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5GoldGlovesOF,75

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Everything posted by 5GoldGlovesOF,75

  1. Bloom's not going to blow half a kajillion or whatever it will take to sign Freeman, when he could likely ink Schwarber for much less to keep first warm for a year before Casas takes over, and then Kyle slots into DH after JD leaves. In that scenario, Dalbec will be traded in the meantime (hopefully for a pitching prospect).
  2. Yeah, why wouldn't Red Sox fans who watched a below-average defensive team want to degrade the D even more with a bad first baseman? As long as he can bash, we'll just keep hoping our hitters will out-hit even more crappy fielding next year.
  3. It makes sense to look at total WAR, because the metric is intended to value players holistically. But breaking it down by components is also revealing. For example, I was shocked to see that Freddie Freeman has been a negative DWAR the past 11 years in a row; by definition, every season of Freeman's career playing first base has been worse than what could be expected of an average replacement-level player. Hard pass.
  4. Isn't this exactly what happened when Boston traded Mookie... and LA traded for Mookie? The point is, it can happen -- again. I'm not torn about absorbing veteran deadweight if it means adding a potential number one starting pitcher. Castillo has been slightly inconsistent (Pedro was a bad comp on my part, because he was already the best pitcher in the NL when the Sox got him), but I'd still give up a lot for him -- even a promising pitcher... ... just not a guy who has shown flashes of greatness himself, with "limited" stuff that still has big leaguers describing him as "a right-handed Chris Sale." Trading the Red Sox' best young MLB pitcher defeats the purpose of adding more good pitching to a staff in dire need of depth.
  5. I can't do that right now, because I can't ever remember a young Sox pitcher like Houck throwing a perfect game for five innings (and then getting yanked). Castillo's number one comp at age 28 is Marty Pattin. Marty was the ace that never was, a centerpiece, along with Tommy Harper, in a 10-player blockbuster of my youth. The Red Sox gave up half a dozen guys, including George Boomer Scott and Slim Jim Lonborg, plus Conigliaro and Brett (brothers of superstars). Pattin was Boston's winningest pitcher in strike-shortened '72 with 17 Ws... but Luis Tiant turned into the ace and led the AL in ERA. It was kind of like Rick Porcello leading the '18 Sox in victories... or ERod leading the '21 Wild Card Sox. Once before a game at Fenway, I nabbed a ball that Pattin, then a KC Royal, missed playing pepper. Now I feel bad.
  6. BTV "talked to Barzini" and the Sox can make a deal for Luis Castillo and still keep Casas/Mayer/Yorke... ...but lose all their Ds: -uran, -albec and -owns. They'd also give up Jay Groome-D the past Decade... plus Dilberto Dimenez. But toolsy Nick Senzel would be thrown in to become Boston's next Franchy (it might seem like an overpay, but not if the Reds are tired of waiting on a former MLB top-10 prospect). If you think Boston would be giving up too much of the farm for a potential #1 starter, then so does Chaim Bloom... maybe. If just two of those five prospects become MLB All-Stars, the Reds win the trade, right? Remember, Pedro Martinez had just won the NL CY Young Award when the Sox acquired him from Montreal. For the rest of his career, Pedro won 154 games, while the two guys he was swapped for -- Pavano and Armas -- won 161 combined. Then there's WAR: Pavano + Armas career = 23.3; Martinez post-trade 58.4.
  7. Great metaphor and pun for this thread.
  8. The American League surely thought it hilarious from August 27 through September 8, 2021, when the Alex Cora-led Red Sox won 7 and lost 6 with half the team quarantined because of Covid.
  9. I am, but only because they're so good at defense... though my original name is all about outfield, and the five '75 Red Sox who won Gold Gloves as outfielders sometime in their careers (all in the 70s). Now that Benintendi won Gold, there are five GG winners that played on the '18 world champs: Beni, JBJ, Mookie, Kinsler and Moreland (it's actually six, if we count Pedroia's failed three-game comeback). But I can't change the year on my name, because the '75 AL champs total nine Gold Glovers: Yaz, Lynn, Evans, Miller, Beniquez, Fisk, Burleson, Cooper and Doug Griffin. Of course, by any metrics, the best fielding team in 1975 -- and the Seventies -- and probably ever -- wasn't even Boston, but the Baltimore Orioles.
  10. I know voting for regular season awards takes place before the postseason, but it's ironic that Renfroe's most impactful play was a misplay that quite possibly saved the Red Sox' October.
