moonslav59

He walks way too many batters.

That's counting his first 2 years: 110 ERA+ since '22.

This is so true, but what good does it do to keep saying it within the context of suggesting a realistic plan, when we all know it's not happening?

That could be the difference between Alonso and Suarez.

So, maybe K Marte goes from 4.5 fWAR in '25 to... 4.1 in '26 3.7 in '27 3.2 in '28 2.6 in '29

after 32? Someone who is a 0.2 WAR guys goes to -0.3? Same as a 6.0 goes to 5.5?

Kelly's age is the issue, too.

I hope we do better than Kelly, and I may be in a minority here, but I think he might have a better 2026than Gray. Both seem like 3's to me, but closer to a 2 than a 4. Bello, the same. It would not be a horrible thing to have... 1 top 5 pitcher (Crochet) 3 solid #3's (Kelly, Gray & Bello) 3 decent #4-5's (Sandoval, Crawford, Harrison) 3 promising youngsters (Dobbins, Tolle, Early) 1 unknown(Perales) 1 AAAA guy (Criswell) That's 12 guys on the 40. I had hoped for a 1B type, but if we do well adding to the O, I'd be okay with Kelly & Gray replacing Gio & Buehler.

I would, too. I'm thinking of miser Henry (not mister Henry)

24th in fWAR, so a #1. 39th in ERA-, so a mid #2 Combined: borderline 1-2, in theory. Best part about him? He might get just a 1-2 year deal.

If Soup Campbell was still playing, we could trade Wong, Tong, Soup...

He'll be a Yankee by then!

I have to think LF and DH are his best positions, at this point- all the more reason to trade LHB Duran. However, we are losing nearly 1200 PAs from Bregman, Devers, Refsnyder and Lowe. Duran was our best wire-to-wire offensive player in 2024 and 2025. Tough call for Brez. I don't trade Duran, unless we add 2 big bats- like KMarte & Alonso.

The season with the most IP was 2022: 9 GS and 22 RP games. No speculation there, either. It is speculating to say or imply the injuries were related to starting. They may have been, but nobody knows. Many of us wanted him to stay in the pen. He sure looked great as a SP'er starting the 2024 season, then KA-BOOM!

5770 innings at 2B 11 innings at 3B Hell, he's played more at SS (2280) and CF (1290) than 3B. He has gotten criticism for requested days off and staying in the DR longer than hoped for after his home was burglarized. KMarte and his agent deny the talk of him asking for days off.

Tucker did beat JD in fWAR 4.5 to 3.9, but your point is a good one. Tucker is better on D, but JD's baserunning adds a special dimension. I think the pre-injury Tucker is the eye opener: bWAR 5.3>5.5>5.5 (21-23) then 4.7 in just 78 games in '24 (179 OPS+!!!) He turns 29 in January. Hid fWAR was 4.9 each year from '21 to '23 then 4.2 in less than a half season in '24.

I'd trade Duran for KMarte, because we'd still have plus OF'ers with Campbell, Garcia and masa as OF depth. We have needed a 2Bman since 2017.

Knowing these guys, they'll go in between.

I think they'd much prefer Crawford, Harrison or Dobbins than Sandoval, but your point is well-taken. I agree that we can package to either way they are going. I have mentioned Rafaela several times in various offers, including for KMarte. He's more proven than Campbell, has many years of control and has proven he has a position mastered. (He could probably be a plus at 2B in les sthan a year of FT play, but why?) I'd give Rafaela and any two from the 3 pitchers I mentioned for a "win soon" package to AZ. Keeping Duran over Rafaela should help the offense, but who knows in 1-2 years where Duran and CR will be on offense. Both Duran (7.7 + 2 arbs) and Rafaela (6.3 x 6 years) would both help offset some of the $19.5M AAV KMarte would bring to the budget. That might help leave just enough budget space for one big bat signing. I certainly think they could afford Suarez on a 2 x $20M or 3 X $17M deal. Maybe Marte & Suarez could be enough. 1. L Anthony CF/RF 2. S Marte 2B 3. L Duran LF/CF/DH 4. R Suarez 3B/1B 5. L Abreu RF- R Refsnyder LF/DH 6. R Story SS 7. L Casas 1B/DH-R Romy 1B/3B/DH- L Masa DH 8. R Narvaez C 9. L Mayer 3B/R Romy 3B/DH

He could decline by 5% every year and he'd go from 4.5 fWAR in '25 to... 4.2 in '26 4.0 in '27 3.8 in '28 3.6 in '29 As a reference last 3 year numbers: Duran has given us 2.5>6.8>2.7 Bichette: 3.9>0.3>3.8 Bregman: 4.2>3.5>4.0 Alonso: 2.8>2.1>3.6 Schwarber 0.9>3.3>4.9 Suarez: 3.5>3.8>3.8

I doubt they'd want 1 year Sandoval, and it's hard to know who they like. They might like Crawford more than Harrison + Dobbins. They might really like Perales. I think they have good reason to insist on Tolle or Early, and I doubt even Arias could be subbed in. The name I keep coming back to is Campbell, and I'm not a firm believer in the idea that is stock dropped a ton from March's high point. Again, maybe AZ does not value him highly enough. His lack of a position is worrisome. Would Campbell, Crawford and Perales get it done?

True... Donovan is .634 vs LHPs since 2023 (.824 v R) Romy is .651 v R (.931 v L) The problem is RHPs are about 70% of the league. Donovan's real comp is LHB DHam at .490 v L and .667 v R, so he'd be a big upgrade there, but we need RH'd power bats and not a better DHam.

How about... Duran to NYM Vientos, Wong, Tong & Harrison to MIN Ryan & Jeffers to BOS

Agreed, and maybe getting a third team involved, we can get Ryan for Duran + Harrison.

Agreed, and that's how I see the Sox bringing back Bregman. I ask, okay, so then what next?