The Red Sox form before the break gave us fans hope, and at that time fangraphs had them at a decent percentage chance to make the playoffs.
Fangraphs still has them at 38% to make the playoffs.
Given the strength of the schedule remaining, and the continuing downward slide of the rotation and bullpen, any reasonable fan would expect the Red Sox not to make the playoffs.
Ah but us fans are not known for being reasonable ! 😉