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    Even if the Red Sox are Buyers, These Players Could be on the Move

    Trading from the major league roster may not seem like the right path on the surface, but the Red Sox have names that could fetch a trade deadline haul to help the team this year and for years to come.

    Alex Mayes
    Image courtesy of © Eric Hartline-Imagn Images

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    The Red Sox look as though they are in a place to be buyers just days away from the trade deadline. With reports that Jarren Duran is now off the market, it may seem like Boston has no intention of dealing players from the big league roster. Not so!

    Below, we’re going to break down three major league contributors and the case for trading them, and some trade comps to see what a return could look like. While predicting trade packages is nearly impossible, knowing that this is very much a sellers market means that a return coming back to Boston would likely be even a bit more favorable than the recent examples.

    Aroldis Chapman, LHP

    Why He Should be Traded
    I figured I’d start with the most controversial name. The Red Sox don’t currently have an answer to replace Chapman in the bullpen, though Garrett Whitlock is making a strong case to be in that conversation. Regardless, that shouldn’t stop the front office from listening to offers on their lefty closer. Why? He’s 37 years old and on a one-year, $10.75 million deal. He’s had a career resurgence in Boston this season and that’s fantastic, but it would be foolish to expect this to continue past 2025. The Red Sox shouldn’t entertain locking him into a multi-year contract, so the smart move here is to trade him while the market is losing pitching targets left and right. The market for Chapman will never be hotter and the Red Sox need to capitalize on that. His 1.30 ERA over 41 2/3 innings is incredible, but as we saw when he exited the finale against the Dodgers with back tightness, things may be going in the other direction for Chapman. If that’s the case, holding onto him instead of selling incredibly high is the absolute worst thing the team can do.

    Recent Trade Comp - Aroldis Chapman in 2023
    We don’t have to look far to have an easy trade comp for Chapman. Let’s wind the clock back just a few seasons to 2023, when the Kansas City Royals swapped Chapman to the Texas Rangers for Cole Ragans and Roni Cabrera. Ragans, who is currently injured, is the No. 2 starter for the Royals when he’s healthy. The Red Sox are rumored to be interested in a starter of that caliber, and if they want to actually land that at the deadline, Chapman could be at the center of that package. Trading Chapman would require the Sox to bring in another elite level closer at some point down the road, but this would be the right move in the long-term for the franchise.

    Walker Buehler, RHP

    Why He Should be Traded 
    The eye test isn’t a thing Buehler will pass while he’s in Boston. His postseason success in 2024 likely gave the Red Sox confidence to bring him in and hope they could finish unlocking whatever needed to be figured out so he could be a solid major league contributor again. So far, that’s failed to happen. When Buehler is up for his turn through the rotation, there is very little confidence that the game isn’t going to get out of hand quickly. His 5.72 ERA has come down thanks to a handful of low-scoring outings lately, but his walk percentage is at 10.1% while his strikeout rate is just 17.6%. We know he’s not throwing gas anymore, but you expect him to be able to get more swings and misses. He’s just not doing that though. The value here, low though it may be, is present for a team that is looking for a back-end starter with postseason experience.

    Recent Trade Comp - Martin Perez in 2024
    Last season, in an attempt to push themselves over the edge in a loaded NL West division, the Padres traded for LHP Martin Perez. In the deal, they sent LHP Ronaldys Jimenez to the Pirates. Jimenez was playing rookie ball in the Dominican Summer League when he was traded and is currently with the FCL Pirates with a 2-1 record and a 4.18 ERA. If Buehler is moved, a deal on the fringes of the organization is about all you could hope to get in return for him. This would be addition by subtraction more than anything, and only advisable if the Red Sox swing a deal for another starter.

    David Hamilton, UTIL

    Why He Should be Traded
    We all know that David Hamilton is on the team due to his versatility and ability to be a menace on the basepaths. Just look at when he came in as a pinch-runner in the top of the ninth against the Twins. He stole second and third to give the team a chance to score, which they did. His value lies in his speed, and the Red Sox have enough speed to be able to make Hamilton available in the right deal. He’s slashing just .179/.229/.276, and while he plays a passable second base, he’s not needed once Marcelo Mayer returns from his wrist injury. He’s still relatively young, only 27, and won’t reach free agency until 2030. While there’s not a ton of meat on the bone here, a team looking for a late-inning spark on its bench could do far worse than Hamilton.

    Recent Trade Comp - Tommy Edman in 2024
    While not a perfect comp, the trade of Edman from the Cardinals to the Dodgers is the closest I think we can get here. Edman was part of a three-team dea,l so that complicates things a bit, but the Cardinals received cash back for Edman. As part of that trade, they also received recently-traded starter Erick Fedde and journeyman Tommy Pham. We already know that the Yankees are interested in Hamilton, so that should indicate that other teams may be sniffing around him as well. If the Sox are willing to listen on Hamilton, then a deal for him straight up likely won’t net much in return. If he’s part of a larger package, or another multi-team swap, then Boston could easily come out on top in that trade.

