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Posted
They didn't lose this season because of the $20 million ballplayers. They lost because the pitching sucked balls. They didn't have the payroll flexibility to rebuild the pitching unless they unloaded some payroll. In order to get rid of Beckett, they had to part with AGon. They forced CC on the Dodgers because they don't need 2 speedy base stealers. The problem wasn't the 20 million dollar guys, so I don't think they will hesitate to spend $ to rebuild.

 

They got hamstrung by those $20 mil contracts. Lack of payroll flexibility, as you said.

Henry got the opportunity to unload those contracts in 10 minutes at the owners meeting in mid-August, and he jumped. He is not likely to get into that same bind again.

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Posted
I am guessing here, but I doubt you even looked at the study or didn't understand the graphs.

 

"To generate a list of players who seem headed toward stardom, I selected players since 1980 who had a total of 20-plus WAR during a three-year span. Also, I took the players who generated WAR of 9.5 or more in a single season."

 

I'm just guessing that you didn't comprehend my post very well.

 

How many of that sample do you think ACTUALLY had a noticeable decline at 30/31?

 

WAR also doesn't mean jack s*** in terms of offensive decline, because WAR is an all-purpose statistic.

 

NEXT!

Posted
I think Mauer is a great hitter, but is he worth the contract that he has? It runs to 2018 and pays him big $$$$$$$. He is 29 and catching right now is still his main position. I think the Red Sox are going to target players on small market teams that are looking to make their first big $$$$$$ (6 - 12 mil range). I don't know any by name, but it gives the Sox younger players that fit into a large market team payroll and don't tie their hands on other player moves.
Posted
I'm just guessing that you didn't comprehend my post very well.

 

How many of that sample do you think ACTUALLY had a noticeable decline at 30/31?

 

WAR also doesn't mean jack s*** in terms of offensive decline, because WAR is an all-purpose statistic.

 

NEXT!

 

At 30, great players begin to see a pronounced decline. The one- and three-year groups peak at age 25. Here is the number of runs lost from ages 25 to 30 and from ages 30 to 35

 

Group: Run Lost from 25 to 30, Runs Lost from 30 to 35

One Great Season: -8 runs, -34 runs

Three Good Seasons: -12 runs, -24 runs

 

At least I have produced a study. I have always respected your posts, but you are producing an opinion and nothing else.

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