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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. JoeBrady
    Then you are SOL. There is no single player that will put you over the top. You need 26 players to win in the regular season, and usually with 5 good SPs. To win in the post-season, you need two aces, or close to it. The HR thing? Of the top-15 HR hitters over the past 5 years, only one has a WS ring.
  2. JoeBrady
    Orioles-Alonso & Helsley The BJs add Cease, Ponce +? Mariners re-signed Naylor, Grisham took the NYY QO, the Tigers retained Finnegan & Torres So only two of the AL teams have added new help.
  3. JoeBrady
    I agree 100%. With the recency factor in mind, I assume a good 2026 for Suarez, meaning that Suarez is really only a one-year risk. Anything more than two years becomes risky for both Bregman and Marte. While anything can happen, age for hitters is fairly unforgiving.
  4. JoeBrady
    I'm flexible on these matters, but the idea that winning in 2026 is somehow uniquely better than winning in any other year, is not a concept I understand. In fact, I'd bet that we have a better shot at a WS in 2027 than we do in 2026. If there were under-over futures markets, I'd make a decent-sized wager we'll have a better record in '27 than '26. Tolle, Early, Mayer, probably Campbell, and maybe Witherspoon, should be ensconced in our lineup by then. So why 2026?
  5. JoeBrady
    Whether Henry spent or not doesn't really impact the fact that you still want to be 10% better.
  6. JoeBrady
    I have no idea of how to process that. IMO, 2027 is just as much here and now as 2026. And how does one not think about the future? Would you trade 6 years of Anthony for one year of Skubal? There is little doubt that Skubal will out-perform Anthony in 2026, so I assume you'd make that trade?
  7. JoeBrady
    Marte's window is likely two years. But using my example, would you want Marte's 6 years, or a player with 2% less talent that was, say 29 years old? That's how these decision are and should be made.
  8. JoeBrady
    It has nothing to do with the market. If you can be 2% better for 5 years, or 2% better for one year, you pick 5 years every time. Same as in real life.
  9. JoeBrady
    It's been like that at most of my jobs. I always did my job quietly and efficiently. That seemed logical to me. After some years, I realized some people got attached to performance. I didn't like doing it, and still never got used to doing it, but it got to the point where I felt like a display of emotion was necessary for every assignment. The quicker I could get a job finished, the less valued the product would be. But if I could roll my eyes, curse under my breath, and watch the RS game for two hours, someone would pat me on the back and tell me what a great job I was doing. /end of rant/
  10. JoeBrady
    It's impossible to know without knowing all the intricacies. While I favor keeping Rafaela, all three of our outfielders are discussion-worthy. And while all three are worthy of some type of #2, it's also possible that has his sights on a #1. Or a high-ceiling prospect. Or he could be looking for a 2B or 3B. Or might want a #3 along with a 2B/3B. You could be inside the FO and not really know which direction this is going. Heck, Pitt, Cincy, or others might have a top prospect that Breslow loves, and is willing to play the long game. Seth Hernandez for Abreu?
  11. JoeBrady
    Is Lodolo a #2? I think he is, and I think they could swap Duran for Lodolo. Past that, you can't think in terms of a #2. 3 years of Duran should get about the best one-year #2 in BB. Or 2 years of a decent+ #2. Or three years of a weakish #2. Control counts.
  12. JoeBrady
    But that was not a stipulation of Randy's assessment. Many teams might have signed FAs, but not many have signed any important FAs. Of the top-50 FAs, only a very few teams have added an outside FA. A couple of teams have FAs that accepted a QO, and a couple of teams have re-signed their own FAs, but maybe only 8 teams have signed a top-50 FA from another team.
  13. JoeBrady
    I have no idea why people are obsessed with 2026. If I can get 2% better for 2027-2031, at the expense of being 2% worse in 2026, I'll make that trade every time.
  14. JoeBrady
    might've ranked #12 in our system,... Priester was unlikely to have ever been given a shot. Hmmm, that does sound familiar.
  15. JoeBrady
    They signed FA Vinnie Capra.
  16. JoeBrady
    Sure, they are no sure things, but that's how you get players like that. Vientos had a 134 OPS+ in 2024, higher than Alonso. Tong was ranked #75, and had 162 Ks in 102 IPs in AA before getting promoted to AAA and then the pros. IMO, that would be a pure theft, lack of certainty not withstanding.
  17. JoeBrady
    It almost doesn't matter. We gave up someone that we had given up on, for a semi-failed prospect. Then traded that prospect, who might've ranked #12 in our system, for other prospects. Priester was unlikely to have ever been given a shot.
  18. JoeBrady
    I still agree 100%. We got Priester for Yorke, and after 48 IPs, traded him for a nice return. That's a slam dunk.
  19. JoeBrady
    I think that's the RS taking advantage of a strange set of circumstances. Booser cost us nothing, had a few good months, and we traded him for a decent prospect. Then traded Fajardo for a decent pro.
  20. JoeBrady
    The addition of Contreras makes the addition of Vientos less favorable, but that would still be a good trade for us. Just using Duran 2025, he is worth 10.7. Vientos projects as 1.9 fWAR * 4 is 7.6. Tong is maybe 2.5*6 is 15.
  21. JoeBrady
    I don't disagree. But there are some GMs that'll make bad deals knowing they won't be there at the end of the contract. Same as in real life, there is no reason to outbid those people.
  22. JoeBrady
    But that has nothing to do with reality. I raised the question about a week+ back about a $260M payroll. No one commented.
  23. JoeBrady
    1-Absolutely positive that JH is not cheap. 2-Absolutely positive that JH knows, to the penny, the marginal revenue, marginal expense. He will weigh the chances of us making the playoffs, the WS, etc.,
  24. JoeBrady
    Some of these GMs are desperate and will overpay for anyone.
  25. JoeBrady
    It's not, and there is -0- doubt about it. Money counts. It's like someone's house. If you have unlimited income, then it makes no difference. If you have a cap, sometimes you have to maker a choice. -0- doubt about it.
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