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    1 hour ago, mvp 78 said:

    I'm hopeful that Chapman stays healthy and that they add a guy similar to the profile noted above. That's probably more important than finding a fifth starter or even my preferred back up catcher. 

    Heres my order of pref

    1. Very good starter

    2. Mid rotation starter (if #1 cannot be acquired)

    3. Very good RP

    4. Back of rotation starter (if better cannot be obtained)

    5. Solid BP (if very good RP arm cannot be obtained)

    6. Bat (Inf or DH)

    7. A second 3/4 starter if one obtained (so #2 this list moves down here if #1 is got)

    8. Second Solid BP arm (so #5 above moves down here if we acquire the "very good RP" higher on the list)

    9. A depth /"change of scenery" cusp starter (if no other starters acquired)

    10. A "change of scenery" pen pitcher (if none other acquired)

    11, Bench help (C , 1b, util...)

    12. A depth /"change of scenery" cusp starter (if other starter(s) have been aquired)

    13. "change of scenery" pen pitcher (if other pen arm(s) have been acquired)

     

    59 minutes ago, dgalehouse said:

    The looming deadline is causing an undue amount of stress on the fanbase if some of the comments and suggestions are to be taken seriously. There is no fork in the road this year. Go full speed ahead. Do NOT trade Duran, Chapman or Bregman. Try to improve the team. And always, always, always play to win. This really should go without saying. 

    Ive recently been told that if we arent a clear cut elite team with no holes, we should punt.

    3 hours ago, drewski6 said:

    Ive recently been told that if we arent a clear cut elite team with no holes, we should punt.

    This team isn't like most teams.  Their identity is still being defined.  Hot streaks, cold streaks, injuries and a really bad manager makes this team hard to predict.  All we can do is hope Breslow talks to Cora about his hap hazard use of the bench, his horrendous batting order and his misuse of players like Rafaela, Chapman and Mayer.  Just because Cora had no stability as a utility player, that doesn't mean your best prospects can think like a loser like he did.  These guys expect greatness, and he can't relate so he sticks round pegs in square holes daily.  Fire him and watch the team win the division.

    Breslow needs to deal with Miami and get Alcantara if he was a shot at the division title.  They have the best pitchers to deal for and they have 3 of them.  Our prospects are not good enough to not go after the Miami pitchers.

    18 minutes ago, TedYazPapiMookie said:

    This team isn't like most teams.  Their identity is still being defined.  Hot streaks, cold streaks, injuries and a really bad manager makes this team hard to predict.  All we can do is hope Breslow talks to Cora about his hap hazard use of the bench, his horrendous batting order and his misuse of players like Rafaela, Chapman and Mayer.  Just because Cora had no stability as a utility player, that doesn't mean your best prospects can think like a loser like he did.  These guys expect greatness, and he can't relate so he sticks round pegs in square holes daily.  Fire him and watch the team win the division.

    Breslow needs to deal with Miami and get Alcantara if he was a shot at the division title.  They have the best pitchers to deal for and they have 3 of them.  Our prospects are not good enough to not go after the Miami pitchers.

    I am not sure the results that Rafaela (one of the 3 best CFs in the league) and Chapman have put up (his best season in years) point to being poorly deployed. 

    16 hours ago, TedYazPapiMookie said:

    What are your thoughts on the Cora merry-go-round.  Am I the only one who sees all his substitutions as ways he is impacting players success?

    Example - Duran is an outstanding CFer and since moving to CF he's flourished as one would expect.

    On the flip side, Rafaela is now going through what Campbell went through when he was learning 1B instead of just focusing on 2B.  Rafaela has gone into a slump that aligns with him playing 2B.  Just put the guy in RF and go find a temp answer at 2B at the deadline that covers for Mayer's newest injury.

    Anthony, is even better than I expected him to be in his first season.  Put him in LF and let him grow in the shadow of Ted and Yaz.  This time, don't treat him like Mookie, treat him like a generational player like Ted and Yaz.  His upside looks huge.

    Been following Campbell, he's hitting again in AAA.  Raised his average a lot recently with some power.  Bring him up to play 1B and move Toro or Gonzalez to 2B if a trade isn't in the cards.  Mayer will be back soon enough and having the big three prospects with Bregman, Duran, Story and Rafaela is a very potent offense and defense.  Too bad Cora won't go for doing things "normal".  He's going to over-play the bench and keep the team around .500.

     

    They went 17-7 in July with a run differential of +51.  Maybe Cora is doing something right.




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