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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. Today's humor: https://www.pinstripealley.com/2019/2/20/18230487/yankees-offseason-manny-machado-bryce-harper-world-series-projections-red-sox-astros-cubs
  2. The Guardians may be weakest in the outfield: https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=C https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=LF https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=RF
  3. Given their farm systems the franchises of the Red Sox and Padres may be headed in different directions. Or not. I look forward to seeing Manny Machado play in late April in Washington DC and in mid-May in San Diego.
  4. Cleveland might not want Christian Vazquez and his guaranteed money when the Guardians already have two comparable catchers: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=c&stats=bat&type=steamer600&team=5&lg=all&players=0&sort=27,d https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=c&stats=bat&type=steamer600&team=3&lg=all&players=0&sort=27,d Vazquez and Cleveland catcher Roberto Perez have comparable contracts: https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/al-east/boston-red-sox/ https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/compensation/cots/american-league/cleveland-Guardians-2/ ... although Perez has a shorter guarantee at slightly lower salaries. Cleveland catcher Kevin Plawecki has a 2019 salary of $1.1375 million as a Super Two with four years of team control.
  5. No reason to believe the post was about Sandy Leon: https://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/19135-Blake-Swihart
  6. Blake Swihart has two years and 164 days of MLB service and therefore cannot declare free agency if he clears waivers: https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/s/swihabl01.shtml
  7. On-field experience will exploit those who ignore it.
  8. Big Data will exploit those who ignore it.
  9. Including the Boston Globe's Peter Abraham: https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/redsox/2019/02/18/here-what-john-henry-and-tom-werner-had-say-about-state-red-sox/66rTg33P7RxM3nX2swbG7N/story.html?event=event12
  10. Here are Steamer600 projections for Red Sox catchers: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=c&stats=bat&type=steamer600&team=3&lg=all&players=0&sort=27,d Blake Swihart fares better in a ZiPS comparison despite a negative WAR projection: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-zips-projections-boston-red-sox/
  11. David Price was 30 years old with 31.9 fWAR, 29.2 bWAR, 126 ERA+ and 3.09 ERA in 1,441.2 innings when the Red Sox signed the lefthander to a seven-year, $217 million contract. Lefthander Chris Sale, who turns 30 next month, has posted 41.8 fWAR, 43.1 bWAR, 144 ERA+ and 2.89 ERA in 1,482.1 innings. Perhaps the market has changed but Chris Sale will be expensive.
  12. In that scenario Blake Swihart would still be out of options. Swihart could be optioned to the minors only if he goes unclaimed on waivers.
  13. The Red Sox should mercifully designate Blake Swihart for assignment in hopes of finding a trade partner. If Swihart clears waivers he can get regular playing time at Pawtucket to establish his trade value. If another club claims Swihart, Red Sox fans will likely forget him in short order.
  14. Former ESPN columnist and "analytics pioneer" Rob Neyer made that point (and many other excellent points) in his latest book Power Ball: Anatomy of a Modern Baseball Game: https://www.harpercollins.com/9780062853615/power-ball/
  15. Openers apparently are supported by analytics, which are all about increasing the chances of winning, not about providing the best entertainment for the fan. That's often the conundrum with analytics.
  16. That would be a good result for the Red Sox and Blake Swihart (who could get regular playing time at Pawtucket to enhance his trade value ... or not).
  17. https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=SP
  18. A baseball fan with 40+ hours to spare might be interested in the podcasts with Seattle general manager Jerry Dipoto: http://seattle.mariners.mlb.com/fan_forum/podcasts/index.jsp?c_id=sea&podcast=wheelhouse Dipoto might not always make the right decision but his podcasts are informative and often entertaining.
  19. An apparent Red Sox fan has posted consensus prospect rankings: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PyI0tyoCesi_jyQ1D8NIqDmrYSfrk0_gzINCP1Ip_rs/edit#gid=405455672 https://www.overthemonster.com/2019/1/29/18202603/top-100-prospects-consensus-rankings
  20. For what it's worth, the Red Sox placed no prospects among the top 132 compiled by FanGraphs columnists Eric Longenhagen and Kiley McDaniel: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-top-100-prospects/
  21. FanGraphs columnist Jay Jaffe writes that relievers Ryan Madsen and Tony Sipp could "find homes" with the Red Sox: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/lets-find-homes-for-a-few-more-unsigned-free-agents/
  22. If Blake Swihart clears waivers the Red Sox can outright him to the minors without his consent because he lacks the three years of MLB service required to veto an outright to the minors. Alternatively, the Red Sox could release Swihart if his clears waivers. http://m.mlb.com/glossary/transactions/designate-for-assignment My questions are: Will the Red Sox still owe Swihart his 2019 salary of $910,000 and, if so, does that amount count against the luxury tax calculation? Can a team release an arbitration eligible player during Spring Training for a fraction of the player's agreed-upon salary? If not, after a release can another team sign Swihart for the league minimum with the Red Sox paying the balance of the salary? These scenarios offer the intersection of several complicated rules.
  23. The Red Sox are shopping catchers and seeking rotation depth, according to this MLB Trade Rumors summary of a subscription-only report from Sean McAdams of the Boston Sports Journal: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/02/red-sox-still-shopping-catchers-seeking-rotation-depth.html
  24. Steamer600, which assumes 450 plate appearances for each catcher, ranks Blake Swihart 203rd in its 2019 WAR projections for catchers: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=c&stats=bat&type=steamer600&team=0&lg=all&players=0&sort=27%2cd Steamer does not capture pitch-framing and game-calling skills but those measures might not help Swihart.
  25. Last year the World Series champion Red Sox went 3-4 at Seattle and Oakland. According to Roster Resource's Mariner site, this year in Seattle the Red Sox will face Yusei Kikuchi, Mike Leake, Marco Gonzales and Felix Hernandez: https://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-seattle-mariners/ ... avoiding feared:) Seattle lefthander Wade LeBlanc: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA201806160.shtml However, according to Roster Resource's Red Sox site, this year in Seattle the Sox will face Leake, Gonzales, Hernandez and LeBlanc: https://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-boston-red-sox/
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