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JoeBrady

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Everything posted by JoeBrady

  1. If that's your acknowledgement that I am right, thank you.
  2. link? 1=winning team had both more HRs and higher OBP. 2-winning team had more HRs 3-winning team had higher OBP World Series 2 ALCS 3 NLCS 1 AL Division Series 1 AL Division Series 1 NL Division Series 3 NL Division Series Wild Card Series 3 Wild Card Series 1 Wild Card Series 1 Wild Card Series 1
  3. Not me. Nothing is better for mental clarity and acuity than than having a stake in the game. If anyone thought we were sticking with the current roster, they would take me up on my offer (assuming they no philosophical objection to wagering).
  4. You lost: you can stop dancing now. They aren't trading for a dumpster product and starting him at 2nd or 3rd. You know that. But the fun part is, I know you know that.
  5. Change this to "now that Fred declined" (as I knew he would). Anyone else interested?
  6. I wouldn't think so either. But he would still be on my list. He might be worth more to us as a 3B than to Houston as a RF. And if the rumors are true that they are interested in Abreu, where would they play Smith?
  7. After Fred declines, this bet will be open to anyone else.
  8. What's your point? The Cubs bid more than us.
  9. Keep thinking that you know what happens in Breslow's office.
  10. Deferrals are not only not new, they are also something any team can do. Not everyone can pay Tucker $60M. But even with a $10M contract, if you can afford to pay someone $10M this year, then you can afford to pay them $10.45M next year. That's a certainty.
  11. It's my own analysis, so it's I can link to. But it shouldn't take long to replicate. But first I need to see which mound of snow my car is under.
  12. That the smartest guy in the room doesn't go home with the prettiest girl, is not unusual in HS.
  13. I believe I already did this analysis. And the team with the higher OBP percentage, relative to their opponent, won more series than the team that out-homered their opponent.
  14. I'd gladly take that bet. I am willing to bet that either our starting 2B or our starting 3B, will be someone not currently on our 40-man roster. A signature wager perhaps?
  15. HRs are more fun, but OBP is more closely correlated to scoring than HRs. They both count, but OBP counts more.
  16. So, just as an extreme example, if the RS were to have taxable income of $20M this year, all they would have to do is pay Contreras his 2027 $20M on 12/31/2026, and the IRS would accept that the RS had -0- taxable income in 2026? Or conversely, for GAAP purposes, the LAD could defer everyone's salary until 1/1/27, and show operating income of like $700M? Last time I did this, we had to match our expenses to the period in which the income was earned. And real recently, we still accrued salary expense from the first January payroll.
  17. The Angels just retired Rendon. I think most teams are reluctant to do so because the GM doesn't want to write off one of the contracts they recently signed. Poor optics. But imo, it's a bad idea to drag Rendon around, and have him clog up a 40-man spot during the off-season. I'm saying I'd give back a lot of my contract just so I can retire early. But if I already made a gazillion $$$, I probably would give up some of rather than go through the pretense that I was still coming back.
  18. I've said this before. There is no evidence to suggest Ceddanne will out-perform Romy/DHam. Using the PAs suggested by FG, Romy/DHam produce a .726 wRC+ while Ceddanne produces a .730. Duran over Yoshi is a bigger markup.
  19. No one. It's a silly argument. We might have been nowhere close to signing him. Or maybe we were $1 away and Breslow insulted Bregman's wife. This is simply an excuse, for the folks that don't like Breslow, to insult him.
  20. I'm not a tax guy, but that doesn't sound right. I think teams would have to accrue for salaries they pay in future years. Deferrals would make no sense otherwise. The LAD would be paying income tax on $40M more on Ohtani's salary if the tax was based strictly on a cash basis.
  21. If the CBT and the draft picks punishments are based on cash flow, then I will agree.
  22. We are on player away. IF Breslow wants to make a trade, he has three weeks to make one. Like I said, maybe he more in Romy/DHam that others do, which is prerogative. But he has plenty of time.
  23. Sure. Everyone that I think can fit will be on my list. That includes Suarez, Paredes, Baty, Smith, and others. And if Chandler or Burns were available, they'd be on my list as well.
  24. The top-8 is a fair comparison, but it really needs to be culled down to the #3-8. Even the NYY aren't going down the road with the NYM and LAD.
  25. I believe Correa was acquired to replace Paredes. And I am not super-high on Smith, but he (and almost everyone else) should be considered.
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