Arod to the DL...

[BSN07]

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=3373940

 

Not having Arod's RH bat will hurt. If the Yanks loose Posada as well they might be in for a rough couple weeks.

[Cocos Disciples]

They already did lose Posada, hes on the DL.

[yeszir]

The guy hasn't been on the DL in forever. This really hurts the Yankees. Too bad the sox don't play them soon to try and capitalize.

[BoSox21]

The guy hasn't been on the DL in forever. This really hurts the Yankees. Too bad the sox don't play them soon to try and capitalize.

 

no, but if the Sox can play some good ball for the next few weeks, it could give them some distance from the Yankees that'll prove valuable in September

[BSN07]

no' date=' but if the Sox can play some good ball for the next few weeks, it could give them some distance from the Yankees that'll prove valuable in September[/quote']

 

That was my line of thinking as well.

[The Dustball]

The yankees lineup looks so much weaker without Arod and Posada. Molina and Ensberg are decent but i think that this loss is going to hurt and when you already have Cano and Giambi slumping, it really does not seem so intimidating. I agree with Bosox21, this could be a great time to get some wins and capitalize on the Yanks misfortune.

[BoSox21]

its funny seeing ARod go on the DL with a strained quad cause Jeter had the same thing a couple weeks back. Didnt a Yankees trainer get fired a few seasons ago because of a rash of strained quads on the Yanks?

[The Dustball]

its funny seeing ARod go on the DL with a strained quad cause Jeter had the same thing a couple weeks back. Didnt a Yankees trainer get fired a few seasons ago because of a rash of strained quads on the Yanks?

 

Yes, that was acutally last season. The trainer fired was Marty Miller

[yeszir]

Let's see if the Yankees try to wrap all of their players' quads in Neon wrappers to try to stem the tide.

[redsoxrules]

Let's see if the Yankees try to wrap all of their players' quads in Neon wrappers to try to stem the tide.

 

[Jayhawk Bill]

So I'm sitting here looking at the Yankees' PECOTA Depth Chart and conceptualizing...right now, the Yankees are essentially "missing" these players, through either disability or peculiar inability:

 

[table] Name | 2008 Projected VORP

Rodriguez | 62.2

Jeter | 35.2

Posada | 33.2

Cano | 29.7

Hughes | 16.1

Kennedy | 22.0[/table]

 

All told, that's about 1.2 runs per game that the Yankees are missing...."missing" as in either allowing or not scoring, depending. It's 198.4 runs over replacement level lost were this to continue all year.

 

Thoughts:

 

1) Girardi is keeping the Yankees at .500 in the ultra-tough AL East through smoke, mirrors, and sheer force of will. I really, really hope that he gets fired before Hank realizes how good he is.

 

2) The Yankees were projected at 96 wins by BP. Every eight games that this continues, scratch one win from that projection. They're already approaching three games under that pace...if these factors continue for, say just sixteen more games (a 15-game DL plus one), we're looking at roughly a 91-win Yankees team in 2008.

 

A "91-win team" will win between 87 and 95 games roughly two-thirds of the time, IIRC, winning more or less a sixth of the time.

 

But it looks as if it'll take a few more than 91 wins--probably more than 95 wins--to take the AL East this year. I'd suggest that the Yankees are in very real danger of not making the ALDS this year unless a few of these superstars and highly-touted young pitchers turn things around.