harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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Columnist (and former MLB exec) Jim Bowden at The Athletic lists the Red Sox as the best fit for shortstop Dansby Swanson: https://theathletic.com/3713969/2022/10/27/mlb-free-agent-shortstops-new-teams/ Subscription required. An excerpt:
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Is it tampering for a team to be "in on" Xander Bogaerts before he opts out and becomes a free agent?
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Granted bias is at play but no sense can be made of this proposed trade of five years of 26-year-old Jarren Duran, who posted a negative 0.4 fWAR this year, and four years of 27-year-old Bobby Dalbec, who posted a negative 0.1 fWAR this season, to Seattle for six years of 23-year-old righthander Emerson Hancock, the No. 6 pick in the 2020 draft. https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trades/trade-105381/
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Would the Mets prefer the compensation that attaches to the qualifying offer if Chris Bassitt signs elsewhere? Would Bassitt gamble on the free agent market by declining a qualifying offer? If Bassitt declines a qualifying offer, would the resulting penalty to a signing club shrink Bassitt's free agent market to the point that Bassitt is compelled to re-sign with the Mets at less than $19 million? It's complicated.
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From Metsmerized: https://metsmerizedonline.com/the-curious-case-of-chris-bassitt/
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Is Chris Bassitt, despite his complicated contract, less likely to receive a qualifying offer than Michael Wacha? This year the 33-year-old Bassett posed 2.7 fWAR and 3.2 bWAR in 30 starts while the 31-year-old Wacha posted 1.5 fWAR and 3.3 bWAR in 23 starts. The Mets and Bassitt have a $19 million mutual option, or $150,000 buyout, for 2023. https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/new-york...bassitt-14068/
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What if the choice for a high OBP outfielder was between 35-year-old Michael Brantley at a projected two-year, $16 million contract or 28-year-old Andrew Benintendi at a projected six-year, $104 million contract? https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/market-value/ Would Brantley and Benintendi be better options than a trade for one year of 29-year-old lefthand-hitting outfielder Jesse Winker with a 2023 salary of $8.25 million?
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^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
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That the smaller the sample the more random the results?
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To place matters into perspective: The Red Sox finished 21 games behind the Yankees this year after posting a 6-13 record against the Bronx Bombers.
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After playing to a near draw over the previous eight years, this season AL East teams dominated AL West teams with an 89-66 record in the regular season. In the postseason the AL East went 0-6 against the the AL West. The postseason is a crap shoot, but the Houston Astros may well have the league's best team.
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FWIW this year the Astros have won five straight postseason games by a margin of two or fewer runs. The Astros are up 5-0 today against the Yankees. The Seattle Mariners were only 26-31 after splitting their first 12 games against the Astros this year but were 1-5 against the 'Stros the remainder of the season despite going on a 64-41 run.
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Sportrac assigns Daniel Vogelbach a current market value of $15 million total over three years: https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/market-value/
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Join the Red Sox offseason chat to go live around 5:15 pm EDT at MLB Trade Rumors: https://www.jotcast.com/chat/red-sox-live-chat-14199.html
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To elaborate: Chaim Bloom was in the Tampa Bay front office at the trade deadline in 2018 when the Rays traded Chris Archer to the Pittsburgh Pirates for Tyler Glasnow, Shane Baz and Austin Meadows. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/meadoau01.shtml#all_transactions_other Infamously.
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What about pursuing 27-year-old leftfielder Austin Meadows, whom Baseball Trade Values lists as a non-tender candidate in Detroit? https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/non-tender-candidates-from-each-team/
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More on Jesse Winker and the Seattle Mariners: https://sports.mynorthwest.com/1680585/whats-next-for-mariners-and-jesse-winker-mlb-insiders-react/
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No player is untouchable but Jesse Winker may not be high on Seattle's list of available players.
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An Over the Monster blogger examines Jesse Winker as a Red Sox trade target: https://www.overthemonster.com/2022/10/20/23411582/where-are-the-deals-jesse-winker-edition
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It's Dipoto with a lower-case p. Then again, Valdez offers his unusual spelling of the first name of the nearly 24-year-old 18th-ranked prospect for the Red Sox. Jesse Winker may a designated hitter batting leadoff for the 2023 Seattle Mariners. Or not.
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In the case of Julio Rodriguez it means being culturally appropriate role model who knows the strike zone.
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The Athletic beat reporter Jen McCaffrey names Chris Bassitt and Carlos Rodon as likely free agent pitching targets for the Red Sox: https://theathletic.com/3691118/2022/10/19/red-sox-free-agent-pitching-targets-xander-bogaerts-contract-predictions-and-more-mailbag-part-1/ Subscription required.
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Julio Rodriguez would likely be disappointed. Eric Hosmer is not replacing All Star first baseman Ty France and Seattle manager Scott Servais prefers to rotate players through the DH slot ... although that could be Jesse Winker's primary role next year.
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Carlos Santana served as the caddy for 21-year-old Julio Rodriguez ... and a good caddy at that.
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I've read of Seattle fans who covet Rafael Devers, Xander Bogaerts, Trevor Story and other Red Sox. Eric Hosmer does not fall into that category.