harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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The Red Sox should mercifully designate Blake Swihart for assignment in hopes of finding a trade partner. If Swihart clears waivers he can get regular playing time at Pawtucket to establish his trade value. If another club claims Swihart, Red Sox fans will likely forget him in short order.
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Former ESPN columnist and "analytics pioneer" Rob Neyer made that point (and many other excellent points) in his latest book Power Ball: Anatomy of a Modern Baseball Game: https://www.harpercollins.com/9780062853615/power-ball/
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Openers apparently are supported by analytics, which are all about increasing the chances of winning, not about providing the best entertainment for the fan. That's often the conundrum with analytics.
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That would be a good result for the Red Sox and Blake Swihart (who could get regular playing time at Pawtucket to enhance his trade value ... or not).
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https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=SP
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A baseball fan with 40+ hours to spare might be interested in the podcasts with Seattle general manager Jerry Dipoto: http://seattle.mariners.mlb.com/fan_forum/podcasts/index.jsp?c_id=sea&podcast=wheelhouse Dipoto might not always make the right decision but his podcasts are informative and often entertaining.
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An apparent Red Sox fan has posted consensus prospect rankings: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1PyI0tyoCesi_jyQ1D8NIqDmrYSfrk0_gzINCP1Ip_rs/edit#gid=405455672 https://www.overthemonster.com/2019/1/29/18202603/top-100-prospects-consensus-rankings
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For what it's worth, the Red Sox placed no prospects among the top 132 compiled by FanGraphs columnists Eric Longenhagen and Kiley McDaniel: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-top-100-prospects/
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FanGraphs columnist Jay Jaffe writes that relievers Ryan Madsen and Tony Sipp could "find homes" with the Red Sox: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/lets-find-homes-for-a-few-more-unsigned-free-agents/
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If Blake Swihart clears waivers the Red Sox can outright him to the minors without his consent because he lacks the three years of MLB service required to veto an outright to the minors. Alternatively, the Red Sox could release Swihart if his clears waivers. http://m.mlb.com/glossary/transactions/designate-for-assignment My questions are: Will the Red Sox still owe Swihart his 2019 salary of $910,000 and, if so, does that amount count against the luxury tax calculation? Can a team release an arbitration eligible player during Spring Training for a fraction of the player's agreed-upon salary? If not, after a release can another team sign Swihart for the league minimum with the Red Sox paying the balance of the salary? These scenarios offer the intersection of several complicated rules.
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The Red Sox are shopping catchers and seeking rotation depth, according to this MLB Trade Rumors summary of a subscription-only report from Sean McAdams of the Boston Sports Journal: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/02/red-sox-still-shopping-catchers-seeking-rotation-depth.html
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Steamer600, which assumes 450 plate appearances for each catcher, ranks Blake Swihart 203rd in its 2019 WAR projections for catchers: https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=c&stats=bat&type=steamer600&team=0&lg=all&players=0&sort=27%2cd Steamer does not capture pitch-framing and game-calling skills but those measures might not help Swihart.
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Last year the World Series champion Red Sox went 3-4 at Seattle and Oakland. According to Roster Resource's Mariner site, this year in Seattle the Red Sox will face Yusei Kikuchi, Mike Leake, Marco Gonzales and Felix Hernandez: https://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-seattle-mariners/ ... avoiding feared:) Seattle lefthander Wade LeBlanc: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SEA/SEA201806160.shtml However, according to Roster Resource's Red Sox site, this year in Seattle the Sox will face Leake, Gonzales, Hernandez and LeBlanc: https://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-boston-red-sox/
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https://www.foul-territory.com/mlb/craig-kimbrel
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Ivan the Great at the Atlanta Braves' site Talking Chop analyzes aging: https://www.talkingchop.com/2019/2/9/18202695/baseball-analysis-primer-aging Ivan the Great's analysis of surplus value could be helpful in assessing trade proposals: https://www.talkingchop.com/2019/2/10/18202698/baseball-analysis-primer-surplus-value
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I suspect J.D. Martinez had other offers before accepting the Red Sox offer: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/02/what-other-teams-could-emerge-for-j-d-martinez.html :)
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Robinson Cano has posted 20.7 fWAR, valued at $163.7 million, in the first five years of his 10-year, $240 million contract (that was reduced to $228 million with his 80-game suspension last year). Steamer and ZiPS project Cano with 2019 WAR of 3.4 and 2.5, respectively, which last year were valued at about $27 million and $20 million. The 36-year-old Cano would need a precipitous drop in production to fall short of his $228 million paycheck (although the $120 million balance of the contract may be underwater and the Mariners will be paying $20 million of that).
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I saw Frank Robinson play in an exciting 1967 game that featured five future Hall of Famers (plus Tony Oliva, Boog Powell, Paul Blair and Davey Johnson): https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/MIN/MIN196708310.shtml
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Reliever Sergio Romo reportedly is close to signing a one-year deal with unidentified club:
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:D:D I found myself nodding while reading dgalehouse's post.
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You might enjoy Rob Neyer's latest book, Power Ball: Anatomy of a Modern Baseball Game, which distinguishes the Astros and Cubs rebuilds from the blatant tanking in the NBA: https://www.harpercollins.com/9780062853615/power-ball/
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Good point. https://soxsphere.com/2019/01/31/red-sox-take-time-to-sign-a-closer/
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The Red Sox failed to sign any of the 10 potential closers suggested in November by Boston Globe columnist Alex Speier: https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/redsox/2018/11/13/here-are-options-for-red-sox-possible-closers/MuAiKEtrWIwIhfutRLnisI/story.html
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The Red Sox reportedly will sign righthanded reliever Brian Ellington to a minor league contract:
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Erik Bedard had pitched more innings through his age 28 season than James Paxton has pitched through his age 29 season. I am a fan of James Paxton, who pitched a career high of 28 starts and 160.1 innings last year, but durability describes neither Bedard nor Paxton.