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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Lin has options and can be stashed in AAA. If Holt looks recovered, I'm fine with cutting Marrero loose when or before Pedey returns.
  2. moonslav59
    Pitcher w Leon/ w Swi Miley .738/.756 Porc .934/.766 ERod .377/.662 Wrght .368/.719 Buch .627/ n/a RHill .410/ na
  3. moonslav59
    Starter OPS against by catcher in 2016: Pitcher w Leon/ w Vaz Price .681 / .745 Porc .588 / .694 ERod .747 / .693 Buch .675 / .812 Wright .842 / .684
  4. moonslav59
    That's an option, and he has the most value in trade. Vaz should improve, but I'm not trading or DFA'ing Leon, until I see it happen. I'm just not getting why you dislike a catcher who continuously gets the best out of the staff-- not just 2017. Is Holt really that fantastic?
  5. moonslav59
    Swihart can play 1B and LF. I've said it a hundred times. I'm fine with trading Swihart, but I'd like to keep all 3 around.
  6. moonslav59
    So, you're betting on Vaz getting that much better, when he's already had about the same PAs with each pitcher on this staff as Leon and has done much worse with 5 of the 8 guys both catch often and worse with 7 of 8. The one guy Vaz did better with was Boyer, and he's not even here. He did do pretty close with Porcello, so we could give him Rick and let him keep Pom and Price. The real comp is Swihart vs Leon. I would shudder to give Swihart Sale & ERod full time.
  7. moonslav59
    Not ones who have already built a rapport with the staff that is second to none. It's not even close with Vaz. It will be a massive differential with Swihart. Plus, Leon hits RHPs okay, so just avoid letting him hit lefties. Since we'll have 3 catchers, that will be easier to do now.
  8. moonslav59
    Nunez plays better OF than Holt or JD.
  9. moonslav59
    Plus, Beni's numbers need to improve vs LHPs, or else we'll have an easy choice.
  10. moonslav59
    That's why I'm fine with Betts up 2nd.
  11. moonslav59
    We start the season with Leon, Swihart, Moreland and Marrero on the bench. Holt starts in AAA and carries a cell phone with him every minute-waiting for a call up. When Pedey comes back, a decision needs to be made on Marrero. We'll have Nunez as a back-up and Holt still holding a phone. Lin & Quiroz are also options. I think Marrero goes, when Pedey returns. Until then, I don't see any issues, unless Holt is already penciled in on the 25.
  12. moonslav59
    Spread out pretty well. Plan resting OF'ers and JD accordingly.
  13. moonslav59
    Whoever needs a rest or JBJ vs RHPs and Beni vs LHPs.
  14. moonslav59
    We also have depth issues in the OF, and with Nunez playing 2B and JD sucking on defense and trying to stay healthy, Swihart is a good option for LF. He won't play 1B much, unless HRam or Moreland gets hurt. I start the season with Moreland, leon, Swihart and Marrero on the bench. Holt has options, so he goes to AAA. When Pedey returns, Nunez is not the IF depth, and although his defense is lacking, he's a better bench option than marrero. I can see that when Pedey reeturns, we may want marrero over a catcher, but guys like Marrero are everywhere...and some have options.
  15. moonslav59
    2016-2018 (which includes HRam's horrific 2016 season) 350+ PAs .987 Papi .842 Betts .799 Pedey .793 JBJ .785 HRam .785 Beni .776 Bogey .773 Young .769 Moreland .754 Shaw .713 Swihart .693 Napoli .691 Holt .688 Leon .683 Vaz .646 Pablo
  16. moonslav59
    Sox OPS leaders from 2016-2017 (250+ PAs) 1.021 Papi .851 Betts .811 HRam .799 Pedey .785 Beni .784 JBJ .776 Bogey .773 Young .769 Moreland .741 Leon .726 Shaw .683 Vaz .653 Holt (170-250 PAs) .892 Nunez .819 Devers .613 Rutledge .577 A Hill .573 Marrero
  17. moonslav59
    Maybe, if you go by just 2017. Even then, he had our 5th best OPS, and Pedey starts the year on the DL. JD is better, so that keeps HRam at about 5th best by OPS. I'm much more hopeful that surgery actually helps a player get better than he was while playing hurt. HRam was clearly affected by his shoulder injury last year. They avoided playing him at 1B, and he did horrible vs LHPs, which is usually his strong area. My guess is, the shoulder really hurt his swing vs lefties. He was .069 below his career OPS vs RHPs. He was .218 below his career OPS vs LHPs. Sox hitters with 200+ PAs vs RHPs last year: .813 Beni .784 Moreland (will be on the bench) .771 Betts .769 HRam .739 Bogey .732 Vaz .729 Pedey .713 JBJ .612 Leon Look, I get the idea that HRam might suck this year, but I'm going with him until he shows me he does... or not.
