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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    He used to be a nice .375 to .390 OBP, but has declined sharply there. A big NOPE from me.
  2. moonslav59
    The problem with this is that if JH whiffs on a big FA signing, nothing is lost. If we trade key pieces for Skubal and JH fails to meet his demands, we lose a lot for a one year window boost- grand as it is. I don't trust JH to do it. Why should we? We can all sit here and pontificate about why he can and should, but he just plain doesn't go large and long anymore. Okay, Devers and Crochet were, so maybe I'm wrong but the risk of him bumbling this is too scary for my liking.
  3. moonslav59
    That's one reason I suggested Story at 3B and Mayer at SS, but arm strength is needed at SS, too. Would you prefer Story at 3B and Mayer at SS?
  4. moonslav59
    That's a good assessment, and I often am critical when people make judgments based on small sample sizes, but I was really impressed with Early's approach, confidence and control of several pitches. It might have been an outlier, but I kinda like Early and Tolle about the same. I do think Tolle has more upside, but it's the "lower floor" that worries me. I'd like to keep both by trying to include 1-2 pitchers from this group instead, but GMs may balk at the offer: Crawford & Perales Dobbins & Fitts Harrison & Clarke (Mix and match) So many teams need 2-3 SP'ers that maybe offering quantities of promise could outweigh a solo, high upside pitching prospect. Duran plus any 2 of the 6 pitchers I listed should net us an excellent SP'er. I'm not sure Duran, Fitts plus 2 from these guys gets the same pitcher: Fajardo, Valera, Sandlin (maybe Witherspoon/Phillips added in this mix choice)
  5. moonslav59
    I've mentioned Rafaela a few times, too. I do think Duran brings back more than Abreu, but some teams might want the cheaper option.
  6. moonslav59
    I see it this way: I think we waste value by playing Duran or Anthony at DH. I'd be okay trading Rafaela or Abreu, but both are excellent defenders in very difficult Fenway positions. Anthony may outhit Duran in 2026 and is a better defender, so we likely lose no value in LF. Would Duran be a better DH than a Masa-Romy platooned DH? I'd say yes, but how large is that upgrade versus the upgrade we get at the #2SP'er slot by trading Duran? To me, it should not be close. Simply put, Duran is worth more to other teams as a LF'er than to us as a DH.
  7. moonslav59
    I know that's why he's out, but for some reason I thought you were more worried about the prior injury coming back to haunt him. Sorry. In his current injury often a career ender? It's not like he relied on speed and agility in any part of his value skillsets. If we DH him, he may still hurt himself again running to 1B or just walking down the steps of the dugout, but I think it's more likely he finds a new injury that repeats this one, over and over. I'm no MD, but I've read people fully recover from this injury/surgery in 6-9 months.
  8. moonslav59
    I agree. Adding a depth piece might work, but we have 7-8 guys to give a shot, already. We need a solid #2- or a borderline #1. I'd settle for a borderline 2-3, if we make major strides in adding power bats. (Plural) I still think a trade is most likely the way to fill that need, but maybe I'm biased by the Crochet, Porcello, Sale, Beckett, Schilling and Pedro trades. Thinks about it: we've made some bad trades for SP'ers, but most were minor ones. Even the Peavy and Nate trades worked out. What has been the worst major trade for a SP'er we have made in the last 2 decades?
  9. moonslav59
    I think this report is the same as I read in September and early October.
  10. moonslav59
    Since he turns 29, soon, it seems likely he's got 4-5 real good years followed by 2-4 more pretty good ones, unless some injury happens, or he greatly declines earlier than most pitchers do gradually around 31-34.
  11. moonslav59
    If we got Alonso & K Marte with Mayer at 3B, I'd be fine with Story at SS. I've mentioned Story at 3B and Mayer at SS a few times, but I doubt Cora would do that. Cora probably thinks Story is the "best defensive SS in MLB," like he did with Kiki. Signing Alonso and Suarez would greatly hurt the defense, but it might eventually lead Cora to move Story to 2B with Mayer at SS. Either of these options would allow Romy to platoon at DH and be the back-up 1Bman, 2Bman and maybe 3Bman. DHam would be a nice back-up 2Bman, and Story or Mayer could move over to SS, if one gets hurt or has a day off. Casas would start in AAA and hopefully be the best 1B depth we've had in years. Counting Masa as an emergency corner OF'er, we have 6 OF'ers, so one or two could be traded to upgrade the rotation.
  12. moonslav59
    Now, if we flipped those prospects for Ryan, okay.
  13. moonslav59
    Nothing really new here, right?
  14. moonslav59
    I like Early a lot, too. We could sub Tolle...
