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    Red Sox's Craig Breslow Era Is Set to End With A Whimper

    If the Red Sox's season is as lost as it seems, ownership needs to get rid of the person who orchestrated it.

    Alex Mayes
    Image courtesy of © Chris Tilley-Imagn Images

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    At the risk of sounding like a broken record as of late, the Boston Red Sox are awful in 2026. It’s a shame coming off a postseason appearance in 2025 that should have pointed president of baseball operations Craig Breslow in the right direction. Even the free-agent signings believed they were coming into a situation where they would “breeze to get to the playoffs," at least according to Isiah Kiner-Falefa. He even went on to say that his goal with signing in Boston was to be a bench player for a championship team, so even those who weren’t with the organization last year saw the direction the team should have been headed.

    “Should” is the operative word in that sentence. 

    We’re now no longer in ‘well it’s still early’ territory, and the Red Sox are what they are as we approach the halfway point of the season. In an effort not to mince words: They are a sub .500 team that struggles at home and seems to be allergic to hitting with runners in scoring position. It’s the end of June and the season already feels lost. The team can’t keep up in a middling American League Wild Card race and, even if they somehow managed to limp their way into that third spot, they’d be certainly eliminated in short order. 

    With all of that being said, the most obvious path forward for the Red Sox is to let Craig Breslow go sooner than later.

    Breslow is an excellent pitching coordinator. He’s drafted and developed some of the best arms that the organization has seen in years, but that’s about as far as his credentials go. He terminated most of the scouting department during the first 18 months of his tenure and the big-league club has suffered mightily from it. The team that is on the field day in and day out for the Red Sox can’t function properly as a major-league team. There’s far too many utility players with everyday roles, there’s almost zero power outside of Willson Contreras, and the bullpen has been incredibly leaky outside of Aroldis Chapman and Garrett Whitlock

    I’m not going to sit here and rehash the firing of Alex Cora and the majority of his coaching staff, but that gave us a bit of a peak behind the curtain as to the true feelings of Fenway Sports Group’s opinion of Breslow. The morning after the firings, Breslow sat at a table next to Sam Kennedy and said that the decision to move on from Cora and crew was a mutual decision. Within seconds, Kennedy pinned the decision solely on Breslow. Ownership signed off on it, of course, but they essentially looked at Breslow and said, “Okay, you can do this, but just know there’s no one else to be the fall guy if things don’t get better.” To absolutely no one’s surprise, things have arguably gotten worse. Garrett Crochet and Roman Anthony have spent significant time on the injured list, Jarren Duran looks like a shell of himself at the plate, and the catching situation is maybe the most confusing roster dilemma in all of baseball.

    Speaking of the catching situation, it paints a clearer picture for how Breslow didn’t learn anything from the drama that surrounded Rafael Devers last season. It was reported time and time again that Devers wasn’t spoken to about his changing roles, then when he was approached about possibly moving to first base he was combative because he felt he had been disrespected and blindsided. Now, Carlos Narvaez has spoken to The Athletic’s Jen McCaffrey about how his playing time has been diminished but he hadn’t been told anything by either Chad Tracy or someone in the front office. Breslow recognizes that communication isn’t a strong point of his, but it’s gotten to the point that, according to Boston Globe’s Tim Healey, multiple officials within the organization believe that Breslow would benefit from having a “baseball interpreter” to convey his overall message to the players.

    This shouldn't need to be said, but the freaking President of Baseball Operations shouldn’t need someone else to convey his message and vision to the team. If Craig Breslow can’t effectively communicate, then he doesn’t need to be in a position of leadership with the team.

    What should be the final nail in the coffin for Breslow is the fact that his past two trade deadlines have been absolutely abysmal. I took at look at those deadlines to see if we could figure out what direction Breslow is going to take in 2026 and came up with the following: He struggles to pick a lane and ends up putting the team in a much worse position because of it. To add onto that, ESPN’s Buster Olney went so far as to say that “someone in ownership” was picking up the phone to talk trades with other clubs. While it shouldn’t come as a surprise that ownership has to be involved to sign off on any big trades that occur, they shouldn’t have to be the ones making the calls to get conversations started. Ownership should only be involved at the finish line of a trade, since they need to approve the money moving in each direction. If they don’t trust their front office chief enough to let him negotiate his own trades, why does he still have a job? If he can’t handle one of the most important aspects of his role, he doesn’t need to occupy space in the front office anymore.

