So, basically, we do much better with our lower cost players. Maybe, this is why JH is thinking that spending more is not the solution.
Watching things here in Houston, they just paid Hader big bucks to save the team. Oooops!
Max has struck a chord that rings true. Our big money contracts have largely been disasters, since maybe the nice JD signing. Many of the ones that worked out okay, still saw some sort of qualifier, like an injury or decline in some area of performance.
One could go back as far as HRam, Pablo and Price, but I'm going to start with post JD...
This may not be a complete list, but here is a stab at it:
Players making more than $6M per year (not counting arbs)
$68M/4 Eovaldi '19(worked out okay to well, but he missed time and had an off year)
$145M/5 Sale '20 (complete disaster)
$120M/6 Bogey '20 (opt out after 3, saw his offense decline)
$6.5M/1 Perez '20
$14M/2 Kike '21 (did fine in '21 but not in '22)
$10M/1 Richards (disaster)
$9M/1 Ottavino '21 (trade, did meh to okay)
$10M/1 Kike '22 (awful at SS and at bat)
$140M/6 Story '22 (awful, so far & too late to fully redeem)
$19M/2 Barnes '22 (had a great half season, then a cliff)
$11M/1 + opt '23 JBJ (disaster & put us over tax line)
$7M/1 Wacha (did well, but missed some time)
$7M/1 Paxton '22 (missed '22 & took '23 option)
$90M/5 Yoshida '23 (+ fee, not off to a good start, TBD)
$32M/2 Jansen '23 (okay to good, so far, TBD)
$22M/2 Turner '23 (opt out hurt, but he did well)
18M/2 Martin '23 (great in '23, TBD)
$10M/1 Kluber '23 (disaster)
$7M/1 Duvall '23 (good but missed time)
$313M/10 Devers '24 (started, this year. TBD)
$55M/6 Bello '24 (TBD)
$50M/8 Rafaela '24 (TBD)
$39M/2 Giolito '24 (cannot make this a plus)
There are many TBDs, here, and one can argue the Bogey and Wacha deals were good ones, so maybe with the Turner deal, only 3-4 worked out well for the team.
($4Mper to $5.9M per: Whitlock, O'Neill, Hendriks, Hill, Diekman, Bleier/Barnes swap, Perez II)
The $1 to $7M deals seemed to work out better.