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Everything posted by 5GoldGlovesOF,75
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Casas' core injury could have long-lasting effects on his career, and may be why a club might want to trade him before he loses all value. But his potential is also a reason why other teams would be interested -- and why a mid-market team like Boston would want to keep him while he's cheap. Here's Casas' BA and OPS for the second-half of his rookie year, 2023 at age 23: .317, 1.034. Compare to Vlad in that same half, same season, when he was 24: .251, .790.
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Vlad would be an upgrade over anyone with the bat, but could be a disaster in Boston. He's a dog on defense, with attitude issues, and the fans could turn on him in a hurry... If Henry somehow miraculously changes the spending patterns established the past half decade -- and gives Vlad -- of all players -- what he wants, the Red Sox could get stuck with the worst contract in team history. Plus, think of all the young core players the Sox could extend instead, for the same amount of one risky free agent.
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
All kinds of talk this weekend by Cora and the front office about plans to increase the versatility of many young players: Campbell at SS, Mayer at 2B/3B, Abreu at 1B, Hamilton to the outfield... Could be excuses to go with the youth and not spend on a Bregman, but one thing that shouldn't be overlooked is the impact a veteran winner can have on an unproven, up-and-coming core. Maybe Buehler can be that leader for the pitching staff, because none of the new White Sox guys -- Crochet, Giolito, Hendriks -- have ever won. For the bullpen we have Chapman, for what that's worth. But as for regulars, the vets are Raffy -- who doesn't yet want the role -- and Story, who doesn't have the cred... -
Vlad is a terrible first baseman, he led the majors in errors and would actually downgrade the position in Boston. A few more home runs is not the smart move in any way to improve the club's biggest weakness -- defense. Tris Casas' career is just beginning. He is articulate and introspective -- which intimidates some people for some reason -- but those traits may also promise dedication to improvement. Casas has something to prove, even if it's making swing adjustments to preserve his core and use the Green Monster more, which we've already seen he can do. First base is far from the biggest issue on Boston, and the Sox have a young player who is not yet a star or filthy rich like Vlad already is. If fans think Devers isn't worth what he costs, imagine having another one -- only without the cheerful personality...
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Devers' age 23 season was Covid year, but in his age 22 season he had 90 extra base hits. The curse for Raffy is spewed by Cole whenever he faces him. -
A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
On their "rule-of-thumb" chart for WAR numbers, a "Solid Starter" is between 2 and 3 WAR. The Sox are projected to have three solid starters: Devers, Duran, Casas. A "scrub" is between 0 and 1 WAR. The Sox are projected to have 11 scrubs: Story, Anthony, Ref, Gris, Hammy, three catchers, Romy, Mayer and Sogard. But we'll be a playoff team contending to go deep in the postseason... -
A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
They rate Sox hitters middle of the pack in the AL, and I'm assuming it's all about star power. New York, Texas, Baltimore, Houston, Minnesota, Seattle and KC -- most have studs... though the Twins' Correa and M's JRod weren't much better than Devers' damaged goods season. -
Posters on this forum and others were moaning about extending Bello and Rafaela last year because they weren't instant superstars. Some even wanted one or the other demoted for more practice against minor leaguers. Rebuilding a sports team isn't like rebuilding a house, because the latter already has a foundation. Stop worrying about retaining that extra year of control. Do you know how many Boston players in 2024 were Red Sox for five full years? One: Raffy Devers. (Houck and Pivetta joined at the end of 2020, and Dalbec was up and down... can't think of any other).
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A Realistic View of the 2025 Red Sox: Part I
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to moonslav59's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Like most Sox fans, what I'm really looking forward to this season is seeing the new guys, and how they help the club. That includes pitchers Crochet and Buehler (the other free agent arms they signed, not so much), and especially the debuts and contributions of rookies that Boston and the industry has been hyping: Anthony, Campbell and Mayer. If the Red Sox don't promote at least one or two of these guys from Spring Training on -- and let them become big leaguers -- it won't be as fun. I have less interest in seeing the same regulars return from a .500 team -- minus last year's home run leader -- and hope they all can recover from injuries and stay healthy. It's time for new blood. If they're not going to pay for authentic free agent talent, then bring it up; they're ready and we're ready. -
Counting on anybody to be as good as new with post-surgery repairs, especially with an artificial body part (like a mesh patch, plastic knee or internal elbow brace) is risky. A guy who was good at something when he was young and supple is not guaranteed to regain that status when he's older and more brittle. It took one of the best pitchers of this generation -- Chris Sale -- half a decade to finally regain past glory, and everybody was surprised he lasted a full season.... but was anyone surprised he broke down before the postseason?