  15. moonslav59
    College Football Playoff Rankings 1. Ohio St. 2. Indiana 3. Texas A & M 4. Alabama (first 1 loss team) 5. Georgia 6. Texas Tech 7. Ole Miss 8. Oregon 9. Notre Dame (first 2 loss team) moved up 1 slot over BYU 10. Texas 11. Oklahoma 12. BYU 8-1 ___________________ 13. Utah 14. Vanderbilt 15. Miami 16. Georgia Tech 8-1 17. USC, 18 Michigan, 19 Virginia, 20 Louisville 21. Iowa (first 3 loss team) 22 PITT, 23 TN, 24 So FL, 25 CIN
  16. moonslav59
    Wow, that was quick. We are already back to rebuild mode.
  17. moonslav59
    I think some teams would prefer the younger, less expensive, longer controlled, higher ISO, better defender Abreu over Duran.
  18. moonslav59
    Do you project Duran to be #4 in FWAR among 2026 OF'ers? Also, trading Duran for a pitcher or KMarte is not adding an OF"er. The idea is that Anthony will replace Duran not be a downgrade, but we upgrade 2B from a merry-go-round of circus clowns to one of the best, and one who has real power to boot! (He's about top 15 or 20 in ISO.) 2024-2025 fWAR KMart 15.3 Duran 13.2
  19. moonslav59
    I've made numerous suggestions- almost all via a trade or two, but yes, if we trade for KMarte, who is left to trade for Ryan, Lodolo, Lopez, Keller and .... I've mentioned Merrill Kelly, but only because he will not get a long deal. I'm not thrilled about this FA picthing class, especially if it's large and long. I seriously doubt Brez & Co decide to do two major trades, and I'm not sure I'd want to do that, either, but if we get payers with several years of control, it won't be only about the hear and now. How about this? (BTV might approve) Duran, DHam & Sandlin for Lodolo and McClain Campbell, Early & Fitts for KMarte or Campbell & Early for Ryan Duran, Arias & Fitts for KMarte Then, use the budget to add Alonso and maybe Ref + Matz
  20. moonslav59
    Since 2019 (7 seasons, counting the short 2020 season) we have not had a single 2Bman start more than 142 games TOTAL! Only 3 players started more than 71 games over 7 seasons: Arroyo (142) Valdez (112) and Story (92). Split Seasons: 92 Story '22 56 Holt '19 & ValdeZ '24 54 KC '25 51 Arroyo '23 45 Kiki '21 44 Valdez '23 43 Arroyo '21 42 DHam '25 40 Chavis '19 (9 players with 40+) 3 players 30-39 (12 at 30+) 7 players 20-29 (19 at 20+) 11 players 10-19 (30 at 10 games or more!) 12 players 4-0 11 players 1-3 First Base is nearly as bad: Total Games in 7 Seasons: Dalbec 221, Casas 220, Moreland 93, Chavis 69, Smith 66, Toro 57, Franchy 55, Romy 51, Turner 35, Lowe 26, Travis 20, 6 guys 10-19 and 8 guys 1-9 games. Slit Seasons: 125 Casas '23 "The Ironman!" 123 Dalbec '23 89 Dalbec '22 85 Moreland '19 68 Toro '25 61 Casas '24 58 Romy '25 53 Franchy '22 11 players 20-49 13 players 10-19 3 at 8-9 games 2 at 2-3 games These two positions have been a mess.
  21. moonslav59
    I may be wrong, but I thought you were most worried about the rib injury- not the ruptured patellar tendon. To me, even if a doctor says he's 100% healthy, I doubt he'll make it through a full season in 2026. It's the next injury that worries me more.
  22. moonslav59
    Bubic, but he has one year of control. They might look to trade Lugo or Wacha- maybe Estevez, but I'm not sure we want the back ends of their contracts. I don't want 2Bman India. Witt is untouchable.
  23. moonslav59
    A sign of all the turnover, we've had. Just don't call it a rebuild. Our most senior players on the 40 were added to it in 2020 (Houck, Wong & Whitlock.) Our 8th most senior player (Story) was added right before 2022 spring training. Casas (10th) was added at the end of '22. Our 17th through 22nd guys were added before the '24 season- meaning more than half of our 40 man roster was not on it right after the 2023 season. That's two years ago, today.
  24. moonslav59
    Strange. Has a health update come out? To me, if he's 100%, he's worth over 3 times $13M. If he's not, closer to zero. Then, if he is healthy, can he stay healthy?
  25. moonslav59
    I'd prefer another position, but first and foremost we need a big bopper, and the best two are Schwarber and Alonso. I've suggested a K Marte trade, signing next level boppers like Suarez and or Polanco, but I'm with Drew on having a top power bat as our #1 priority. As much as I feel we really need a solid #2 SP'er, that is priority number 2. The third priority is another big bat, but if we get a big bopper, I'm okay with someone without a ton of power.
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