for projecting Lowrie, but more as an example to refute your .520 SLG line in the sand. Drew would be another I'd add as having a realistic chance at a .520 SLG.
  16. It doesn't seem like he's changed his mind, to me. All along he's said that he's a very good player, but that he wouldn't love the cost. I believe his initial reaction to the signing echoed this. While I don't, I understand why you might see smoke, but there's no fire there.
  17. I don't get it. Like you said, the projections create a middle ground. A middle ground that has Lowrie knocking the ball out of the park 17 times. Certainly a suggestion that he overperforms by 2 while Drew underperforms by 4 in that particular counting stat isn't out of the realm of possibilty, especially when people are just throwing out their opinions. It's not really something worthy of critique, IMO.
  18. Incorrect. Wanting it to happen is not the same as saying it will happen. The only thing I remember you saying about it happening is that it was more likely to happen than signing Manny, which nobody really disagreed with. You never "predicted" this signing.
  19. Actually, a key component to the success hasn't been so much a prioritizing of draft picks over established veteran free agents, but more of a willingness to accept the risk of moving laterally with veteran free agents. Trading a type A for a type A and gaining a supplemental pick. They've shown a willingness to continue to acquire FA at the expense of a draft position (Lugo could have been Rick Porcello), but to mitigate that, they've shown a greater willingness to let people go when they can swap them for a comparable player (the 2004 offseason is the best example of this, when they let Pedro/Lowe/Cabrera go for Wells/Clement/Renteria and picked up 3 supp picks). There's risk in taking advantage of that loophole, as the new players will not be "proven" in the league/environment of Boston, but they've shown pretty consistently that they are willing to roll the dice there.
  20. Bert, Robby, Larry
  21. I stopped right there, because this tells me you aren't asking an honest question. Defense is part of the game, and a big part of his worth.
  22. Try and apply this advice to your own posts before you click the "Submit Reply" button. It would save a lot of miscommunication, because I read what you posted correctly. It was just phrased like you were an ESL student if you were truly trying to say something different.
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