notin
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Everything posted by notin
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He can also opt out at 33. This isn't his last chance...
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Sure. The Marlins, Giants, Rockies, and Diamondbacks. The Reds do, too, but Votto isn't going anywhere...
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Well that would be on him for opting out. What do you see a 32yo DH getting as a free agent and from who? The higher spenders in the AL all have DH's under control for next season, and while JD would be an upgrade for Houston over, say, Gurriel, they also recently took on Greinke's salary and might not have the budget. The rebuilding teams are not going to build around a DH, except maybe the White Sox. Although all indications are they plan to re-sign Abreu. And that leaves the NL, where the DH is coming, possibly in 2022. The market was not as kind to Martinez a hoped for last time., and now he is 2 years older. I doubt he opts out until after 2020 when his salary drops. He stands less to lose...
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CRACIN: a keeper? 15 game winner for Milwaukee
notin replied to bosoxmal's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Or.. crazy thought. Let's not trade players on the Red Sox for other players already on the Red Sox. -
FIRE DANA LEVANGIE or say he's retiring NOW !!!!!
notin replied to Swiharts Ghost's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
The notion that it has to fall on the pitching coach is a little insane. Even the best coach can't turn Matt Young into Cy Young. The Sox had health issues and depth issues. And while a lot of pitchers sucked, it is very possible that they were just not talented pitchers. Maybe this was the best, say, Travis Lakins can pitch... -
I'm not. Rebuilding sucks are rarely works...
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I wasn't but if you want another bidding war they won that they would have been better of losing, fill in the blanks: R_sney Ca_ti_lo...
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Actually given the potential free agent relievers, this off-season might be the optimal time to move Barnes. The headliner this off-season if Chapman doesn't opt out is Hector Rondon...
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Even if he maintains, two years of Barnes is worth more than 1.5 years of Barnes or 1 year of Barnes. The Sox do need bullpen help, but this might be a time to sell high...
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Of course, there is also the scenario that he opts out and signs a longer, lower AAV contract back with Boston. Who else would need a DH more? If he opts out and signs, say, a 4 year $75mill contract with the Red Sox, the Sox gain about $3.25mill more in AAV towards to luxury tax. And that is assuming the Sox have to go that high. A 4 year $65mill contract gives JD more guaranteed money than he currently has coming, and lowers to Sox AAV calculation by $5.75mill. It's a win-win for a player who struggled with expected offers last time he was a free agent..
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Per sportrac, the Sox should have $56mill to spend before reching the $208mill limit. Out of that $56mill, they have to pay the arbitration raises for whoever they offer them to from Betts, Bradley, ERod, Benintendi, Barnes, Hembree, Wright, and Workman. If JD opts out, that number climbs to $78million. If Betts, Erod, Benintendi, Barnes and Workman all get offered arb and come in around $50mill, they still have some room to spend and stay under. Just not much room if JD stays put...
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I would think so. When you do less, you reduce the chances of injury. Unless all that time on the bench between at bats gave him hemorrhoids...
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In a truly bizarre scenario, if the Sox are without some combo of Bradley, Mookie and JD Martinez, it is entirely possible Rusney Castillo makes the MLB club next season. The Sox are paying him anyway, and the only real savings is on the luxury tax. If they are under the limit and there is no tax to pay, there is that much less of a reason to keep him in Pawtucket Purgatory. (I know it will be Worcester Purgatory next year, but I like alliteration.) Of course, there is always the very real chance that he just flat out sucks, which would be a very real reason to keep him in AAA...
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I'd rather see Eovaldi gone. But the only way that happens is if someone equally cumbersome comes back. The Sox won the wrong bidding war there...
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If they can keep him and achieve their financial goal, whatever it is, they should. If JD opts out or gets traded, it is that much easier to keep Mookie and reset...
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Maybe his strategy involves shooting the right crap...
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But they paid a very high price to get that contract, and you can't overlook that. And the fallout was an increase in the valuation of the closer around the league. Because certainly, every agent representing an elite closer saw that trading for one even at full cotnract price suddenly got very steep and enabled them to ask for outrageous money for their clients...
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He might bounce back, but years of control is a strong influence in trade value as well. He may or may not get better. But his years of control is only going to go in one direction and one direction only...
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The values they have for Barnes and Benintendi are updated, based on the number of years remaining on the table. Of course, both could change depending on what the players actually receive in arbitration. As for me, Barnes is the clear outlier. He is a good pitcher, but his true value is diminished by the fact that he can't seem to pitch effectively on back-to-back days. That's a big deal for a high leverage reliever. If the Sox can find a team willing to take him on at anything close to that calculated value, they should do it and move on. Using the values on that sight (which cannot take certain factors into account, like whether or not the other GM actually wants a player), the Sox should be able to trade Barnes straight up to the Dodgers for rookie RHSP Tony Gonsolin. If the Dodgers, who are annually looking for a reliever to help Jansen, would make this trade, the Sox should do it and not look back...
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In no way will either be replaced with anything close to equal...
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And two years later, the "DH only" label is attached to him. If he opts out this year, he loses money...
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Even the bigger contracts for Chapman and Davis were money only. Not top tier money plus surrender top prospects. And the valuation of those contracts was probably influenced by the overpay for Kimbrel...
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CRACIN: a keeper? 15 game winner for Milwaukee
notin replied to bosoxmal's topic in Boston Red Sox Talk
Will they have to rearrange their lockers as well? -
If the Sox want to make a huge splash in the trade market, they could trade Devers (which they won't). If the Sox traded Devers to the Braves, he would be worth a package of Christian Pache, Ian Anderson and Bryse Wilson or a package of Drew Waters, Austin Riley and Kyle Wright. That is some serious value...
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IMO the Sox should trade JD (if he stays), Barnes and Dalbec. Trading ERod just creates another void in the rotation...
