I've not given up all hope on this year, but realistically our chances are worse than '22 and '23's.
It is rare to make trades, this early, or even into May and mid June, but looking at possible players to move, at some point, is something worth discussing, IMO.
We have to look at our 1 years players in terms of either extending or trading, when we think the maximum return is possible. With Pivetta injured, he'd need to have a few good starts before we can expect a nice return. (I'd like to see us try to extend him for 2-3 years at a reasonable cost.) O'Neill has always seemed like an injury waiting to happen, so waiting on him, might mean missing the window, if he gets a season-ending injury. Jansen & Martin look like obvious tradeable players, since their age means an extension is unlikely.
The next set of players involves 2 year players and players who do not seem to fit into our long term plans.
McGuire has one more arb year, but Wong has more, so depending on Teel's ETA, he may be trade bait.
Yoshida is looking more and more like a player we need to trade and pay to play elsewhere. If we can get someone to eat a chunk of his contract, even if it takes adding another player or blocked prospect to do so, it might be worth looking at near this deadline. If he heats up, like last May and June, maybe his trade value allows it to happen.
Refsnyder will be the 6th OF'er, if everyone is healthy. He'll be 5th in 2025, if we don't bring O'Neill back or add another RH'd OF bat. Ref does hit lefties very well, so maybe he holds on. It might take Rafaela or Abreu looking awful for him to win the 4th or 5th OF slot.
We can pretty much count on replacing Dalbec & Jacques by Rule 5 day, at the latest. B Walter, Joely and maybe a couple more guys might be axed, as well.
The Rule 5 eligible prospects do not include Mayer, Anthony and Teel, so adding them to the 40 may be put off until 2025. Here are some that might be protected:
Fitts
Yorke
Guerrero
Bastardo
Monegro
Jh Garcia
Castro (if he shows improvement)
Longer shots:
Hickey, Jordan, Kavadas, Paulino, Rosario, Rosier, Sogard
Dobbins, Gambrell, Troye, Sena
Mayer and Bleis are Dec 2025
Anthony and Teel are Dec 2026