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5GoldGlovesOF,75

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Everything posted by 5GoldGlovesOF,75

  1. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I just cannot see how the new balanced schedule will help the Red Sox get closer to the playoffs, when all AL East teams will also be playing the same exact schedules. Even if three wild cards come out of one division, the fifth-place club still won't make the postseason. I guess the hope is that Boston will finish ahead of Baltimore in fourth... but then will still have to count on a total collapse from either Houston, Seattle or even Texas, who all might be as good as NY, Toronto and Tampa.
  2. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    With Fangraphs on most. Overs: Casas -- where's Alfaro? Unders: Turner, but still a solid contributor; Story -- too much time away from live, in-game pitching (he's not Joe DiMaggio). Unders on the mound: Martin, unless the infield betrays him... but few walks means few inherited runners for others to let score; Bello -- has dominated at every level but one so far.
  3. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    ... but -- if we signed Mookie, we wouldn't have been able to add Ottavino and Richards!
  4. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Better hope after Ws this crew doesn't try to dance, film and repeat -- otherwise, things could turn into a mishmash moshpit.
  5. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    But there he was again -- in 2021 -- starting and beating the favored Yankees in the Wild Card. There can be no such thing as small samples in the postseason, where one size fits all...
  6. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Good point -- maybe not better pitchers, but every one of them will be trying their hardest to get him out, as opposed to big leaguers working on a new pitch or delivery clock.
  7. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Half a century? I should have clarified, as my research was only for world champs. As Moon posts, Nate was actually better in relief: Two starts, 2-0, 13 IP, 3 earned, 2.08. Four reliefs, 0-1... but 9 IP, 1 Muncy, 0.99.
  8. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Eovaldi was an ace in the 2018 postseason: of all hurlers appearing in 6 games and a minimum of 22 innings in a postseason, only two in the first 50 years of the Divisional Era (1969-2018) had a lower ERA, Opponent BA and WHIP – Schilling and Johnson in ’01.
  9. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    No one here is confused. But it's sunny and warm today in New England and hope springs eternal. The bullpen has to be better, and the defense won't have Franchy at first, Arroyo in RF or Duran in CF. The names have changed on an offense that finished dead last, so it can't get much worse. New leaders could help Casas and Yoshida emerge as solid big leaguers, and it could be fun watching Alfaro blast a few walk-offs. Everybody also knows if the old unreliables in the starting rotation break down early, it could be a disastrous summer. If that happens, there's also a chance the Sox' lone All-Star is Bello. The masses will take that in a rebuild.
  10. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Why did they agree to give Morton $15M AAV at the same age as Kluber, who had to settle for $10M with their lowly rivals?
  11. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Kluber toiled all year for the Rays, a playoff team, with results that the pitching gurus in Tampa decided didn't warrant bringing him back. That has to be at least curious for Sox fans -- especially for a division rival who has been spending more lately... If Boston's front office is smart enough not to re-sign Wacha, then what does that say about Tampa and Kluber?
  12. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    My thinking on Kluber: old guy who was hurt for three years until 2022, when he labored through 164 innings... the recent mileage on his arm may make him more due to break down than Sale or Paxton, whose wings are spicy from marinating before their big comebacks.
  13. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    PA posted video on the Globe of Masa launching bombs off soft toss...
  14. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    It wasn't a bad take, because Kelly looked brutal in the month before the '18 postseason. But he never had trouble spitting at big moments (just ask Ty Austin)... unlike others. edit: not a metaphor, as dry mouth is a symptom of anxiety disorder during fight or flight situations
  15. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I was in rough shape watching Kimbrel in the 2018 postseason. But you provided all the other reasons the bullpen survived... Cora found himself in a worse predicament in 2021, when more relievers struggled and his rovers had mixed success (Pivetta was ok and luckier than Eovaldi, who got burned, and burned out in the end). At least depth-wise, it seems like the Sox will have finally have more options on the 40 and in the farm soon... for a lot of three-batter minimums, anyway.
  16. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Not having a complete roster was the main reason -- most fans here at least agreed with that last year: not having a good pen... or a right-handed hitting outfielder who could hit and catch all season... or any first baseman who could do either for the first five months... or a starting rotation young enough to stay healthy enough to provide 128 innings pitched (besides Pivetta). But if this year's bullpen does well, the only way we'll improve is if the new old starting pitchers, the overhauled offense, and the makeshift no-shift D give them as many leads as the boys of Eovaldi, Wacha and Hill did.
  17. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    But if the regulars the Red Sox plan to field in support of the projected starting rotation fail to reach the '23 postseason... the shock will give you a heart attack? Most of us are prepared for plenty of acid reflux, even some nausea, but there shouldn't be any organs rended this time around.
  18. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I agree with all of this except the bold-face -- at least for regular posters on talksox... especially on the Realistic thread. Does anyone really have their hopes up with this cast, and will be crushed if they don't make it? Heartrending? Regulars on talksox are more stout-hearted. Think I'll go pour a stout for my heart right now...
  19. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    There's never been more certainty about uncertainty.
  20. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    I'm not criticizing your point. Mine is that the projected starting rotation is counting on a lot of brittle veterans again, along with two young guys coming off surgery, and another who'll be on a limit. It's all about the pitching. If Sale-Kluber-Paxton-Whitlock do make 25 starts each, that means they stayed mostly healthy -- and presumably effective... Add in Pivetta's usual 30, and say they allow Bello Martinez to start 20, and we're looking at more wins than losses -- with a shot a wild card. How's that for optimism? Houston had five guys make 25+ starts last year; four with at least 28. Shouldn't that standard be fans' expectations for the Red Sox?
  21. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    But is it hard to imagine less injuries? The only projected starting pitcher the Red Sox don't have "to take care of" is Pivetta. What are the odds the projected starting rotation 1. leaves Florida intact? 2. remains intact through April? 3. Sale, Paxton, Kluber and Whitlock make 25 starts apiece this year (average number of starts for '22 AL playoff team rotations). 1. 33%; 2. 25%; 3. 1%
  22. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    Fernando, Doc and Rocket were all legendary pitchers of substance. LA is retiring #34 this year...
  23. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    It's hard to assess pitching down on the farms, after everyone lost a year of in-game development in the summer of '20. But according to mlb.com, the Orioles, Jays, Guardians, Phils, Marlins and Dodgers all have two Top-10 righty or lefty starting prospects. Boston has zero. The Red Sox feel they need to limit Bello's innings -- he's going to be 24 in May. So will Mata. Just for perspective: Clemens was 24 the year he won AL MVP. Valenzuela and Gooden threw 8 shutouts apiece in the bigs when they were 20.
  24. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    NO! If a bubble pops, he'll perforate his eardrums.
  25. 5GoldGlovesOF,75
    It was all planned. Let three old starters walk, replace them with only one new old-timer, and invest in many more relievers. Better get ready for openers and nightly match-ups. Considering how much last year blew -- pen intended -- it's at least a different approach (what have we got to lose: fourth place?) Hopefully, AC learned his lesson burning out Barnsey on high leverage every night, and will now delegate many go-to's. Moe: "Spread out!"
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