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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. An apparent Marlins fan disagrees: "Ive said for a while the Red Sox are a great partner. Give us one of Devers/Benintendi, Rodriguez, and a prospect." http://soflamarlins.com/showthread.php?7723-Marlins-2017-2018-Offseason-Discussion-Thread/page12 Scroll down.
  2. An SB Nation offseason simulation came up this this proposal: Traded Giancarlo Stanton to the Boston Red Sox for Xander Bogaerts, Jackie Bradley Jr., Brian Johnson, and Blake Swihart. https://www.fishstripes.com/2017/11/8/16625136/the-2017-sbnation-offseason-simulation-marlins-apocalypse
  3. According to MLB Trade Rumors, if the Red Sox sign a free agent who declined a qualifying offer the Sox would lose their second-highest draft pick and have their international signing bonus pool reduced by $500,000: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/11/which-draft-picks-each-team-would-lose-by-signing-a-qualified-free-agent.html The teams that lose qualifying-offer free agents get compensation: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/11/examining-draft-pick-compensation-for-the-6-teams-that-could-lose-qualified-free-agents.html
  4. A deliberate misstatement of fact undercuts credibility more than a negligent misstatement of fact. The issue may be whether there was any credibility to be undercut.
  5. http://www.miamiherald.com/sports/spt-columns-blogs/fish-bytes/article184112096.html
  6. New York Post baseball writer Joel Sherman suggests this three-way trade involving Giancarlo Stanton (but not involving the Red Sox): http://nypost.com/2017/11/11/trades-the-yankees-mets-and-jeter-could-make-this-week/
  7. Your criticism of this journalist got off on the wrong foot when you got his name wrong (a mistake you repeated in the closing).
  8. MassLive columnist Christopher Smith provides a detailed breakdown of the Red Sox budget for 2018, including each player's projected salary and payroll impact: http://www.masslive.com/redsox/index.ssf/2017/11/boston_red_sox_40-man_roster_c.html#incart_river_index
  9. I should not have written that because I am unsure what, if anything, the Mariners want after Mike Zunino, their 26-year-old first-string catcher, posted 3.6 fWAR this year (and spent just enough time in the minors to give Seattle an additional year of team control). http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13265&position=C At any rate, I doubt the Mariners are interested in Blake Swihart, whose early 2018 projection is not encouraging: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13176&position=C Seattle's presumptive backup catcher is Mike Marjama: https://www.lookoutlanding.com/2017/8/14/16116578/meet-mike-marjama-new-mariner-catcher-prospect-andy-mckay
  10. MLB.com columnist Richard Justice predicts that Eric Hosmer will be the only top free agent to sign with the Red Sox: http://m.mlb.com/news/article/261106902/predicting-landing-spots-for-mlb-free-agents/
  11. Miami righthander Edinson Volquez, who is owed $13 million next season, might not pitch in 2018 after undergoing Tommy John surgery in August: http://www.miamiherald.com/sports/spt-columns-blogs/fish-bytes/article182894796.html Scroll down. http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/20220788/edinson-volquez-jt-riddle-miami-marlins-miss-rest-year-injuries
  12. Seattle's Mike Marjama, a 28-year-old catcher who will earn the league minimum next season, is projected to produce about the same as 28-year-old Boston catcher Sandy Leon, who is projected to earn $2.1 million in 2018. http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=12594&position=C http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=5273&position=C Heath Hembree would be another cost-controlled arm in the Seattle bullpen: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=20&type=8&season=2017&month=0&season1=2017&ind=0&team=11&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0
  13. Everybody has an offseason plan, including this one passed on by a Kansas City blogger: https://www.royalsreview.com/2017/11/8/16625230/the-sb-nation-baseball-off-season-simulation-project-recap
