moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Yes, and if HRam his hitting well, I doubt we restrict his PAs just so he does not vest. Yes, there will be injuries, but we also probably committed to Nunez to maximize his PAs. All it takes is an injury to any OF'er, 1Bman or DH to get HRam more PAs. Same with Nunez, but add 2B (Pedey) SS and 3B.
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I'll do a complete analysis when everyone is signed officially, but going by cots and the reported salaries of JD, this is where we'll be: $208.6M including Nunez and player benefit payment $22M for JDM $230.6M total The major penalty limit is $237M. We'll want to keep a couple million for fluctuating player salaries due to call-ups and bonuses. I'd say we have about $4M to "play with."
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Moreland plays 1B vs RHPs (or most of them). HRam plays 1B vs LHPs, DH's when JD plays OF and PHs some. He does not vest.
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He could, but I don't think he does anything more than trading or DFA'ing Brentz. Here's how I see the new set-up... JD has only had more than 517 PAs once in his career. Let's assume he gets 600 as a DH and back-up OF'er. Beni slides to CF or RF when Betts and JBJ need rest. JD plays LF, whenever any OF'er needs rest. PAs Beni: 650 575 LF 50 CF 25 RF JDM 600 475 DH 125 LF HRam 425 200 DH vs RHPs 200 1B vs LHPs only 25 PH Moreland 525 500 1B (vs RHPs only) 25 PH (This leaves no room for Nunez to play LF or DH.) If we trade JBJ or Beni, we could give more PAs to Nunez and maybe 50 more for HRam (still keepimg him from vesting. For argument's sake, assume we trade JBJ for a pitcher... JDM 600 450 LF 150 DH Beni 650 CF Betts 700 RF HRam 475 200 1B vs LHPs 275 DH vs RHPs Moreland 525 450 1B 25 PH Nunez 600 250 DH 200 2B 50 LF 50 CF 50 3B/SS Or, something like this...
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While JBJ is hard to project, if he can give us the offense he gave in 2015 or 2016, we'd get a big boost here as well.
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Apparently, this is how the JD deal is constructed: $25M $25M opt out $22M opt out $19M $19M
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At winter's start, I was expecting $125M/5. $22M AVV is a pretty good deal for us.
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Jarrod Dyson to sign with AZ for $7.5M/2/
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I see your point, but if our other players improve, we'll know. (Although some will say JD's presence in the line-up made them do better.)
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What's unknown is how the last 3 years' $60M is split year to year. If it's $25M year 3 and just $35M/2 remaining, there's a higher chance for an opt-out.
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To the Sox? Doubtful. We'll be up against the major penalty line after Nunez & JD sign. I'm assuming JD's AVV will be $22M.
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$50M/2 before the first opt-out. I'm assuming $60M/3 for the remaining 3 years with another opt-out at some point over the last 3 years.
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Jon Morosi of MLB Network puts the guarantee at $110MM... [5 years?] Martinez will earn $50MM in the first two years of the deal, per Jon Heyman of Fan Rag (via Twitter). The contract includes two opt-out chances, he adds. If he opts out after $50M/2, it wouldn't be such a bad deal at all. Even, if he did great, we'd have gotten out money's worth. If he does poorly or under performed, he won't opt out but $60M/3 remaining is not terribly horrible either.
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It was probably a lock all along. All the rest was just rigmarole.
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"sucked" was hyperbole, but our offense finsihed pretty badly last year after leading the league in runs scored by a wide margin the previous year.
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MLBTR reports... ... J.D. Martinez, though, remains available as the top bat on the market despite a lack of obvious suitors for his services outside of the Red Sox and D-backs. Here’s the latest chatter on the slugger… Drellich tweets that he, too, hears a deal between the Sox and Martinez is near, adding that Dombrowski would not comment on the matter.. Piecoro tweets that the D-backs are also under the impression that Martinez is going to the Red Sox, and they’ll need to find a replacement for him. The Red Sox and Martinez are now “moving close to a deal,” tweets Jon Heyman of FanRag Sports. There’s nothing finalized yet, he adds, noting that details on the pact remain unclear at this time.
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The Sox must have felt the knee was "good enough." The real danger is probably a re-injury.
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How about... Beni, ERod, Hembree & Brentz for Archer, Colome and Dickerson? (Again, I'm not for this trade, but if we sign JD, it makes some sense.)
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1) His salary is "high" (or too high) for the Rays. 2) DFA'ing does not always mean you want nothing in return.
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I said I would not do it.
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Exactly, and that 2015 season was petty decent, at least offensively.
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I always thought JF was a great pitching coach, and our pitchers did over perform last year, especially the pen. He and his staff sucked with everyday players. All but Vazquez declined or "under performed". Many did worse than 2015 numbers as well.
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It seems like a good deal for us, but... If we sign JD, then Dickerson has no place to play near FT. We lose one of our 6th starter options. I guess, if we signed JD and traded JBJ for a SP'er, then Dickerson could play LF and DH, helping to squeeze HRam from vesting and giving us a nice LH'd bat. It's hard to pass up a career .866 OPS vs RHPs guy. Dickerson career numbers vs RHPs per 650 PAs .284 32 83 (38 2B + 3B) (.331 OBP) Bonus: +8.7 UZR/150 over the last 2 seasons combined in LF & OF. I'd say yes, but if we sign JD, Dickerson might put us over the major penalty limit. If so, I'd have to say no.
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I wouldn't do it, but this might get TB to say yes... Beni, ERod, Brentz and Marrero for Archer & Dickerson
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Yes, I agree. 500-650 PAs from JD replacing... 276 from Young (.709) 150-200 from HRam (.750) 50-100 from Moreland (.769) 47 from RDavis & S Selsky 300-350 more PAs from Devers replacing.... 75-125 Marrero (.593) 118 from Rutledge (.558) 108 from Pablo (.622) 250-350 more PAs from Nunez replacing... 50-100 Marrero (.593) 50-100 B Holt (.548) 66 Lin (.709) 60 Marco (.628) 100-200 more PAs from Vazquez replacing... 100-200 from Leon (.644)
