moonslav59

6 Hits and 5 runs: who is this team?

He looks like Wong did, last year.

Before today: 18-18 on the road (4.02 ERA/.718 OPS Against) 12-25 at home (3.79/.700) 126 Runs scored at home (37 games) .685 OPS (28 HRs) 162 Runs scored away (36 games) .705 OPS (34 HRs)

The Sox are a totally different team on the road. Nice start by Early. I was beginning to worry about him. Durbin & Mayer keep doing okay, but Mayer's hit was weak. Nice to see Abreu wake up.

Gonzales homered in GRE's 4-1 win. Cespedes, YRod and IJackson all doubled. Bouchard 5 IP & Hansen 4IP combined to allow just 4 hits and 2 BBs (1 ER w 10 Ks) SAL lost 9-1 but was only outhit 10-9. The difference was 11 BBs to 6.

Brez Pitchers drafted: Witherspoon 15th '25 Phillips 33rd '25 Tolle 50th '24 Nealy 86th '24 Eyanson 87th '25 Clarke 148th '24 Foutch 148th '25 Aita 177th '24 Finley 178th '25 Patton 208th '25 Cason 237th '24 ($1.25M bonus) Brown 238th '25 Mayers 268th '25 Futrell 29th '24 IFA: $500K Delzine '25 $500K C Pereira '26 $450K Da Reyes '24 $350K C Cordero '25 $190K Y Pineda '26 $175K S Rojas '24 $140K J Medina '24 $100K W Montero '25 $50K T Wilson $47K Vargas '26 $40K Ju Duran '25 $32K Mayora '26 $30K Y Veraza $28K Lopes '26 $25K J Fernandez & Y Bonaci '24 and 3 guys in '25 $20K A Prado, J Gamboa '24 and 5 guys in '25 $10K Berny Ortiz & 7 others '24 and M Bido & Payano '23, plus 16 pitchers in '25 and 12 in '26 Many trades involved adding pitching prospects (see previous post.)

Brez Pitchers Added: Crochet, Suarez, Gray, Tolle, Bennett, Oviedo, Sandoval, Chapman, Slaten, Moran, Coulombe, Weissert, Watson, Samaniego, T Guerrero, Kahnle, Anderson, Gamboa, La Sorsa, E Rivera, Eyanson, Witherspoon, Phillips, Holobetz, Ziehl, E Rivera, Delzine B Morgan, Futrell & more Giolito, Buehler, May, Criswell, Wilson, Matz, I Campbell, L Garcia, L Sims, Burdi, Fulmer, Hendriks __________________________ Pitchers added and then subtracted: Priester, Newcomb, Travieso, Harrison & Hicks _____________________________ That's a lot of pitchers in 2.5 years. ___________________________ Brez Pitchers Subtracted: Harrison, Dobbins, Fitts, L Guerrero, Perales, Clarke, Fajardo, Aita, Bernardino, Murphy, Booser, Hoppe, Wikelman, Elmer Rodriguez

I think moving the focus to improving the pitching pipeline might be Brez's best contribution to the team.

Eventually, we may see Arias, Brannan or Garcia to AAA. Maybe a pitcher or two from Eyanson, Mullins, Paez, Holobetz, Wehunt or Rogers. What about GRE>POR? Cespedes, Winnay, Mason & Hudson White, G Rod? (Not sure 19 y/o Gonzalez will start 2027 in A+. Pitchers: Futrell, Brown or Ingrassia? (Witherspoon?) SAL>GRE? Opata, A Guzman or Musett? Tygart? Gartrell? FCL>SAL? 18 yr old Primera? Jorge Rodriguez?

POR won 7-6. Arias went 3 for 5 and jumped to .946.Brannon homered and is at .998. Jo Garcia went 2-5 and is at .911.

He's largely an unknown value.

