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harmony

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Everything posted by harmony

  1. harmony
    I might agree if Will Middlebrooks had outperformed Michael Chavis through nine games. But I noted quite the opposite. Objectivity is a heavy cross to bear.😃
  2. harmony
    Michael Chavis has the edge over Will Middlebrooks in a comparison of the first nine games of their respective MLB careers: MC 35 PA, 28 AB, 5 R, 3 HR, 8 RBI, 6 BB, 8 K, .286/.429/.643/1.071 WM 41 PA, 39 AB, 5 R, 3 HR, 11 RBI, 2 BB, 10 K, .282/.317/.641/.958
  3. harmony
    A wide range of outcomes is possible for Michael Chavis. Chavis made his MLB debut when he was 16 days older than Will Middlebrooks was when the latter made his debut. The Red Sox had drafted each out of high school five years earlier as a righthand-hitting infielder with power. Their pre-callup minor league numbers were similar, including their concerning K/BB ratios. Nevertheless I am on board with Chavis.
  4. harmony
    Would anyone trade nearly two years of Jackie Bradley Jr. for nearly four years of Seattle center fielder Mallex Smith? Bradley currently has an OPS+ of 14 and a bWAR of a negative 0.5 while Smith has an OPS+ of 40 and a bWAR of a negative 0.8. I doubt the Mariners, with their extended window, would do that trade.
  5. harmony
    I chose harmony because I want diverse opinions to co-exist in harmony. In other words, I'm not here to pick a fight. But the name of my fantasy team is a tribute to Harmon Killebrew because the moniker combines our last names. In my first MLB games -- a doubleheader at old Comiskey Park in Chicago -- Killebrew homered in each game but the White Sox swept the Twins in 15 and 11 innings: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/CHA/CHA196608281.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/CHA/CHA196608282.shtml Midway through the second game my father wanted to leave to catch the Greyhound bus back to my small hometown. I told him he was free to leave but that I would find my 10-year-old self back to Iowa on my own. We stayed and caught a later bus, arriving home about an hour before he reported to work the following morning. Neither he nor my mother complained that we spent their 17th wedding anniversary at a ballgame.
  6. harmony
    I was there in person ... not for the splits by childhood hero Harmon Killiebrew in the 1968 All Star game (which I remember well) but for the splits by Fernando Tatis Jr. in Sunday's game at Nationals Park in Washington DC.
  7. harmony
    FanGraphs gives the Red Sox a 53 percent chance of advancing to the postseason even though the site gives five other American League teams a higher percentage: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds FiveThirtyEight gives the Red Sox a 40 percent chance, again trailing five AL teams: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/
  8. harmony
    The 11-16 Red Sox are a respectable 5-4 in one-run games (and 1-5 in blowout games of 5+ run margins).
  9. harmony
    A wide range of outcomes is possible for Michael Chavis. Chavis made his MLB debut when he was 16 days older than Will Middlebrooks was when the latter made his debut. The Red Sox had drafted each out of high school five years earlier as a righthand-hitting infielder with power. Their pre-callup minor league numbers were similar, including their concerning K/BB ratios. Nevertheless I am on board with Chavis.
  10. harmony
    In my keeper roto league last September I took a flier on Ryan Brasier in the final weekly draft. I’m not a huge Michael Chavis fan but he’ll be my pick in this week’s draft.
  11. harmony
    I was thrilled to see Mays and Aaron play and did not recall the two went hitless until I reviewed the box score today.
  12. harmony
    FWIW I saw Hank Aaron and Willie Mays go hitless in the same game in 1973: https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/NYN/NYN197307060.shtml
  13. harmony
    Whit Merrifield has a four-year, $16.35 million contract that runs through 2022 and with a team option for 2023 Merrifield remains under team control for the same duration as Devers. Devers may never reach the level that has resulted in Merrifield’s 10 bWAR in just over two years since the start of the 2017 season.
  14. harmony
    Minnesota could surprise this year ... as could the Red Sox in a different direction.
  15. harmony
    Jackie Bradley Jr. might be at least a poor man’s Paul Blair. Blair, the two-time All Star and eight-time Gold Glover as the Baltimore center fielder, posted 37.8 bWAR in 1,947 career games. Bradley has posted 12.1 bWAR in 691 games. Bradley has value.
  16. harmony
    Bellhorn and I don’t agree on a lot of things but he’s 100 percent correct here.😊
  17. harmony
    In my keeper fantasy league's final weekly draft late last September I exercised a speculative pick on Ryan Brasier, who has kept my team out of cellar in saves this year.
  18. harmony
    Do other teams value Rafael Devers any higher?
  19. harmony
    On that note, a bizarre small-sample stat: Despite a lineup that typically includes Dee Gordon and Mallex Smith, so far this season the Seattle Mariners have eight hitters who each have more home runs than J.D. Martinez (whose four homers match his total through 21 Red Sox games last year when he finished with 43 home runs). https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2019&month=0&season1=2019&ind=0&team=11&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=4,d The Mariners have played three more games than the Red Sox.
  20. harmony
    FiveThirtyEight gives the Red Sox a 5 percent chance of winning the World Series: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/ ... while FanGraphs gives the Sox a 5.1 percent chance of winning the World Series: https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
  21. harmony
    To be precise, the Red Sox save $360,000 if they replace Blake Swihart's 2019 salary of $910,000 with another player's league-minimum salary of $550,000.
  22. harmony
    That is one of several reasonable interpretations. Last year at High A, Marcus Wilson struck out in 28.1 percent of his 502 plate appearances en route to a wRC+ of 84: https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=sa828703&position=OF
  23. harmony
    For what it's worth, I am not a Red Sox fan. Since the start of the 2015 season, Jackie Bradley Jr. has ranked 20th among all outfielders in fWAR: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=of&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2019&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0 Those are not the numbers of a fourth outfielder.
  24. harmony
    Keep. Jackie Bradley Jr. remains among the most valuable Red Sox players.
  25. harmony
    Nathan Eovaldi after four starts this year and Drew Pomeranz after four starts last year: NE 21.0 IP, 6.00 ERA, 16 K, 11 BB, .266 BAA DP 20.2 IP, 5.23 ERA, 20 K, 8 BB, .288 BAA Pomeranz made eight starts in 2018 before landing on the disabled list with a 6.81 ERA.
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