moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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We "gelled" on the 11 game win streak.
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I think everyone would rather have EE than CB, but it's about the years and costs.
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Good point on Kopech. I'm thinking Swihart's best spot might be 1B, but I'm fine with letting have a go at 3B.
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If he's not in shape, we'll know right away. I'd think we'd check in before all 3B options are taken to see where he's at. If he's lost a lot of wait, it's still a question mark at 3B, especially on defense. Watching Cleveland's 3B defense last night and seeing the Sox finished in last place with 3B WAR pretty much tells us where we can improve the most going into next year.
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I thought Price would be better than this, and I was still against the signing. Let's hope he's like Beckett, who took a year to "adjust" before bringing us a ring. Winning a ring might be difficult without Papi. It hasn't been done for a century.
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I'd like to see us get a 1 year player at 3B (like Frazier), so Moncada and Devers have a chance to win the job for 2018 and beyond. I'm also fine with signing Turner to 3-4 years and then either trading Devers or Moncada for something very special, or moving them to a new position (Moncada> LF? and Devers > 1B?)
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I've always been super high on JBJ. I never gave up on him, even through his long slump. I think he could become more consistent, or at least lower or shorten the amount of slumps he has. I'm also okay with up and down players who end up with good numbers at the end. They often carry a team during rough stretches (like Napoli did).
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I agree with everything here, except maybe the Kopech thing. I think we may bring in a cheap back-up 3Bman on a 1 year deal (Valbuena?)
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I agree, and on a team looking to improve in several areas, we may not have the luxury of waiting until one of our three catchers proves he's the starter. I trust Sox management to know who has the best chance at being our catcher going forward, and we may have to trade the other to get where we need to be at 3B, DH, and RP'er.
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I do think he's still a catcher option, and with our catcher situation more in question now than two months ago, I can see the position for keeping him. I love Swihart. I think he's going to be a very good offensive player. I'm not sure about the defense, but catcher defense takes time to master. Remember, VTek was not really a plus defender until 31 -32 years old. I also realize we have 3 catchers in a league starving for catchers. I think Leon and Vaz are better defenders, and I'm super high on catcher defense. I think Swihart will likely be moved to LF, 3B or 1B with the Sox, so his value may be higher with another team as a catcher. (key word: may) I also know you have to give to get, and I value Swihart highly... both here and as trade bait.
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Didn't Craig have 5 years? I think you're right. We may have to eat his contract or hope he becomes some sort of use- even if as a platoon DH.
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My bad. I misread it.
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Where have I come close to saying I've "given up" on Swihart? We are set in LF with Beni and Young. Moncada may end up in the OF, if we discover he'll never be a plus on D in the IF. Trading someone is not giving up on him, if we get someone like Robertson and Frazier in return! It's high praise. The next poster obviously thought my Swihart trade offer was too low, so I guess he thinks I'm over-valuing Swi.
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We had some hard hit outs those last two innings. If one just found its way to a hit...
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It's only Part I, which is basically looking at ideas for changes. Part II will be after moves have been made and the roster is pretty much set for opening day.
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Bradley's numbers outside of his 29 game hitting streak, in IMO, are concerning, especially when viewed with his previous years results in mind: 127 G, .232/.317/.416/.733 JBJ just may be a streaky hitter his whole career, so it may not be fair to view his numbers this way. I do admit, I am concerned about his future and how long future slumps may last (or dominate a season).
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This is what I think might happen: Sign Beltran and Boone Logan. Trade Swihart, Shaw, Basabe, Owens or Johnson For Robertson and Frazier
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You "Castillo" Panda or trade him if he has a spring revival.
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Beltran is best used as a DH. Beni and Young make a great LF combo. I can't see us getting both EE and CB.
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I don't think we really "know" what we have in Swihart. I'm thinking a trafe for Todd Frazier (1 year left) should not cost much and would be a great bridge to Moncada.
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I don't make definitive judgments on even a full season sample size, especially with a young player. That doesn't mean I disregard smaller sample sizes or trends. To me, a players minor league numbers matter, especially, if the sample sizes are more than 500 PAs each per AA and AAA levels. Take Shaw, for instance, I showed how he has been below his AA & AAA norm in 5 of his last 8 half seasons. I thought his ending to 2015 and start to 2016 were likely not sustainable. I never said he definitely would fall back to his norm, but I thought the odds were that he would. JBJ had very good numbers on the farm. I thoguth his slow start was likely a fluke. I also mentioned his torrid August of 2015 was probably a fluke as well and that he'd probably end up somewhere between his minor league norm and his 2015 final numbers. I realize discounting his 2014 ML numbers, especially a pretty significant sample size may seem like cherry-picking, and maybe it was. His recent slump looks a lot like 2014. I'm not perfect. I don't pretend to think my system of beliefs is better than anyone else's, especially the Sox brass, but I do try to stay consistent in my methodology.
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...and yes, a 2 month sample size is small. Leon's history is longer than his most recent 5-6 weeks. He was god-awful in many previous sample size, as has been JBJ, I might add, but JBJ hqad nice minor league numbers: Leon did not.
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No, I criticized how it seemed the site's mood went from JBJ was untouchable to let's trade him. I'm not even sure, if it was the same people who flipped, so my criticism was probably off-base. I'm fine with people getting down on slumping players. It's the definitive statements that bug me. Like early last year, we hard, "I guess we know JBj will never be able to hit ML pitching" and "Leon had proven he can't hit in MLB." And, those were based on bigger sample sizes than what we are talking about here. Yeah, I got down on Leon, but it was more on JF for not PH'ing for him. I mentioned his starting catching job may be on the line. With Swihart and Vaz on the roster, that might have been the case, even if Leon had not slumped this badly.
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Here's one idea: Sign: Encarnacion & Boone Logan (LHP) Trade: Blake Swihart, Travis Shaw, and any three from: Michael Chavis, Trey Ball, Josh Ockimey, CJ Chatham, Henry Owens & Brian Johnson (maybe we have to include Basabe or Travis) For: David Robertson & Todd Frazier This leaves us with.... SP: Porcello, Price, ERod, Buch, Wright, Pom (LR) RP: Robertson, Kimbrel, Smith, Kelly, Ross, one from: Barnes/Hembree/Abad/Scott C: Leon, Vaz 1B: Ramirez 2B: Pedroia 3B: Frasier SS: Bogaerts LF: Beni-Young CF: JBJ RF: Betts DH: EE Utility: Holt, Hernandez (Moncada) Line-up is kind off righty dominated, but... 1) Beni v R/ Pedey v L 2) Pedey v R/ Bogey v L 3) Betts 4) EE 5) HanRam 6) Frasier 7) Bogey v R/Young v L 8) JBJ 9) Leon/Vaz
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He's "looked bad" his whole career, except for a 2-3 month stretch. He's also looked bad over the last 5-6 weeks- hardly a tiny sample size. There's a big difference. I never get down on a player over a tiny sample size. Do you doubt he has a lock on the FT catcher job next year?