Kinda old news. (4 drafts ago) Infielders in top 3 picks: 2025: 3. Godbout (7th) and a 2Bman not SS 2024: none in top 18 picks 2023: 2. Zanetello (50th) Never really viewed as a SS 3. Anderson (83) 2022: 1. Romero (24) more like a 2B/3B man 2. C Coffey (41) Traded 2021: 1. Mayer (4th) 3. McDonough (75) 2Bman 2020: 1. Yorke (17) 3B traded 2. Jordan (89) 3B traded 2019: 2 Cannon (43) 3 Lugo (69) 2018: 1 Casas (26) 3B/1B 2017: 3 Netzer (101) 2016: 2 Chatham (51)

All minor league players with 110+ PAs (1512 players): 1. Primera .464 BA 1st, .589 OBP 1st, .821 SLG 1st, 1.411 OPS 1st 2. Frias at .439/.518/.684/1.203 3. J Cox at .400/.453/.644/1.096 Brannon is 60th at .976 111. Gasper .947 134. Arias .935 (slumping) 141. Mason White .932 171. Jo Garcia .915 208. Godbout .902 213. Winnay .900 (22K%-21BB%) _________________ XFIP Leaders 564 pitchers with 40+ IP 1. Kade Anderson 2.40 2. Eyanson 2.92 25. Ziehl 3.46 36. Brown 3.61 93. Mullins 4.01

From sp's.com... Did Franklin Primera get a hit today? Of course he did. With his three-hit, two-homer effort on Friday, he has a commanding lead in that circuit in all three slash-stat categories. Hitting .464/.589/.821, he holds nearly a .300 point lead in OPS. During his 15-game hitting streak, he is 26 for 50 (.520), with seven home runs and four doubles, good for a 1.020 slugging percentage. He also celebrated his 19th birthday on Tuesday.

Romy developed a separate hip flexor issue that has yet to be evaluated. Previously, he was expected back by the next homestand. Sandoval has pitched in a rehab game on June 17th. Maybe 2 weeks? Crochet might be post ASB.

I don't know enough about Arroyo to give it a thumbs up or down. I'd like more proven assets, but deadline trades are usually proven players for prospects.

This BTV trade suggestion seems to be favored by more people than disfavored: Duran & Chapman to SEA for Michael Arroyo & Eduard Bazardo Your thoughts? I'm not sure about giving up Chapman for just this. Would SEA give Arroyo for Duran?

Exactly. Our recent GMs have been widely criticized for their lack of meaningful deadline trades. The last significant one was Schwarber in 2021. Matz and Danny Jansen did okay. How many of the prospects we traded at the deadline and July trades have gone on to to well? Last 15 years... 2025: Jordan for Matz Tibbs & Ehrhard for May 2024: Bloom era Matt Lugo, Kavadas, Zeferjahn & Vargas for Luis Garcia Portes for Lucas Sims Yorke for Priester Paulino, Coffey & Batista for Danny Jansen Bolivar for Paxton 2023 Blalock for Luis Urias Kike for N Robertson & Hagenman 2022 Hosmer, Ferguson & Rosier for Groome Vazquez for Abreu & E Valdez Diekman for Reese McGuire 2021 Aldo Ramirez for Schwarber Alex Scherff for Robles Chavis for Austin Davis Chatham for Santos 2020 Workman & Hembree for Pivetta & Seibold Moreland for Potts & J Rosario Pillar for Jacob Wallace 2019 (DD) N Romero for Andrew Cashner 2018 Beeks for Eovaldi Buttry & W Jerez for Kinsler 2017 Bautista, Callahan & Nogosek for Addison Reed Shaun Anderson & G Santos for E Nunez 2016 Pat Light for F Abad Espinoza for Drew Pomeranz L Basabe & J Almonte for Brad Ziegler W Rifo & Wilkerson for Aaron Hill 2015 (Ben) Victorino for Josh Rutledge 2014 (Major sell off) Andrew Miller for ERod Lester & Gomes for Cespedes (later traded for Porcello) Lackey & Litrell for Joe Kelly, Craig Stephen Drew for Kelly Johnson Doubront for Workman Peavy for Hembree & E Escobar 2013 Iggy, F Montas, Wendelken & C Rondon for Peavy & Villarreal B Jacobs for Matt Thornton 2012 Albers & Podsednik for Breslow 2011 (Theo) S Fife, Federowicz & JRod for E Bedard & Josh Fields Y Navarro & K Volz for Mike Aviles 2010 R Mendez & McGuiness for Salty

Why? The low K rate? .797 in 620 AAA PAs (70 Ks) ,747 in 759 AA PAs (93 Ks)

2 Ks in 31 MLB PAs. Matz did well for us in 2025. Why do you expect it will look bad "soon?" Are you expecting him to continue over .850? His sample size is 31 PAs.

