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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. Because of luxury tax implications the Pirates may have fewer problems than the Red Sox with Francisco Cervelli's 2019 salary of $11.5 million.
  2. The search goes on:
  3. And they share a last name, were born less than a year apart and each has a guaranteed contract that runs through 2021 with a team option for at least one more year. Felipe's $19 million guarantee outshines Christian's $13.3 million guarantee. Of course the Pirates would be disinclined to pursue Christian Vazquez as the current Sox would be blocked by Francisco Cervelli, who last year posted the third-highest fWAR of all catchers: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=c&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=100&type=8&season=2018&month=0&season1=2018&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0 ... not to mention that the Pittsburgh bullpen would be significantly weakened.
  4. Steamer600, which assumes 200 innings for each starting pitcher, projects about 312 starters with a higher 2019 WAR than Brian Johnson: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&type=steamer600&team=0&lg=all&players=0&sort=19%2cd Steamer600,, which assumes 450 plate appearances for each catcher, projects 239 catchers with a higher 2019 WAR than Blake Swihart: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=c&stats=bat&type=steamer600&team=0&lg=all&players=0&sort=27%2cd Trivia: In consecutive years Brian Johnson and Seattle lefthander Marco Gonzales won the John Olerud Award as college baseball's best two-way player. Each was a first-round selection as the Red Sox took Johnson with the 31st pick of the 2012 draft and the St. Louis Cardinals took Gonzales with the 19the pick of the 2013 draft. Each lefty has five years of team control although their careers have taken different trajectories. Gonzales made his MLB debut a year before Johnson did and picked up two MLB postseason wins in relief after only 16 months in professional ball.
  5. Steamer600, which assumes 200 innings from each starting pitcher, projects 28-year-old lefthander Brian Johnson with a 2019 WAR of 0.7 and an ERA of 5.10: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=pit&type=steamer600&team=3&lg=all&players=0&sort=19,d Steamer600, which assumes 450 plate appearances for each catcher, projects nearly 27-year-old Blake Swihart with a 2019 WAR of 0.2 and an OPS of .652: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=c&stats=bat&type=steamer600&team=3&lg=all&players=0 I question whether two barely replacement-level players, who are out of options, will bring back "a very good, cost effective" reliever.
  6. Unless Nathan Eovaldi is last year's Drew Pomeranz and Steve Pearce is last year's Eduardo Nunez. Eovaldi and Pearce may have overperformed in 2018 ... or not.
  7. Another site's inventory of free agent relievers: https://metsmerizedonline.com/2019/01/taking-inventory-of-free-agent-relievers.html/
  8. From today's chat with FanGraphs managing editor Jeff Sullivan: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/jeff-sullivan-fangraphs-chat-1-18-19/
  9. Cody Allen may be off the board as well:
  10. Yup.
  11. The Red Sox may have the last laugh (again) but a Yankee fan writes ... http://www.nyyfansforum.com/showthread.php/138716-Official-2018-19-Offseason-Hot-Stove-Thread/page917
  12. From a Yankee forum regarding Craig Kimbrel: http://www.nyyfansforum.com/showthread.php/138716-Official-2018-19-Offseason-Hot-Stove-Thread/page911
  13. James Paxton reportedly settled for $8.575 million as the Yankees apparently avoided arbitration with everyone but Luis Severino: https://www.sny.tv/yankees/news/yankees-arbitration-tracker-austin-romine-greg-bird-settle-on-contracts/302606774
  14. Hence the "up to $7.5 million" in my post.
  15. To be precise, with a trade of Sonny Gray the Yankees could jettison up to $7.5 million, the 2019 salary the parties agreed upon to avoid arbitration.
  16. I joined the discussion when the honorable notin asked whether Bobby Dalbec and Darwinzon Hernandez would be enough to land "stud" reliever Will Smith: https://www.talksox.com/forum/threads/19013-A-Realistic-View-at-2019-Part-I/page147?highlight=stud Feel free to follow the discussion from there, including when notin directed me to the FanGraphs FV.
  17. The highest FV for a Red Sox prospect is 45 while the other 10 teams ranked so far each have at least three prospects with higher FV, including the Atlanta Braves with 10 prospects with higher FVs.
  18. Working off the FanGraphs rankings released on Thursday: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/top-26-prospects-boston-red-sox/
  19. I don't have access to the Baseball America rankings but Bobby Dalbec and Darwinzon Hernandez are ranked No. 4 and No. 5 by SoxProspects, No. 6 and No. 7 by MLB Prospect Watch and No. 2 and No. 7 by FanGraphs.
  20. FanGraphs managing editor Jeff Sullivan suggests that Will Smith may have more trade value than Madison Bumgarner: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/somebody-go-get-will-smith/
  21. Unlike Tim Beckham and Dustin Ackley, Trey Ball is unlikely to post 3 fWAR in a single season.
  22. In the past two days the Seattle Mariners have signed the No. 1 pick in the 2008 draft and No. 2 pick in the 2009 draft. Tim Beckham and Dustin Ackley are expected to provide only infield depth.
  23. What is the cumulative total of raises for the 12 arbitration-eligible Red Sox players? How do the raises impact the available payroll in light of luxury-tax implications? OK. Moonslav addressed the questions on a separate thread.
  24. Edwin Encarnacion!?!?😀😀😀 ... athough the Rays lack a big contract to trade back to Seattle. How much of the $25 million remaining on Encarnacion’s contract would the Mariners need to pay to get a decent prospect?
  25. The Rays have defensive whiz Mike Zunino, who is a year removed from a 3.7 fWAR season.
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