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Hugh2

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Everything posted by Hugh2

  1. Hugh2
    This was my understanding as well. They weren't exactly trying to cover up or discretly do what apparently a lot of teams were doing to circumnavigate the rules. Why are they coming down on the Red Sox for this??? Did the MLB hire Rodger Goddell???
  2. Hugh2
    Well I guess we will just have to agree to disagree....unless of course you disagree to that. On a personal note I've been pro Swihart for a long time, but I think I'm switching over to being pro Vasquez. I've always like both, but on this team with this offense I think it makes sense to go defense first at the catching position. If anything, regardless of how Swihart develops I think the Sox completely mishandled the situation this year. If anyone wants some good insight into the situation the Soxprospects had a podcast a week ago where the addressed this issue....and I think it's 100% spot on. If anyone has time today check out podcast #95 from about the 50:00 minute marker on they talk about Swihart. It's a good listen. http://hwcdn.libsyn.com/p/1/7/4/1740859415895e49/2016-0502.mp3?c_id=11613562&expiration=1463071073&hwt=d797edf9a782cc1ba85401a261217ae0
  3. Hugh2
    I agree even stats like WAR an OPS are far from perfect and flawed. I do think they are useful and by themselves are more useful than other stats if you HAD to just look at one. I think it's become the new "quick" reference that OPS used to be.
  4. Hugh2
    From what I heard it was 2 ground ball doubles and a weak hit....more luck than anything. A real shame too because I'd love to have an outfield of Castillo/JBJ/Betts. Also as far as Dubon goes the guy has zero power and is OBPing more than he's slugging. That suggests a struggle at the MLB level. I actually like him and think he's got a good MLB future but I think he doesn't get a lot of hype because no one thinks he's a starter type. He's viewed more of as a bench type guy.
  5. Hugh2
    So hitting .494 against LHP isn't "really struggles against LHP"??? I think you ultimately agree with me. Because in our debate on the other forum I did mention this was an option to be entertained in July, as in...3 months from now if this trend continues. I'm not advocating the switch now. But given his track record in the minors with how he's handled LHP so far this year one should at least be keeping their eye on the situation. Perhaps that was lost in transition and you think I'm suggest Holt should play 3B right now VS. LHP???
  6. Hugh2
    I agree, but let me rephrase my original point. If you hit a double your OBP and your SLG % goes up. If you walk your SLG is unaffected. Obviously the weights are different as you said and when you combined them the end result is OPS weighs HR's 2B's and 3B's less than you 'd expect by cutting because every hit weighed in slugging is weighed equally in OBP and added back in. I'm not sure how I feel to be honest with you as I don't have a hard stance but i would entertain the ideal that SLG% is undervalued in OPS. Call it 45/55 maybe 40/60
  7. Hugh2
    I'd say this game has gone perfect for the Boston Red Sox, nice to see the offense get it's licks in.
  8. Hugh2
    I thought it would be at least average, and I thought/hoped he could be even more than that. I gave JBJ a little bit more time than most because he was rushed in 2013 and jerked around for the next 2 years.
  9. Hugh2
    Yes, but you miss my point. Shaw hasn't been hitting LHP...I used his minor league numbers to back up the fact that this is a long term trend. He didn't do it in the minors and he isn't doing it now either. Maybe he won't get platooned, maybe he shouldn't....but it doesn't change the fact that Shaw is a poor hitter vs. LHP.
  10. Hugh2
    People who put up drastically better numbers vs. their minor league numbers is almost non existent. There are a few, but it is rare. I wouldn't be surprised if Shaw is a guy who can do marginally better (and those are good numbers) but he wasn't ever good against LHP in the minors too. So why would we think he's going to start being good now vs. LHP when he didn't hit it well in the minors nor is he hitting LHP now?
  11. Hugh2
    Ok so a larger body of work is meaningless to you if it's not at the MLB level, but when the stats fit your narrative a sss is fine but when it doesn't it's "just a small sample size" You literally just said you don't care what a SSS says, except when it says Shaw is doing something he didn't do for 5 years prior....and one of those things is NOT hitting LHP. I wouldn't bet the Sox platoon Shaw because I think his numbers will improve vs. LHP but I think they should. And I will be in here posting what the numbers say when that day comes as well.
  12. Hugh2
    Really? except for his poor numbers vs. LHP pretty much his entire professional career except for 1 month last year? I like Shaw, but he does not look good vs. LHP.
