moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Lugo made it up to 11th in the system, way back in 2019. He dropped out of the top 20 for a bit, but he was back at #14 by the end of 2022. He was 12th to start 2023 but then dropped out of even the top 30, last summer and fall, and a no show in Spring 2024. My guess is, he will crack the top 20 or 30, again, this summer.
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Those are the most common trades, yes. Schwarber was one. Nate and Pearce were two. Then, there are a few like Workman & Hembree for Pivetta (not a prospect.)
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Minor League stats can be very deceiving, in terms of trade value of prospects. How many of our top OPS guys have high trade value? Woo 1.194 E Valdez (only 20 PAs) 1.079 Romy (over 40 PAs and on IL) 1.058 Kavadas (not much trade value, if any) .969 Bobby Dee (replacement level player) Meidroth .810 and Hickey .738 might have some trade value. POR (These top two could have been traded, last winter, and nobody would have batted an eye.) 1.248 M Lugo .912 Paulino .883 Gasper Jordan at .792 and Yorke at .737 might have some trade value. Mayer .743, Teel .735 and Anthony .691 have the highest value,
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Notta. Maybe to see actual trades scored?
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If we are buyers, and assuming the top 3 are untouchable (I'd add Cespedes to the 3), these guys might bring us a RP'er of 4/5 SP'er and or rental: Best candidates: Yorke, Jordan, Meidroth, Paulino, Hickey, Mata, Walter, Lugo, McDonough and Romero (selling low) (Some of these may not be worth much to many teams.) Should we trade pitchers? Fitts, Wikelman, Perales, Sandlin, E R-C, Dobbins, Guerrero, Monegro, Bastardo, Gambrell, Penrod, Hoppe, Benitez, Olivares, Zeferjahn, I Coffey, Rogers, Paez, Early, Mullins, Cohen (I would avoid trading any pitchers we feel has a chance.) Too far away? Bleis, Zanetello, Jo Garcia (IMO, these guys have too much upside to be selling "low," right now.) Castro, Arias, A Anderson, C Coffey, JH Garcia, Brannon Not worth much, if anything: Dalbec, Kavadas, DHam, Romy Vets: McGuire (If Teel is ready) E Valdez (selling low?) Yoshida with a bunch of cash If we end up being sellers: All FAs-to-be: Pivetta O'Neill Jansen Martin Anderson Possibly 1 more year players: McGuire Refsnyer Anyone not part of the 2025 or 2026 and beyond plans.
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Boycott BTV!
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Nobody goes there, anymore: it's too crowded.
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True. There are likely other factors involved, as well. Hopefully, we can lessen these blunders, going forward. We seem to walking a tightrope, this year, so it seems important we minimize unforced errors and instances of mental lapses, if we are going to have a shot at something special, this fall. At the start of the season, we thought we'd need an amazingly good season of health and a large majority of things "go right" for us. We had many players with serious upside, but so many had huge question marks for one reason or another. So far, we have had something like 16 players go on the IL, some for the whole year or a large chunk of it. -
We know a lot can happen, between now and the deadline. I'm not sure why speculating about various scenarios equates to "worrying" or being negative. We all know we have beaten just about every topic to death, on this site, and this sort of speculation may seem repetitive and maybe even bothersome to some, but each year brings different dynamics. We sure do talk about trades and non trades made at the deadline, afterwards.
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So, we are rated highly due to our depth beyond the top 3, but none have high trade value?
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I know you are joking, but I really don't mind running into outs, being aggressive and challenging the defense to make a good play. I'm not seeing a ton of real dumb running plays, this year, but it does seem like more than I see our opps making.
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Is it really "worrying," or just banter?
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Plus, it was one year of Dugo for 5+ years or Weissert and 5+ years of Fitts, along with throw-in, Judice. We had Rafaela and Abreu banging on the door, and too many LH'd OF'ers. One could also compare Dugo to O'Neill, as Dugo's contract paid for him. (Abreu was already on the team, but yes, he gets more playing time by trading Dugo.) This trade sort of reminds me of the Beni trade. That trade brought us 5 players- some like Cordero have already flamed out, but Wink has given us more value than a year or two of beni would have, back then. (We also have Gambrell from that deal.) One can argue, we used the "money saved" to sign Renfroe, but one could also argue we signed marwin with that "saved money."
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We already have a Weissert-Wong battery. Weissert is third in team ERA and 2nd in RP IP. Wong is hitting .950.
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Teams seem to want prospects closer to ML ready, so Yorke and Jordan make more sense than Bleis. I'm not sure these guys have much trade value: Kavadas Meidroth Hickey Sogard We may try to "sell high" on Paulino and or Lugo. Maybe E Valdez can build his stock back up, despite his poor D. Dalbec, Mata, DHam, Romy & Short are replacement level players. No trade value,
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I don't mind taking chances and being aggressive. To me, there is a pretty clear line between that and being just plain dumb.
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It doesn't matter, because Rafaela is at SS, so there is no OF jam. vs RHP: LF: O'Neill CF: Duran RF: Abreu DH: Yoshida (when healthy) vs LHPs: LF: O'Neill/Refsnyder CF: Duran RF: Abreu/O'Neill DH: Refsnyder/Yoshida
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I think O'Neill is fine in LF. vs RHPs: Duran in LF Rafaela in CF Abreu in RF O'Neill DH However, I want Ref batting vs LHPs, so I'd DH him on those days. I want O'Neill batting FT, so someone else sits vs LHPs. LF O'Neill CF Rafaela RF Abreu Bench: Duran vs LHPs- maybe Abreu for some.
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When I say dumb, I mean too many thrown out at 3B, not running as fast as you can on hits, getting picked off due to lack of focus or just trying for an extra base with no chance of making it, unless it's a bad throw. We have more than most teams on this; I'm convinced.
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Indeed. It's hard to coach away from "all or nothing." It just has to happen. Maybe Grissom will add more consistency from the 2B slot on O and D. Not having Casas hurts like hell. Our catchers have done well, so far, but have both seen hot and cold streaks. I'm not sure they can continue near this pace. Devers has heated up and needs to have anear career year. Rafaela at SS is what he is: a work in progress. Duran has been ht and cold. Abreu started out cold, then got hot. O'Neill has been pretty consistently good, except with men on base.
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He looks okay, and i agree, this is the best way to handle having no SS. That being said, the OF of Duran in LF, Rafaela in CF and O'Neill/Abreu in RF is better on D. (O'Neill or Duran could DH vs RHPs and ref vs LHPs.)
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The wheels have come off, and more than once with Whit.
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Yes, and now maybe the O can carry the team as the staff comes back down to earth a bit. The D might improve with grissom at 2B and Rafaela/Short at SS. I'm not thrilled with Duran in CF, but he looks better than '22 and earlier, out there.
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I really felt our defense would be significantly better than 28th to 30th, like it was in '23. 4 reasons: No Yoshida in LF Story at SS Grissom at 2B Improved D by returning players like Wong/McGuire, Casas and maybe Duran.
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Agreed. This has happened, before. In recent years, we did okay with openers and pen games for a stretch, then the wheels fell off. We need Bello & Pivetta back. When Whit comes back, I hope he goes to the pen, and Criswell can keep this up.