  14. The Mariners could toss Brian Johnson, Jalen Beeks and/or Mike Shawaryn on their heap of starters/long relievers who would pitch no more than four innings a game in the suggested wolf pack* approach. The problem would be finding room on the 40-man roster. The Mariners are in the market for a defensive catcher to back up Mike Zunino so Blake Swihart would not fit the bill. Seattle already has its Brock Holts in Taylor Motter, Andrew Romine and Zach Vincej. * http://m.mariners.mlb.com/news/article/257299736/dipoto-to-focus-on-pitching-during-offseason/
  15. I doubt the Mariners have any interest in Michael Chavis, a 22-year-old fringe prospect with a 25.3 % strikeout rate and 7.2% walk rate in a minor league career that has yet to reach Triple A. In July the Mariners traded away their same-age, strikeout-prone, righthand-hitting slugger in outfield prospect Tyler O'Neill, who is ranked higher than Chavis on the MLB.com prospect list: http://m.mlb.com/prospects/2017
  16. That's an interesting proposal but I doubt the Mariners will trade their two most popular players. Granted, the Felix Hernandez contract is underwater with $53 million remaining over two years after the 31-year-old righthander posted only 1.4 fWAR, valued at $11.3 million, over the last two seasons. Seattle fans can pray for a Verlander-type renaissance but Steamer projects Hernandez with a modest 2018 WAR of 2.0 in 28 starts. Justin Verlander, who is three years older and who now has more MLB innings, has been a convenient comp since the righthanders signed similar same-duration extensions within weeks of each other in 2010 and again in 2013. The Seattle front office hopes to reward the iconic Hernandez for his loyalty with a postseason appearance by the Mariners. But this is the same franchise that traded away Ken Griffey Jr., Ichiro and Randy Johnson. Only Nelson Cruz rivals Hernandez for a presence in the Seattle clubhouse. In the final months of 2014, Seattle signed Cruz to a four-year, $57 million contract while Boston signed Hanley Ramirez to a four-year, $88 million contract with a vesting option for a fifth year at $22 million. In the ensuing three seasons Cruz has posted 12.8 fWAR, valued at $102.4 million, while Ramirez has posted 0.6 fWAR, valued at $3.3 million. Streamer projects 2018 WAR of 2.6 for Cruz and 1.0 for Ramirez. Indeed the drop-off would be among the deal-breakers. The window may be closing for Seattle so Cruz will likely remain a Mariner in 2018. The M's may well have an interest in Jackie Bradley Jr. (and even Rick Porcello) but not at that price. I've probably written too much already.
  17. https://www.mlbdailydish.com/2017/11/8/16626138/red-sox-prospect-daniel-flores-dies https://twitter.com/hashtag/RedSox?src=hash
  18. I question most of these suggestions for the Red Sox: http://boston.cbslocal.com/2017/11/08/red-sox-free-agent-hitters-2017/ https://www.fanragsports.com/3-free-agents-red-sox-should-target-this-winter/
  19. I don't think I've read a report that the Red Sox are interested in J.D. Martinez. I've read many reports that the Red Sox should be interested in J.D. Martinez but nothing citing a Red Sox source indicating the team is interested in Martinez.
  20. Red Sox roundup: http://www.masslive.com/redsox/index.ssf/2017/11/boston_red_sox_looking_to_add.html http://www.nbcsports.com/boston/red-sox/boston-red-sox-notes-staying-under-luxury-tax-not-goal-2018 https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/redsox/2017/11/06/can-alex-cora-analytics-plan-take-red-sox-next-level/mv795H1wqtWWmZ3XxQhLKK/story.html#comments
  21. None of the Top 25 free agents will sign with the Red Sox, according to predictions from MLB.com columnist Jim Duquette: http://m.mlb.com/news/article/260157832/predicting-spots-for-top-25-mlb-free-agents/
  22. Through his age 27 season Mike Cameron had posted 14.0 fWAR in 597 games en route to 50.7 fWAR in his MLB career. Through his age 27 season Jackie Bradley Jr. has posted 9.9 fWAR in 527 games.
  23. Steamer projects a 2018 wRC+ of 112 for Mike Moustakas and 110 for Rafael Devers: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=4892&position=3B http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=17350&position=3B
  24. In his age 21 season Mike Moustakas posted a .322/.369/.630/.999 line (36 HR, 124 RBI) in 534 plate appearances spanning Double A and Triple A: https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=mousta001mik
  25. MLB Trade Rumors offers its offseason outlook for the Red Sox: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/11/offseason-outlook-boston-red-sox-8.html
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