What is the "mean" of our players? 2025? It looks like only Rafaela, Tolle and maybe Early have improved on his expectations, but I'm not sure expectations = mean. I do think Durbin is better than .600, but he does not have a large sample size to know much. I think Abreu should be better than .760, but maybe not by a whole lot. Narvaez had too small a sample size to know what his mean should be. He's at .560, and I and most others expected better. Duran has always been a crapshoot, IMO. He had and has no "mean." Story had his best season in a long time, last year. It was also his first full season since 2021 w COL. His "mean" might be .600 to .650 with meh defense- maybe plus at 2B. Contreras is doing better than his mean and expectations. Yoshida is doing worse. Anthony, Mayer and the subs have no mean.

I hesitate to start the 2027 thread, but there are a few things to think about, many of which are unpredictable to varying degrees. 1. The return of injured players is always tricky. Crochet is the major factor, and for all we know, he will end up needing surgery. Knowing the Sox, they time it wrongly, and he misses all of 2027 and maybe part of 2028, too. Houck and Crawford could be major pluses, next year, but I think we need to plan on both being rotational or pen depth. Oviedo was largely unknown to begin with, but he'd be depth, also. Casas cannot be counted on as anything but depth. I doubt we have a roster crunch with this year's Rule 5 group, so he will likely start the season on the 40 (or IL.) Romy can be counted on as a platoon or FT 2Bman/1Bman, but I hope we still add 2 major infield adds. Story will likely be counted on as the FT 2Bman or SS, sadly. He should be viewed as depth or traded. There is a lot of talent in this IL group, but as always, if the se guys comeback strong, someone else will get hurt. 2. The loss of Gray, IKF, Coulombe & Sandoval. Some serious money comes off the books, but not nearly enough to fill the 5-6 slots we need to fill. We will likely try to get by without adding any significant or costly SP'ers to replace Gray, and he seems like the only major piece we lose. That's a big change from past years. 3. The rotation: Crochet is the key, and assuming he's back, the rotation looks like this: Crochet, Suarez, Tolle, Early, Crawford/Houck/Oviedo/Bello/Bennett (Eyanson?) 4. The pen. Chapman: he has a mutual option that becomes guaranteed if he reaches 40 IP. He's at 21.2, now with more than half the season to go, but who knows? We need him back. (This assumes he is not traded, this summer.) The pen will need additions, and counting on converted SP'ers never seems to work out, as they end up being needed to fill injury caused openings. Chapman, Whitlock, Slaten, _____, _____, Moran, Weissert, Kelly, Watson and Crawford/Houck/Oviedo/Bello/Bennett 5. Catcher: I feel this is a top 6 need area, but if we can add two big bats and fill 2 IF positions and DH (assuming Duran is traded) I'd probably be okay with Narvaez and one from Wong (probably traded) or Gasper (probably kept.) I'll list as _____, Narvaez & Gasper/Wong 6. 1B: I'm counting on Contreras returning with Romy as his back-up. Casas/Brannon as AAA depth. 7. 2B/3B/SS: I'd like to count on just 1 slot being filled by Durbin, Mayer, Romy & Story, but I doubt Brez & Co thinks like that. They will count on two. My list looks like this: _____ (SS) _____ (2B/3B) Durbin, Romy & Mayer (Trade Story with cash or prospect) Monasterio, Seigler, KC as AAA depth. 8. OF: I'm assuming we trade Duran and stop the endless questions. We do not add an OF'er. Anthony/Yoshida LF, Rafaela CF, Abreu RF (Eaton and maybe Ward as AAA depth.) 9. DH: Needs a big bat add. ______, Yoshida/Romy (Casas/Brannon) Highest needs: 1. Big bat (SS or DH would be best fit, but any position is fine.) 2. Big bat (SS/DH or 2B/3B would be best, but any position is fine, except no 2 DH/OF'ers added? 3 & 4. SS, DH, 2B/3B, C: whichever is not filled by #1 and #2. 5. RP 6. RP

I am not for trading Whitlock or Contreras. An "impressive" offer might be someone close to as good as Whitlock but with more years of control.

Well, nobody is waiting to see what Durbin gives us over 5 years to bash that trade, so I'm taking this as a yes.

Have no fear: Brez will draft a pitcher first.