  13. Hugh2
    I fixed it for you.
  14. Hugh2
    You want more data??? In 2015 in the minors he was .230/.263/.347 vs. LHP in 2014 in the minors he was .228/.292/.347 vs LHP
  15. Hugh2
    Young is a .263/.363/.475 lifetime hitter vs. LHP and in 2016 he is .250/.400/500 hitter vs. LHP. He might stink....but not vs. LHP.
  16. Hugh2
    No Holt is .273/.429/.273 this year vs. LHP while Shaw is .080/.115/.120 vs. LHP I suspect Shaw won't be that horrible vs. LHP but he's not beyond a platoon given his performance vs. LHP.
  17. Hugh2
    and as you may remember, some of us wanted to exercise patients and thought his bat could still develop after being rushed several years ago.
  18. Hugh2
    Shaw must of heard me talking trash about his ability to hit lefties.
  19. Hugh2
    OMG I can't believe I forgot about Young. Young has actually hit LHP this year and had some good games lately. I wouldn't exactly put him in a platoon role immediately, but if Shaws splits continue I'd start Holt at 3B vs. FTR, I really like cheap cost controlled assets too. I happen to think they are part of a championship caliber team.
  20. Hugh2
    SLG is more of a component of OBP than OBP is a function of SLG. Every possible way you can slug a double, single, triple or HR contributes to your OBP but not every way you get on base contributes to your SLG. Maybe a "big chunk" is a bit of an exaggeration but that statement itself would be open to interpretation...no?
  21. Hugh2
    Owens might have better stuff and more potential, but you can't have a guy in the big leagues walking a guy an inning. He will get crushed and O'Sullivan has pitched in the big leagues before. He's an up/down depth guy for this precise reason and will not be here long. If something happens to where we need SOS for a prolonged period of time I'd bet we make a move for a starter.
  22. Hugh2
    I understand that, but to further the clarification saying a guy is about average....isn't exactly the greatest argument in his favor. This isn't a knock against Holt, nor is it a cry to replace him in LF, I'm merely stating that it should be an option. This is a thread about roster moves and trade speculation no??? what does this team need? an improvement against LHP. We are currently 26th in BA against LHP, 24th in OBP and 25th in SLG% I was merely suggesting an upgrade in LF against LHP. Shaw can't hit LHP....now I'm not saying to take him out of the lineup now against LHP but if he still has horrible splits come July I'd consider plugging Holt at 3B vs. LHP. In that scenario I'm looking for a bat to put in left. I'm not necessarily even talking about Holt not being a starter. But depending on what's out there or if Castillo takes a step forward I would consider it. In that situation we would be better....what's wrong with making the team better???
  23. Hugh2
    He doesn't have to close the gap by hitting like a HOFer, if he improves his defense then it takes less of an offensive upgrade for him to close that gap. This is a kid rushed to the majors who was only last year a top 20 prospect in all of baseball. I'm not against the move, and am definitely pro Vasquez to Swihart right now....but Swihart has the potential. The team might of made the right decision to send him down...but moving him off the position is premature and a bit perplexing to me.
  24. Hugh2
    Holts career high OPS is .727, he falls off every year and until he doesn't I'm not going to think he will not. Anything short is just speculation. What we do know for a fact is that he can play average to better than average defense at almost any position and that is a void left unfilled by having him in LF. A .725 OPSer isn't exactly screaming "I need to stay here" in LF. This team could do better in LF, and Holt would go a long way to spell Shaw at 3B vs. tough Lefties. Again, I don't buy that a second half drop isn't coming. It would be nice but I just don't see him staying hot in the dog days of summer till October baseball. I'm fine riding the hot hand as well, but if we are still in this thing come trading deadline that should be priority....unless Price never puts it together and other injuries open up a huge hole elsewhere because LF isn't a big hole.
  25. Hugh2
    Everybody always thinks about the big move, sometimes it's the little ones that help win championships. We don't need a big time pitcher if....WHEN Price picks it up. If Buccholz/Kelly/Owens/ERod never step it up this year we may need a good back of the rotation starter. Also, I'd like to see a 3B depth option that can hit LHP, because Shaw looks lost out there vs. lefties. Holt has always had good reverse splits so he could see some time there if someone steps up in LF like Castillo but in the absence of that another outfielder should be in the cards as well.
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