  11. I like the both bullpen guys, but don't think Bloom will sign more than one established reliever this winter. He's not going to spend $80 million on free agent closers, when he can pick up a Joe Kelly for less (2/12? 3/15?), or deal for minimum wage arms he's undoubtedly targeting. And then if the front office deems the Sox contenders by mid-season, there are always decent recruits available at the deadline... like Graveman was, last summer.
  12. I do too, and I don't either... Is Verdugo really a better all-around leftfielder than even Benintendi (who just won the Gold Glove)? 2021 WAR: Verdugo 2.3, Beni 2.4. Career OPS so far: Verdugo .792, Beni .784. Maybe if Dugo played LF exclusively, he'd rate higher, because no one liked him in CF. I don't have stats to back this, either, but from what I remember, 2020 Verdugo also looked better to me in RF than 2021 Renfroe (a GG finalist). Benintendi is one of only five Red Sox outfielders in the past half century with a 20-20 HR-SB season; others include Yaz, Burks, Ellsbury and Betts. All five were also GG winners in their careers. I know some posters dislike Beni for some reason, but if Bloom was willing to swap him for four prospects and a Franchy, can we doubt he'd pull the trigger on a similar Verdugo deal?
  13. It's a good question -- and maybe strategy option -- because the arm for Verdugo would have to be attached to a better pitcher than someone we'd get for Renfroe -- right? Also have to wonder what kind of pitching prospect Bloom could buy for one year of JD plus his subsidized contract?
  14. Bloom and the Sox seem to value Schwarber's lefty bat and positive influence around the batting cages more than a few posters do. But if he is still a Red Sox in '22, then maybe another regular from the '21 lineup will be traded (and replaced by a pre-arb type player).
  15. The thing to remember most about ERod after his career year is that in the first pre-Covid Spring Training of 2020, he looked great. We're talking All-Star dominance, mowing down hitters in mid-season form. There didn't seem to be any up-and-down inconsistent nibbling -- just progressive improvement. And then by summer, no one was worried about issuing walks, when he wasn't even allowed to go for a walk. Can ERod -- still not 30 -- fully recover and regain that combined confidence and peak physical form? Why not.
  16. Hated by fossil fools, but sung by newbreed Sox fans who know all the words to "Mr. Brightsides": Destiny Is calling me...
  17. Let's see: according to bb-ref, Chris Taylor's "career-to-date (may be incomplete)" earnings = approximately $18 million. He's in his 30s and was just offered another $18+ mil for one season... by his club where he won a ring two years ago and just made the All-Star team for the first time. Despite his versatility he was also a negative DWAR, and the only category he's ever led the league in is strikeouts. It is quite possible that a year ago -- when Taylor finished a season where he made $5.6 mil -- that he would've taken an offer of $18 mil for the next three years.
  18. ... unless there's just one club willing to spend $30 mil plus a draft pick for Taylor (probably not). But can he at least be this winter's Kike and get the same AAV, like $21 mil for three? It's not much more than the QO -- but a couple million to a guy in his 30s at his peak earning power? Would Bloom offer that, plus a pick? Take the QO, Chris...
  19. ... and yet, with $60 mil earned by age 32, why would anyone ever need to work again in his lifetime? How much is the interest alone on even $40 mil -- I really have no idea, and just threw out that number considering agent fees, taxes and living large expenditures.
  20. For a minute there, I thought you were describing a guy tripping over the bag jogging to the outfield before an inning...
  21. Yahoo coverage of the Arizona Brawl League: https://www.yahoo.com/news/minor-league-prospects-brawl-arizona-011450776.html Wonder if this will carry over on the day Winckowski pitches against Pittsburgh in the 2025 World Series... Is this an indictment of Josh Winckowski's mound control or self-control -- or a display of heavy mettle for future foxhole battles that someday matter? "No idea," said Dave Dombrowski, taken entirely out of context for this post.
  22. The QO also limits the teams that would be interested in signing a good but not great starting pitcher. A club like Boston with a CBO like Bloom may prefer a Stroman over an ERod simply because the cost is only money and doesn't also include losing a draft pick. This is what JD is up against more than ERod: why sign a guy like JD in his mid-30s for $20+ mil, plus a draft pick, when you can sign a younger Schwarber and keep your pick.
  23. Good research. It explains why a club like Detroit may make a serious bid for Correa, who has past success playing for Hinch, plus would be a star to lead a team with good prospects (from past high draft picks) to the brink of contention. It also shows why a lot of clubs might be inclined to wait until after the new CBA is in effect -- if new tax/penalty terms are better for clubs signing free agents...
  24. Duran needs to play, whether it's in Fenway, Worcester or a Boston rec league.
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