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Article: 25 Predictions For the 2025 Red Sox
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to Daniel Fox's topic in Talk Sox Front Page News
Regarding the mismatched SOX: I'm either optimistic about Mayer because the Red kept him over Teel, or pessimistic because the White took Teel instead... (when they already had a top catching prospect). -
Sox should give Crochet a guarantee to pay him $38 million for two years, with an opt out after one year -- which he'll only take if he's good (or even pitching). Hey, it worked for Giolito, the last staff ace we got from Chicago. Bet you didn't know the Red Sox have a club option to keep Gio for only $14 mil for 2026 if he throws less than 140 innings this season... that should go over well with Lucas if Cora and Bailey conspire to use the 6-man rotation all summer "to protect his arm."
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Article: 25 Predictions For the 2025 Red Sox
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to Daniel Fox's topic in Talk Sox Front Page News
Cartaya to Twins for a minor league arm. "He’s received high marks for his defense, including a plus arm according to MLB Pipeline, and improving receiving skills." My prediction is that the Red Sox already made their trade for their second catcher this year. -
Article: 25 Predictions For the 2025 Red Sox
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to Daniel Fox's topic in Talk Sox Front Page News
Or in Boston, since that sums up the average lefty-swinging big leaguer, too. -
Article: 25 Predictions For the 2025 Red Sox
5GoldGlovesOF,75 replied to Daniel Fox's topic in Talk Sox Front Page News
Mayer's late-season injury makes fans forget that he was the Sox prospect leading the Eastern League in batting average before promotion to AAA. I'm not saying that makes him better than Anthony or Campbell -- only that Marcelo can hang with both as a hitter. Maybe he stays healthy and winds up the surprise breakout big leaguer. -
But also inflamous for inflammatory acne
- 124 replies
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- nolan arenado
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There's no hatred... except maybe for a rich org that we all suspect will definitely keep a guy like Ref around, just for the fact his contract is such a bargain for an established big leaguer.
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Not denying that, but maybe guys played hurt more, while teams had less invested in them -- thus, less inclination to "take care of them." Players weren't set for life and didn't want to risk losing their jobs. Yaz always played hurt, taping up injuries and adjusting stances and swings; he got booed when his production cratered in the early 70s, but he was at half-mast. Rice was always in the line-up, but Lynn got grief for missing games for being too fragile.
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Old guy rant, but last century most preseason outlooks began with, "If our pitching stays healthy..." Nowadays, every Red Sox winter always seems to start with, "IF EVERYTHING WORKS OUT PERFECTLY..." ... modern athletes are just bigger, stronger, more easily injured. It's why teams try to develop multi-positional players (and not Franchys, looking to contrive a position they may be competent at MLB levels). Guys like Rafaela and hopefully Campbell have even more roster value than we can imagine.
- 124 replies
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In Boston. He is a major leaguer, after posting a 2.8 WAR his rookie season. BB-ref lists him as the Sox' regular shortstop on the '24 roster, but even though two other outfield teammates were nominated for Gold Gloves, we all know he's the best flychaser on the club. Despite pitch selection issues in his first year in the bigs, Ceddanne still hit 15 homers, stole 19 bases, and only Devers had more RBI. He's not a minor leaguer.
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Sounds like a plan: bring back all the injury-prone players and count on them again, because athletes are always healthier with every additional year they age.
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Can we order some Hibiki for the forum? Even if Roki doesn't sign with the Mystery Sox, maybe he can pack some in for road games in Boston... as long as he's not underage.