    Fenway Sports Group has publicly backed Craig Breslow so far this season, and they pretty much have to publicly. They can’t come out and say that they are considering firing him; that’s not practical nor the way you run a business. Remember, they made similar comments around this same time about both Chaim Bloom and Dave Dombrowski during their eventual final seasons with the team. It finally seems like John Henry is frustrated with the direction of the Red Sox if both Sean McAdam and David Ortiz are to be believed. If that’s the case, then the difficult decision needs to be made to move on from Craig Breslow now. If they wait much longer, they run the risk of a trade deadline that is mishandled and delay the ability to start looking for his replacement prior to the 2027 lockout. The time to act is now.

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    59 minutes ago, Maxbialystock said:

    I completely disagree because I'm confident that no one wanted to give up much for Duran and this year he has in fact come in handy with Anthony humbled by his little finger (go figure).   Duran has done well in LF with 5 assists, no errors, and some nifty catches.  His OPS stinks, but he is 4th on the team in total bases, 3d in rbi's, 3d in runs scored, 2d in dingers, and first in SB's.  Also 4th in games played on a team which has not hesitated to play almost anyone.  

    Someone would have given up something good after 2024 and something better than now after '25, but I agree.

    I have been for trading Duran for a long time, but one argument made sense to me: "When our weak area was obviously offense, why trade your top 3 offensive weapon, even if he has shown decline before reaching prime.?"

    35 minutes ago, Alex Mayes said:

    The fact Breslow couldn’t see the inevitable downturn that was coming post 24 was insane. He should have sold high on multiple occasions. 

    While nobody expected a repeat of 2024 in 2025 or ever again, i don't think anybody projected this steep of a decline. The fact is an 80% of the 2025 Duran (who was 80% of the 2024 Duran)would have been very helpful in 2026.

    I don't want to sound like I'm defending the guy I suggested trading more than everyone else combined, but none of us expected this bad.

    I do agree we should have traded him, but I'm biased. I wanted to trade him before 2024, too, so I'm not gloating, here.

    19 minutes ago, notin said:

    Well, expecting any 8 WAR player to decline hardly requires psychic ability, but at some point, disappointment in not selling high shouldn’t rest solely on the belief that the other 29 GMs and CBOs are all impulsive morons.  Safe bet all of them knew this was selling high as well…

    Let's say the most Duran optimistic GM thought he'd decline from 8 to 4: they'd still have made a hefty offer.

    46 minutes ago, Alex Mayes said:

    The Anthony hate is so funny. The kid has a freak injury likely caused by the team’s hitting philosophy and people act like he’s made of glass. 

    The fact that Duran is that high in every category says far more about the state of the team than his abilities. The fact Breslow couldn’t see the inevitable downturn that was coming post 24 was insane. He should have sold high on multiple occasions. 

    Are you serious????!!!!!  Anthony is our best player.  Yes, I ridicule the little finger, but have no doubt that it is real and debilitating enough to keep him from hitting.  He was absolutely stunning last July and August and there can be no doubt the Sox missed him in September and the wild card series.  A healthy Anthony would have been huge this season.  

    About Duran and Breslow.  I never thought a downturn was inevitable.  But, if everyone was as prescient as you, then Breslow probably wasn't going to get much for Duran after that great 2024 season.  Other teams, just like you, would expect a huge downturn after 2024 and not offered much in return.  

    Meanwhile, he has been useful last year and this year.  Keeping him was not as calamitous as you say.  He is earning his pay ($7.7M) better than Yoshida or Story.  Heck, better than Crochet or Anthony or Riner-Falefa.  

    2 hours ago, Maxbialystock said:

    I completely disagree because I'm confident that no one wanted to give up much for Duran and this year he has in fact come in handy with Anthony humbled by his little finger (go figure).   Duran has done well in LF with 5 assists, no errors, and some nifty catches.  His OPS stinks, but he is 4th on the team in total bases, 3d in rbi's, 3d in runs scored, 2d in dingers, and first in SB's.  Also 4th in games played on a team which has not hesitated to play almost anyone.  

    I agree.  Duran is not having a good year, but he's not as bad as some of the numbers.  His .617 OPS is largely affected by his .245 BABIP.  His 3-year BABIP is .345.  Even at the lower end of the three years, his .326 in 2025 is still way ahead of his 2026 .245.  Duran can be a little out there, but if this was anyone else, I'd gladly bet on positive regression.

    1 hour ago, moonslav59 said:

    I have to ask without sounding mean:

    "Are you serious?"

    You're never mean.  Yes, I'm serious

    Is Duran anywhere near the guy, Anthony, he's replacing?  Heck, no.  But he sure as heck is healthier than Anthony--ditto Story, Casas, Sogard, Kiner-Falefa, and Mayer.  

    Given the weak hitting this season, I don't think Cora or Chad Tracy has shown any reluctance to substitute like crazy to get the best bats in the lineup. 

