harmony
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Everything posted by harmony
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David Price carries the injury risk as well.
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Click on the link provided. DP 588 IP, 3.84 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 118 ERA+
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Stats the past three seasons for lefthanders Rich Hill and David Price: RH 361 IP, 3.16 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 128 ERA+ DP 359 IP, 3.75 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 122 ERA+ https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/h/hillri01.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/priceda01.shtm
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Mere speculation.
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The Red Sox could be on the verge of a meaningful trade of Jackie Bradley Jr. Or not. But it's only December 23.
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The Baseball Trade Values simulator probably takes into consideration the typical decline of an injury-slowed pitcher in his age 34, 35 and 36 seasons. Or not. Over the past three seasons David Price has posted 6.2 fWAR, valued at $49.8 million, while being paid $91 million, a deficit of $41.2 million. As Price ages in the next three seasons, the difference could grow wider. Or not.
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Although that works against the rumored goal of getting under the luxury tax threshold. The inclusion of Mookie Betts in a David Price trade would probably solve that problem. Interesting choices await.
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The Blue Jays' reported four-year, $80 million contract with lefthander Hyun-Jin Ryu should help the Red Sox in their David Price trade negotiations. Or not.
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The Blue Jays and Red Sox reportedly are discussing David Price: https://theathletic.com/1480955/2019/12/22/rosenthal-david-price-in-play-as-blue-jays-weigh-options-to-upgrade-pitching-while-red-sox-look-to-dump-salary/
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Anthony Rendon, whom the Angels snared from the National League, is not mediocrity ... unless Rafael Devers is mediocrity lite.
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https://www.drivelinebaseball.com/2019/05/developing-less-efficiency-player-development-lead-success/ Something for everyone to chew on. Or not.
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A strong farm allowed the Red Sox to trade for Chris Sale, Craig Kimbrel, Nathan Eovaldi and Drew Pomeranz.
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We should be grateful that legal decisions are not based on the limited information available to this forum.
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If the Red Sox were not concerned about exceeding the luxury tax threshold for the third straight year, you'd think the Sox would have been more aggressive so far in an attempt to improve on an 84-win team that finished 12 games back of the final Wild Card slot. Their sights would be set higher than Jose Peraza, Martin Perez, Chris Mazza and a slew of minor leaguers. Or not.
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The post "Moreland was overpaid at $6M. Myers is set to make $22M" cites salaries, not contracts.
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Or similarly rotten (or ripe or in-between) apples based on bWAR over those three years.
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Depends on the definition of competitive. If the Red Sox intend to get under the luxury tax threshold, it will be hard to improve on an 84-win team that missed the postseason by 12 games (especially when three-fifths of presumed starting rotation has lingering injury concerns). That's what makes the current Red Sox situation so interesting. Bellhorn04 beat me to it.
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Rather than comparing past salary and future salary, the comparison was apples-to-apples FWIW.
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Yep ... but good luck getting rid of the luxury tax implications of the $96 million remaining on David Price's contract. FWIW for the past three seasons Wil Myers was paid $14.5 million and Mitch Moreland $18.5 million.
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Chaim Bloom is on the job: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2019/12/red-sox-sign-jett-bandy.html ... and more:
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Consider this comp of one-time All Star first basemen: Over the past three seasons Wil Myers posted 4.0 bWAR in 393 games while Mitch Moreland posted 4.1 bWAR in 364 games. Here are the 2020 Marcel projections for the 29-year-old Myers and the 34-year-old Moreland: WM 479 PA, .244/.322/.444/.765, 58 R, 19 HR, 55 RBI, 24 2B, 2 3B, 13 SB, 47 BB, 143 K MM 413 PA, .243/.320/.451/.771, 54 R, 17 HR, 61 RBI, 21 2B, 2 3B, 2 SB, 41 BB, 94 K https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/myerswi01.shtml https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/m/morelmi01.shtml Of course the Red Sox would like to upgrade but that is a tall order if the Sox want to get under the luxury tax threshold.
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Wil Myers in his age 29, 30 and 31 seasons might be as productive as David Price in his age 34, 35 and 36 seasons. Or not. This year Price posted 2.3 fWAR and 1.8 bWAR while Myers posted 0.5 fWAR and a negative 0.3 bWAR. However, under the three previous seasons Price totaled 8.3 fWAR and 9.0 bWAR while Myers posted 6.0 fWAR and 7.8 bWAR. Given their ages, their WAR productions might be about to merge … or not.
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The Padres currently have an estimated 2020 payroll of only $150 million, according to Roster Resource: https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/payroll/padres San Diego reportedly was in the market for an expensive Stephen Strasburg but with a trade of Wil Myers the Padres would land David Price for a net $9.5 million annually over three years. Jackie Bradley Jr. would cost a projected $11 million for a single season.
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Andrew Miller was a 29-year-old veteran approaching free agency when the Red Sox traded the lefthander to Baltimore in July 2014 for lefty prospect Eduardo Rodriguez.
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Baseball Trade Values gives a nearly dead-even assessment of this trade between the Red Sox and San Diego Padres: CF Jackie Bradley Jr. SP David Price for 1B/OF Wil Myers SP Anderson Espinoza CF Michael Gettys https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trade-simulator/ The Red Sox would save about $27 million AAV for luxury tax purposes in 2020 (and $17+ million in 2021 and 2022). Gettys is a 24-year-old power-hitting center fielder who this year had 31 home runs and 91 RBI at Triple A despite a .251/.305/.517/.822 line in 551 plate appearances: https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=gettys000mic Of course Espinoza, who remains shy of his 22nd birthday, was a top Red Sox prospect who was traded to San Diego for Drew Pomeranz. Espinoza, who has not pitched since only months after the July 2016 trade, underwent his second Tommy John surgery last April. https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=espino005and