  18. moonslav59
    The worst part about Vaz & Leon is that they both hit RHPs better than lefties, although the Sox never seem to care about lefty-righty with our catchers. We've gone the personal caddy route for as long as I care to remember.
  19. moonslav59
    Vaz may be a decent hitter going forward. Swihart can play more than catcher, so it's not like we are going to keep 3 strict catcher only players on the 25 man roster. I like the idea of being able to PH for Vaz or Leon late in games without worrying about a late inning catcher injury. I'd like to see Swihart get some reps at 1B (another reason for hating the Moreland signing). Swihart can also play LF- keeping Nunez at 2B and JD at DH. If there's an injury to a catcher, we'll be glad we kept all 3. If there's an injury at 1B or DH, Swihart can get more PAs. If an OF'er gets hurt, we could play Swihart in LF vs RHPs. Keep all options open. Keep all 3 catchers as long as possible.
  20. moonslav59
    ...and if the staff, all of a sudden, has a jump in OPS against of 50-100 points, you won't blame it on swapping our Swihart for Leon in 40-60 games?
  21. moonslav59
    We do have an issue with IF depth, until Pedey returns, but my list was after Pedey returned. Nunez is the IF back-up, and we want to get him as many PAs as possible, so marrero would only act as a late inning defensive replacement for Nunez or maybe Pedey/Devers/Bogey. Assuming Nunez starts at 2B until Pedey returns, our bench can be Leon, Swihart, Moreland, Marrero with Holt at AAA. n(We could trade or DFA marrero and have Holt on the 25 man roster, if he seems to be over the concussions.)
  22. moonslav59
    We have $4-6M left, depending on mid season call-ups and contractual offsets and bonuses. That might get us a 2 month rental in July.
  23. moonslav59
    Manny was -20.2 from 2002 on. He was -90 DRS in 16335 innings, which is -8 per 162 games
  24. moonslav59
    Who is in the "consensus" that JD is as good as "mediocre" on defense? His UZR/150 and DRS numbers are well below average and even worse over the last 2 years. Out of 67 OF'ers with 1500+ innings in the OF from 2016 to 2017, guess where JD places in UZR/150? Yup, 67th at -18.4! He's 64th in DRS at -27. Think about that -27 number. He only played in the OF an equivalent of less than 222 games. That's about -20 per 162 games. He's not mediocre. He's not even decent on defense. That's why he's our new DH.
  25. moonslav59
    Do you not value how a catcher gets the most out of the staff? These pitchers all did better with Leon than Vaz: Pitcher w Leo / w Vaz +.403 Hembree .609 (133) / 1.012 (135) +.256 R Scott .476 (67) / .832 (74) +.179 Fister .666 (255) / .845 (137) +.126 M Barnes .592 (110) / .707 (174) +.102 Joe Kelly .546 (98) / .648 (127) +.066 CKimbrel .406 (97) / 472 (153) +.008 Porcello .824 (709) / .832 (176) These pitchers all did better with Vaz: -.032 B. Boyer .834 (76) / .802 (98) (Only pitchers with 60+ PAs with each catcher listed) Some of the variances are huge, in fact, 5 of the 8 pitchers had an OPS against of 100+ better with Leon. Awihart is supposedly worse than Vaz with pitchers, so one can imagine the OPS differentials when compared to Leon. Since OPS against for our staff involves all 9 hitters for the opposing team, Swihart might have to have an OPS of 1.800 to just bear even with a negative OPS differential of .200. I'm keeping Leon. I'm trying to keep Swihart as well, so we can PH for Leon (.638 vs RHPs) and Vaz (vs RHPs .657)
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