    Abreu has played in 90 games, Contreras 88, Rafaela 88, Duran 85, and Durbin 85.  Anthony, the guy whom Duran is replacing, has played in 30 games, several of them as DH.  The next most games by an outfielder is Eaton with 13.  Yoshida has been healthy all season and has played in 59 games, most of them as DH.  So two different managers have seen fit to keep Duran in the outfield (LF, mostly).   

    As I keep saying, despite his faults, especially his OPS of .617, he has fielded ably with 5 assists, 0 errors, and some very good grabs.  He has the 2d most dingers on the team after Contreras, and also the 2d most rbi's.  He also has 21 more K's than anyone else--111 vs Contreras' 90.  111 puts him in the top ten of MLB.  The other 9 all have better OPS's:  .934, .787, .902, .963. 759, . 863. .734, .779, and .786.  So obviously Duran stays in the Sox lineup because of his fielding and because the Sox are struggling at the plate.  

    last season after 92 games the Sox were 47-45 vs the current Sox at 44-48.  Despite the Sox wretched hitting, they are 3 games behind the 2025 Sox.   How is that possible?  I think the defense has made a  difference this year.  Last season's Sox gave up 80 unearned runs in 162 games.  This year's has 26 in 92 games, which projects to 47 unearned runs in 162 games.  

    In other words, this year's Sox have almost made up for their horrible hitting by having great pitching and better defense than last season.  Sox ERA this year so far is 3.65.  Last season it was 3.70.  

     

     

     

     

    1 hour ago, JoeBrady said:

    I agree.  Duran is not having a good year, but he's not as bad as some of the numbers.  His .617 OPS is largely affected by his .245 BABIP.  His 3-year BABIP is .345.  Even at the lower end of the three years, his .326 in 2025 is still way ahead of his 2026 .245.  Duran can be a little out there, but if this was anyone else, I'd gladly bet on positive regression.

    To me, he seems worse than his .617 OPS indicates, for a few reasons:

    1. His OBP is 70 points lower than 2025.

    2. His .269 OBP in the one slot killed us.

    3. Seemingly more baserunning blunders.

    4. We avoided trading him with the expectation he'd be a top 3-4 offensive weapon on the team. His 76 OPS+ is 5th out of 5 batters with 300+ PAs. It's 6th out of 7 batters with 190+ PAs. (6th out of our top 9 batters by PAs, but Wong will likely pass Narvaez in the top 9 and someone might pass Mayer & Story, who are below Duran, right now in OPS.

    3 minutes ago, Maxbialystock said:

    You're never mean.  Yes, I'm serious

    Is Duran anywhere near the guy, Anthony, he's replacing?  Heck, no.  But he sure as heck is healthier than Anthony--ditto Story, Casas, Sogard, Kiner-Falefa, and Mayer.  

    The fact that we don't have the depth to replace Duran and improve doesn't take him off the hook. His bat has killed us, this year- not single-handedly, but more than anyone else, because he's 3rd in PAs and was so bad in the one slot for way too long. (That's more on Cora than him, but it is what it is: a .269 OBP in the one slot.)

    Abreu and Contreras might have 10-15 mor RBIs, had he just declined to a .325 OBP from .345>.335 the years before.

    Someday Anthony may well live up to his potential and he is still very young.  If the RS hitting tactics are injuring him maybe he needs to swing "his way" .  He has missed notable development time in '25 and now much of '26.  He hit weakly in , like many others, in April this year.

    There is real concern that 2027 will be a short season , if at all., further jeopardizing Anthony's development as a pro hitter.

    To think he should be or will be the keystone of the lineup is putting too many eggs in one basket .  Let's talk about him when he is back to playing which will be no time soon .

    Agree he should not have led off.  5th or 6th in the order seems about right.  

    49 minutes ago, moonslav59 said:

    To me, he seems worse than his .617 OPS indicates, for a few reasons:

    1. His OBP is 70 points lower than 2025.

    2. His .269 OBP in the one slot killed us.

    3. Seemingly more baserunning blunders.

    4. We avoided trading him with the expectation he'd be a top 3-4 offensive weapon on the team. His 76 OPS+ is 5th out of 5 batters with 300+ PAs. It's 6th out of 7 batters with 190+ PAs. (6th out of our top 9 batters by PAs, but Wong will likely pass Narvaez in the top 9 and someone might pass Mayer & Story, who are below Duran, right now in OPS.

    Completely disagree with #4.  First of all, there ain't no "we" in this.  We have no say in what gets done.  Secondly, there is no way the head shed should have expected "top 3-4 offensive weapon" when the outfield was supposed to be Anthony, Rafaela, and Abreu.  

    As for "killing us" in the one slot, it's the manager's job to slot players advantageously.  

     

    34 minutes ago, Maxbialystock said:

    Agree he should not have led off.  5th or 6th in the order seems about right.  

