moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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It would be interesting to see what our chances would be in other divisions, but it is what it is. Other than the Yanks dropping by a lot, last year, and nearly overtaking us for last place, most of our division foes have not been in major decline. 2022>2023 Wins 83>101 BAL 86>99 TBR 92>89 TOR 99>82 NYY 78>78 BOS We can't really count on staying the same and moving up to 4th place.
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We all are just giving our opinions. I have no problem admitting I have been wrong, very often.
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2B "passable" is much better than 2023's 2B defense.
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Lifetime bans, we are talking, here.
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That is certainly a worry. I doubt anyone give him 6, but if his top offer is $100M/5, I'd offer him $110M/6 to bring down the AAV and seal the deal.
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And that merits a lifetime ban?
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Yes. Almost all our WS seasons saw 4+ pitchers with 28+ GS.
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Based on the expectations that many of the players they had, especially those signed before '22 were better than their number showed. In short, based on my expectations.
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Nobody is. It's easy to say, "I'd give him $110M/5 or $120M/6," but if he ends up with $84M/4 or $100M/5, I will see it as a major lost chance.
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Wow, soxprospects.com with a major, data-driven piece. It pretty much lays it all out. You can't blame the site for getting too excited about some of our pitching prospects over the last decade or so, but man-o-man, they have swung and missed on quite a few. The odd thing is, the ones that worked the best, Bello, Crawford, Houck, Whitlock and Wink weren't ranked as highly as some of the flame outs. Here are the top ranked Sox pitching prospects in the last decade (highest ranking listed): It's not easy... 1 Groome ('18) 2 Mata ('19), DHern ('19), Owens ('14) 3 Bello ('22), Espinoza ('16) 4 Whitlock ('21), Houck ('18), Webster ('14) 5 Walter ('22), Song ('20), Kopech ('16), Ranaudo ('14) 6 Drohan ('23), Shawaryn ('18), Beeks ('18), B Johnson ('16), ERod ('15), Barnes ('14 but #3 in '13) 7 Perales ('23), Seabold ('21) 8 TWard ('21), AScherff ('18), Raudes ('17) 9 Wikelman ('23), Winckowski ('22). Aldo Ramirez ('21), Feltman ('19), Lakins ('16) 10 Murphy ('22)
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If the ERod money is the best he'll be offered, he'll take it. I'm not sure why he'd get $150M/6. 172/7 Nola (Hometown discount) 75/3 Gray 80/4 ERod 39/3 Giolito 37/2 Stroman 32/2 Wacha 45/3 Lugo
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Well said. I prefer adding a solid #2 SP'er than a #4 or 5. The idea that he pushes Houck or Crawford to the pen is a double plus.
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I think many viewed the rangers as better than a 68 win team going into 2023, even before adding Nate. Not many view the Sox as better than they were, last year, before any additions.
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Pretty much how most of us view him. His ability to play SS and 2B, helps, but he's such a great defensive CF'er, he should only play IF in emergencies.
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I'd say the odds are firmly against him making the big club. He first made the soxprospects.com's top 20 rankings back in April of 2017! (#16) He climbed to #6, then #3 by the end of 2017- just ahead of Houck. He rose to #2 by the end of 2019 (ahead of Groome, Houck and Song.) By May of 2021, he'd fallen to #11, but was bumped back up to #7 and #6 during the 2022 season. He started the 2023 season at #5, but quickly fell to #18 by July and #27 by November. For a long time, some people felt this guy had talent and potential.
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Not all .24795 hitters are the same. While a .318 OBP is not great, his .458 SLG is decent. Last 3 seasons: .255 BA .329 OBP .472 SLG .800 OPS (120 OPS+) Per 650 PAs (a big if) .255 30 85 (18 SB and plus D)
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I'm not sure Yoshida or Story were bigger names than Monty. We still got them. Nobody is saying Monty is the ace they need, but we also need a #2 and pushing Bello down a slot is a good idea, too. Going from a projected 80 win team to 84 or 85 makes all the other what ifs carry a bit more weight. We would not need 80-90% of our what ifs to happen- maybe just half or 60%.
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Well, Nate is better than anything we added. They also added heaney and Wil Smith, then traded for Monty in July.
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Indeed. Contract year, too.
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I'd have been happy with ERod or Eflin. Greinke is not a fair comp to want, now.
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Yes, that's why I said "he became one." You didn't ask who were viewed as stars in February 2013.
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Yes, but I still see Mata and Slaten as prospects and rookies.
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They made a few winter moves, though.
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2024 Sox Pre-Prime: 23: Grissom, Rafaela 24: Casas, Bello, Abreu (Mata) 25: Winckowski (EValdez, Murphy) 26: (Slaten, Campbell) Prime: 27: Devers, Crawford, Houck, Whitlock, Duran, Wong (Criswell) 28: O'Neill, McGuire (Weissert, Kelly, Dalbec) 29: Giolito 30: Yoshida, Schreiber, Reyes 31: Story, Pivetta Post Prime: 32: Bernardino, Refsnyder 36: Jansen 37: Martin 15 of our top 17 players are pre or in prime.
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That seems very reasonable. Of course, he could do worse, but I think he might even do better. It is a huge cultural shift moving from Japan to the USA. It's not just about the language, either. The longer season and slight differences in how the game is played takes time to get adjusted, as well. It's been warm here in Texas. The spring juices are flowing. I'm starting to feel better about the chances many of our players improve, this year, even players Yoshida's age. We have a lot of players approaching prime or right smack in the middle of it. In theory, we should expect upticks more than downticks on many of our key players. We do have a couple key players, post prime (Jansen & Martin,) but almost everyone else is in prime or on the upside of the curve.
