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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Not sure what this shows. Half is off the grid.
  2. moonslav59
    That could still be the "driver," but I do think he still is a business man at heart. In baseball, the largest profit might be when the owner sells, and you look at what he bought the team for. It's hard to know what makes JH tick, and if whatever it is has changed.
  3. moonslav59
    140-150 games at .740, not just any 140 games.
  4. moonslav59
    I used to think maybe JH was trying to show/prove how smart he was by building a team on a lower budget than others, but that won more often. Sort of a pride thing. I don't think that anymore. I think he got the 4 rings and lost the desire or need to get more. It's more about making money, now, and in a way, he resting on his laurels. I do think he wants to win, and I mean another ring, but not by becoming Cohen North. I honestly think he and his minions may have felt they were putting a competitive team on the field for most year- maybe not ring faves, but better than they actually turned out to be. The never seemed to get any sense of urgency, however, so that kind of hints at an ownership group that felt okay with what was going on, as long as the profits were still good enough. Wanting to win, thinking your team is good enough to win and actually winning are three different things. I kinda feel like the Story signing was a stab at appeasing the fans while also making us a decent playoff contender. Maybe they felt that way about Yoshida, too. Maybe these two failed deals and all the $10M/1 failures got the top brass to decide it's just not worth spending more and more: throwing good money after bad. While some owners might think, maybe we need a management team that actually signs good players, they decided to build the farm and make only short-term deals.
  5. moonslav59
    I would think adding Bregman would raise that to 53-55%.
  6. moonslav59
    I'd agree to near impossible on 145+ games played.
  7. moonslav59
    As long as Story plays 150+ games (ok, 140+) of near GG defense and hits over .750 (ok, .725+) he can K 300 times.
  8. moonslav59
    I truly believe they are actively making decisions based on how they can minimize losing fans (and adding fans) while spending the least amount of possible. I think they honestly believe they have been successful in doing that. Of course, they wish we'd win more, and I think they actually believe they built teams that they felt should have did better, but they knew all along these teams were never legit contenders. I don't know about "sitting gleefully," but I think they are happy with their profit lines, but do worry about losing fans or potentially losing some, going forward. They like the way the farm has rebounded. They are putting a lot of trust in that. They just used some farm capital to add Crochet. That has not happened since DD. I fully believe they believe in their plan. They are not happy with the W-L results, of course, but they are happy with the profits. Sorry, if I was not clear about what they were happy with.
  9. moonslav59
    IMO, we have a 50-50 shot at making the playoffs, now- without Bregman.
  10. moonslav59
    Is being 70th in ISO out of 270 batters with 600+ PAs since 2023, "not all that much?" I guess that point could be made for a top 26% player. He's 88th in SLG, which is top 33%. He's 41st in HRs at 50 and 59th in PAs, so this indicates he's not all that full of power. Man, we are obviously running out of things to talk about, if this gets so much exposure.
  11. moonslav59
    That sounds about right. I'd feel better about 90, if we added Robertson, too.
  12. moonslav59
    Some sad names on this list, but over 135 games had a worthy batter up 3rd. The third slot should be your 5th or 4th best hitter. Best 2nd or 4th Next 5th and 1st Next 3rd (I think that is how they say it should go.)
  13. moonslav59
    I did not say I believe they are smart. I said the believe they are smart. They think the "sham" is working, and is many ways it is, since they are making money hand over fist, despite an inferior product being sold. Tell me why you think they believe they are dumb.
  14. moonslav59
    He probably would not opt out or ask for one. He might opt out, if we pay him $30M, $30M- opt out- $20M and $15M. He probably won't. but taking a higher AAV with less years can sometimes make an opt-out more appealing, especially if it's after 1 year, when he will not be too old.
  15. moonslav59
    I'm not so sure the rewards have to be "low."
  16. moonslav59
    I disagree. I think they believe they are being smart by making big profits and fooling enough fans to keep buying the product, despite it becoming more and more inferior.
  17. moonslav59
    Cora knows.
  18. moonslav59
    According to modern batting line-up formulas, the 3 slot should not be your best 3 hitters. Devers should bat second or 4th. If he bats 4th, I'd put Story 3rd vs LHPs and Casas 5th. I might put Abreu 3rd vs RHPs and keep Casas 5th all the time. Duran should lead off, IMO. Who bats second with Devers 4th? Campbell v LHPs and Abreu or Ref vs LHPs? V L: Duran, Refsnyder, Story, Devers, Casas.... V R: Duran, Campbell, Abreu, Devers, Casas...
  19. moonslav59
    To them, smart is cashing the big profit checks.
  20. moonslav59
    If you total up Paxton, Richards and Kluber, it's $30M. I think we could do better with a $30M/3 or $30M/2 type deal, but I'm not sure how much better. Kikuchi signed for $36M/2 in '22. I know that is cherry picking. Others signed for about the same and did about as badly as Richards-Kluber-Paxton. Imanaga signed for $13.5M x 4 in '24 and Lugo for $15M x 3, the same year. Not sure those are fair comps, unless you include the Sandoval or Buehler deals as part of the exchange.
  21. moonslav59
    He probably has a 5 year deal or two offered, and that's why the Sox name is still mentioned, from time to time. If the Sox offered 4, they are close. Maybe he takes a 4 year deal with a higher AAV and an opt out after 1 or 2 years over a 5 year deal that just gives him $10-15M more. Maybe not. Maybe they think the Sox might buckle and go 5. I think Fenway would suit Bregman fine. If he gets an opt out with the Sox, he could maybe build his value with 1-2 big years w BOS. Maybe no. I'm not counting on us getting him. The odds are probably 1-5%, but I keep checking MLBTR, everyday.
  22. moonslav59
    I think adding Bregman and Robertson would make us playoff favorites and AL championship contenders, but not the fave. Adding Bregman could also allow for a trade that could add another useful piece, like a real catcher or another RHB or pen arm.
  23. moonslav59
    Yes, he has more power. That does not mean Paredes does "not have all that much power."
  24. moonslav59
    ...and Giolito, Buehler, Devers, Hendriks and maybe 5 months of Whitlock.
  25. moonslav59
    They see first in the farm rankings and pop the champaign.
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