    Completely disagree with #4.  First of all, there ain't no "we" in this.  We have no say in what gets done.  Secondly, there is no way the head shed should have expected "top 3-4 offensive weapon" when the outfield was supposed to be Anthony, Rafaela, and Abreu.  

    As for "killing us" in the one slot, it's the manager's job to slot players advantageously.  

     

    He's killed us in every slot.

    fangraph's projected aOPS (400+ PAs)

    .803 Anthony

    .788 Abreu

    .785 Contreras

    .762 Duran

    .746 Durbin (not even close to #4.)

    .725 Rafaela (not close)

    .713 Story (not close)

    When I said "we" I was speaking to the general feeling, and I'm not nor ever have been "big on" Duran.

    His speed made him a top 3-4 offensive player. He's 50 points below his projected OBP, and it made sense to see how he did batting first, once Anthony was no longer available. I do blame Cora for sticking with him for so long, but not for trying him there.

    Look, I wanted to trade him. I just don't see everything as black & white. The argument that we shouldn't trade one of our projected top offensive players made some sense... just as it made some sense at the time to trade away a pitcher like Sale who was hurt all the time.

    I suggested we trade Duran for Paredes, Janek and a RP'er, and many here felt that was an overpay. From what I hear, HOU didn't even want Duran one for one, so I'm really not sure what was offered for him last DEC-JAN.

    I wish we'd have traded him after 2024, but hell, I was for trading him before 2024, so I'm no fortune teller either.

    On 7/11/2026 at 11:44 AM, moonslav59 said:

    Someone would have given up something good after 2024 and something better than now after '25, but I agree.

    I have been for trading Duran for a long time, but one argument made sense to me: "When our weak area was obviously offense, why trade your top 3 offensive weapon, even if he has shown decline before reaching prime.?"

    The problem is that the Sox have always valued Duran higher than people outside the organization. A deal was never going to get done unless the Sox were willing to take a perceived loss on the trade. 

    1 hour ago, mvp 78 said:

    The problem is that the Sox have always valued Duran higher than people outside the organization. A deal was never going to get done unless the Sox were willing to take a perceived loss on the trade. 

    But when the Sox trade players at other team’s valuations, they get hosed on the trade…

    25 minutes ago, mvp 78 said:

    Huh? 

    I no longer trust the Sox valuations. They need to be willing to take a loss on a trade to make the right deal. 

    Has an unwillingness to take a loss on a trade really been their issue?  Sale, Harrison, Tibbs for example.

    At some point, they shouldn’t just give players away either…

    2 hours ago, notin said:

    And what were they asking for in a Duran trade that was so ridiculous to expect?

    The Astros were willing to deal Paredes. Craig reportedly couldn't get a deal across the table because he was asking for too much because his valuation on Duran was too high. It has been mentioned by local and national reporters. This was discussed over and over last offseason. We don't need to be gaslit here. 

    14 minutes ago, mvp 78 said:

    The Astros were willing to deal Paredes. Craig reportedly couldn't get a deal across the table because he was asking for too much because his valuation on Duran was too high. It has been mentioned by local and national reporters. This was discussed over and over last offseason. We don't need to be gaslit here. 

    Wasn’t that more because - and I don’t agree with Breslow here, I pull this trigger - Breslow wanted to keep Mayer at 3b and acquire a 2b that could play defense?  If so, that’s not the same as overvaluing Duran…

    38 minutes ago, notin said:

    Wasn’t that more because - and I don’t agree with Breslow here, I pull this trigger - Breslow wanted to keep Mayer at 3b and acquire a 2b that could play defense?  If so, that’s not the same as overvaluing Duran…

    Mayer didn't end up playing much 3b after all (though that may be his best position).

    11 hours ago, mvp 78 said:

    The problem is that the Sox have always valued Duran higher than people outside the organization. A deal was never going to get done unless the Sox were willing to take a perceived loss on the trade. 

    It sure seems that way. It might have been even worse than we think as no offer has ever been reported to my knowledge. That is pretty strange.

     

    6 hours ago, mvp 78 said:

    The Astros were willing to deal Paredes. Craig reportedly couldn't get a deal across the table because he was asking for too much because his valuation on Duran was too high. It has been mentioned by local and national reporters. This was discussed over and over last offseason. We don't need to be gaslit here. 

    Word was HOU wanted Abreu not Duran, so I'm not sure there ever was an actual offer for Duran, let alone Paredes.

    4 hours ago, Hugh2 said:

    By all accounts the Sox overvalued Duran, and it wouldn’t be such a bad look this season if he wasn’t awful at the plate this year

    May i ask for just one account, where the other team offered ___ insert name___ and Brez said no. I'd love to know of just one, and don't say "Paredes or KMarte."




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