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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    I'd rather trade Witherspoon than Tolle or Early, and if the team demands him over Crawford, Harrison, Oviedo or Sandoval, I'd strongly consider adding him. Since we haven't even seen him pitch professional ball, I'm not sure we know all that much.
  2. moonslav59
    Exactly. DET knows the arb guy won't give Skubal the win, so there is no pressure to find a common ground any higher than they are prepared to give him. They don't have to budge an inch, because they have a 99% chance at winning, IMO. Had Skubal submitted $25M, maybe DET finds common ground more easily. He'd be easier to trade at $19M than $22 or $25M. He might be easier to extend once traded, at $19M, too.
  3. moonslav59
    It does hurt to try, because the arb guy can't pick $25M. He has to pick one or the other. Had he asked for $25M or better yet $22M, he might have won.
  4. moonslav59
    The "list?" BTW, I'm also against giving Breggie a large and long deal. "Full throttle" was a sham. Do you really disagree?
  5. moonslav59
    A fine example on why he won't get $32M.
  6. moonslav59
    Yes, we understand your position. We await your later complaints that Brez did nothing.
  7. moonslav59
    It is more likely they offered 4 or maybe even 5 years than the same offer. I agree. On your $140M/5 offer, adding $30M/1 would be a major change- one more year and a higher AAV.
  8. moonslav59
    He deserves it, but not by the established arb model.
  9. moonslav59
    I agree, but it makes me wonder. If their offer is $120M/3 or $150M/4, why not offer the additional $50M/3 or $20M/2 to get to $170M/6?
  10. moonslav59
    If Duran starts the season as the DH, he will be the FT DH. We should not use one of the 4 bench slots for a back-up DH. I think he may be in AAA day one, if not traded. I also think we trade an OF'er, so Masa will be the DH on opening day.
  11. moonslav59
    Yanks have apparently offered Bellinger $30M AAV.
  12. moonslav59
    Wow! Skubal and Tigers are $13M apart on arb submission numbers- a record.
  13. moonslav59
    BTV accepts Rafaela, Campbell & Casas for KMarte. The AAV is nearly the same, so in theory, we could still sign a decent FA SP & RP. 1. L Anthony CF 2. S KMarte 2B 3. L Duran LF 4. R Contreras 1B 5. L Abreu RF 6. R Story SS 7. L Masa DH or R Romy DH 8. R Narvaez C 9. L Mayer 2B or R Romy 2B SP: Crochet, Gray, Bassitt, Bello, Sandoval/Oviedo (Tolle/Early) RP: Chapman, Whitlock, Slaten, Wilson, Weissert, Harrison, Crawford, Hicks/Moran/Watson (Kelly/Mullins)
  14. moonslav59
    Of course. It's all about the return package, and AZ is not looking for prospects. Maybe a third team could get involved, as we give AZ one of our 4 OF'ers and some prospects to the 3rd team, as they give a second key MLB piece to AZ. If AZ valued Campbell highly, maybe they'd take Duran & Campbell plus Crawford & Valera, but I think Witherspoon would have to go- not Crawford.
  15. moonslav59
    Yes, they seem to be off on some areas, but Ceddanne does seem to have a lot of range in projected value. I think Duran might be too high and I'd have Rafaela worth more than Duran.
  16. moonslav59
    Romy may start! Yoshida may begin in AAA, but he wont be DFA'd.
  17. moonslav59
    Our window is as wide as his years of control. His AAV is about $15M- about half of Bregman's estimate will be. He'll hit double the homers. I can see not wanting to give up Early and or Mayer, but Marte is a perfect fit.
  18. moonslav59
    Why no Romy?
  19. moonslav59
    I'm not sure I'd call Gray a "hole" but the best part about getting a #2 is that Gray becomes one of baseball's best #3's, Bello is a very nice #4 and the rest can fight over one slot- not two. Projected fWAR 5.7 Crochet 3.9 Gray 3.1 Anthony 2.9 Rafaela 2.2 Abreu 2.1 Duran 2.1 Narvaez 2.0 Bello 1.9 Contreras & Story 1.8 Mayer 1.6 Sandoval 1.5 Romy & Chapman Gray is projected as our second best player, but you think he's a hole that needs fixing.
  20. moonslav59
    They take his total estimated value and subtract by the money he's owed or projected to make, if an arb player. These are some numbers: Value- pay= net value 94.2 Rafaela -58= 36.2 82.5 Duran-36.6= 45.9 78.3 Mayer-24.5=53.8 75.5 Bello-50.5= 25.0 56.4 Abreu-28.9=27.4
  21. moonslav59
    I think once we sign Bregman with massive defferals, we'll trade Duran and get back under line 2. Then, we'll make a mistake and go over by $1.5M, anyway.
  22. moonslav59
    Masa in AAA?
  23. moonslav59
    I hate when the car salesperson asks, "What can you afford to pay?"
  24. moonslav59
    Indeed, even at 32 years old. To me, that was so long ago, it's not worth talking about. Breggie has had a 6 year "red flag" and has not been Mr. Consistency in the last 2 years. Surprise: 2 years ago he turned 30. Do we really want our one large and long deal to go to this? fWAR trends... 5.4>4.4>4.2>3.5 (age 31) Bregman 4.9>4.8>3.9>0.3>3.8 (age 27) Bichette This was Story: 4.7>6.0>2.0>2.2 (age 29) before we signed him. We extended Devers after this: 6.5>0.8>4.2>5.0 (age 25) Maybe we should. I'm not sure what's the right thing to do. Knowing our luck, we'll make the wrong choice, no matter what we do.
  25. moonslav59
    $174M/6 likely gets it done. Counting inflation that's pretty close to the Story deal of $140M/6 back in '22. Story had the whole "COL home field advantage" tag laid on him, but he was 29 and also a GG caliber infielder, like Breggie. I'd be okay with that, but I still feel like he would not have been they guy I'd break the trend on. I totally get the point on not having to trade anyone away to get him, like we'd have to do to get KMarte. That part sucks, but KMarte's AAV is closer to $15M, while Breggies might double that. We can turn blue arguing how JH can and should spend more, but IMO, he'll never even repeat the DD spending era again. If he spends big, it will be short spurts, followed by fall-backs. Adding Bregman's contract will restrict further spending.
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