notin
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Everything posted by notin
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Best way to avoid it will be to retain the Killer Bs and not retain Sale and Kimbrel...
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Dombrowski typically does value offense. I could see that being one of his off-season goals. He did keep Swihart around for a reason...
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And they also valued Jackie Bradley’s 255 plate appearances from 2015 more than all the ones that came before it, right?
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We throw around the “blocked prospect” thing too quickly. Really, who was blocking Margot on Boston? Benintendi, from a level behind? Bradley? Certainly, and while I love Bradley, he’s not irreplaceable. Margot hasn’t hit like Bradley has yet, but then JBJ certainly required patience for that to happen. And I’ve seen people call Javier Guerra and Logan Allen “blocked prospects.” How can an A-ball player be blocked? But really, the bottom line is we gave up a lot of prospects and too often I see fans justifying it with “but how many are starters?” Or “how many turned out to be any good?” Like we weeded out the failures here. The truth is, we probably gave up several good players. Not sure why anyone wants to admit that. Why are people so afraid to say we gave up good prospects? Or we might have given up good prospects?
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Why phrase that in the past tense like it's already a foregone conclusion? Are the career paths for Margot, Moncada, Guerra, Kopech, Dubon, and Espinoza already at their peak or something? Are any of those players even 24 yet? Margot is like 9 months older than Dalbec, who is still in AA and yet some fans are excited about his potential...
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It's elevated by all those tweener veterans who sign minor league deals and spend the year bussing back and forth to the major league club for 10 day stretches. The actual prospects in AAA have a much younger average...
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Why not?
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Any of these three easily deserve it.
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1. Is that column actually dWAR? It's just labeled "Def". I always though it was some sort of calculated run differential, given the numbers involved in the don't always correlate so well with the WAR values. Not really much of a counterpoint, I was just wondering. 2. That's actually not how average works. Just being 10th of 22 doesn't necessarily make you "above average." In this case, the average value in that DEF comumn is 7.8, so Bogaerts is right on the cusp, being the top name above the delimiting line. But given margin of error, he is probably about average. But if the 9 names above his all were credited with a total of one more point each - something completely independent of Bogaerts' fielding - Bogaerts would actually be below the calculated average. Would that make him "below average"? Really, if we have legitmate arguments for him being above average and below average, he is probably about average. And with his offense, that is more than acceptable...
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To me, the bottom line is - if you're worth more fWAR or bWAR with fewer IP, that should be an argument in your favor. After all, if a player hit 10 more home runs in 30 fewer at-bats, you don't hold it against him...
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Both fWAR and bWAR still have Sale for the AL leader. If his IP becomes an issue, Verlander (2nd in fWAR) and Blake Snell (2nd in bWAR) both do become legitimate candidates...
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There might be a non-tender or two in there. Also possible that a trade is made to clear out an arb-eligible player for someone who isn’t yet...
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Mengden caught Manea?
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Or at the very least, not repeatable year to year...
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I don’t. Pitchers typically do those deals in the NL, where they can get better numbers. The truly desperate pitchers go to San Diego to “prove” they still have it in the most ideal pitching environment in the league...
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Leon is replaceable. Vazquez signed a lucrative extension the Sox might not want to pay so he can play elsewhere. Lucroy is barely a catcher. Grandal and Ramos are better free agent targets. And the trade market is always possible (James McCann? Omar Narvaez? Tyler Flowers?)...
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Grove, Feller and Today's 6 inning pitchers
notin replied to bosoxmal's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Sliders and kids throwing too hard too early. Lucas Giolito was throwing 100mph in high school. I can promise you he didn’t need that kind of heat to get high school hitters out. And predictably he had TJ before he graduated. But it worked for him. He got drafted early and paid a serious upfront bonus, probably over slot. And also probably severely shortened his career and increased his likelihood for having his second TJ before he turns 25... -
Wow. Their Champagne Number has officially reached zero...
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He will. But he will keep a bat burning in the window for you...
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Let’s make it religious instead and call it a Divine Number. Or do we go all scientific and call it an Atomic Number?
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LeMahieu? Pass. I’ll take my chances with Pedroia, Holt, Nunez and Hernandez. I don’t see why a fifth second baseman is needed. I could see the Sox pursuing Yasmani Grandal or Wilson Ramos...
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I have to think most MLB players don’t get that far without the ability to handle pressure. And it’s entirely possible the situations fans view as high pressure are not the ones the players view as high pressure...
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I don’t think that invalidates my point...
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I can think of 124 million reasons Price wants to stay and none have anything to do with a ring...
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One thing is it puts the position near the top of Dombrowski’s offseason “To Do” list...
