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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Not bad enough to significantly drop his value, IMO.
  2. moonslav59
    He certainly has not restored any value lost in AAA, not has he been identified at a clear position where he can be okay. He does have an .833 OPS with WOO, so it's not horrible.
  3. moonslav59
    Again, I do not think many teams put a whole lot of stick into a rushed prospect's first 2 months production in MLB. Just my opinion. His poor defense and lack of known position may drive his stock lower than his piss poor 6-8 weeks in the bigs.
  4. moonslav59
    No Crawford? I think Harrison is in the picture. (Witherspoon cannot be traded.)
  5. moonslav59
    Yes, the last few weeks have put some distance in definition into the WC slot probabilities.
  6. moonslav59
    There is a risk, but the Twins are not a bottom spender. It's true, if KC struggles, those last few years will be a big burden on them, but Ryan is due to make more than KC over the next 3 years, combined- close to what KC and Abreu make, combined in their years of control. They could also flip Abreu or KC before an injury.
  7. moonslav59
    It's amazing how much the odds drop off from the 6 slot to the 7th in both leagues. So much for keeping more teams in it for longer into the season. There is a sharp cut off after "the haves" top 12 in MLB. While there is only a 3.5 GB gap between the NYM and CIN, the odds differential is massive. Same with BOS/SEA vs KCR. Perhaps the biggest surprises in the MLB standings is ATL, BAL & MIN being passed by ATH, MIA & LAA, but there is still time for them to flip places.
  8. moonslav59
    Gio will likely be a FA, and Buehler is already out. May is a FA. Houck is out until '27 and may be best used in the pen, afterwards. Sandoval, Crawford & Dobbins are question marks for 2026. We have Crochet & Bello. IMO, we could use two more #2's, but I'll settle on one I view as a #1: Joe Ryan. Keller is a bottom level #2, IMO. I'd be okay with adding him, if we keep Gio, too.
  9. moonslav59
    Abreu and Campbell are affordable. The Lux Tax number does not matter, and they can trade both, when their salaries increase. For KC, that might not be until 2030 or 2031. Abreu is pre-arb. KC: 26:$2M, 27:$3M, 28:$4M, 29:$6M, 30:$9M, 31:$13M, 32:$16M, 33:$19M club option ($4M buyout), 34:$21M club option (no buyout)
  10. moonslav59
    I didn't realize Kody was already 29. His offense has improved in the past couple years, but he's still at a 98 OPS+, this year. I agree: replace Clarke with Mullins (a Rule 5 guy.)
  11. moonslav59
    I just can't see us carrying a platoon DH with very little power for 2 more seasons. We already carry Refsnyder, who plays just 30% of the games, when healthy and is no help at 1B or 2B, where we need depth. Ref may retire. It looks like Romy is ready to fill his slot and CAN play 1B and 2B, so without Ref, maybe Yoshida gets another shot to hit .775 or better- the "new .800."
  12. moonslav59
    Would you trade Duran or Abreu, plus Campbell, Clarke and Sandlin for Ryan and Clemens?
  13. moonslav59
    It wasn't just Ryan. I got overly giddy on Kody Clemens, thinking he was a lock at solving our 2B issue, while Mayer will be one big question mark, until he plays a full season or two.
  14. moonslav59
    There is truth to this, and we still see opposing SSs make awesome plays against us, time and time again. It's also hard to notice slight declines in a player's range. It figure that just when we talk about Story being better than the metrics show, he makes a horrible throw.
  15. moonslav59
    I don't mind negativity. I was in that mode for a few decades, but it would be nice to hear some positive statements from them, from time to time. Mostly, they disappear or post way less after wins and during winning stretches. That's not necessarily a bad thing
  16. moonslav59
    Almost every poster felt our pen was going to be one of our weakest areas and wondered if Chapman would be a decent closer. I was very vocal about my disgust with how Brez neglected the pen. The only hope I saw was that our surplus of SP'ers could help out in the pen. Virtually, none did. Chapman has been great. Wilson did pretty well for 2-3 months. Whitlock took up the Slaten injury slack while carrying his own weight, at the same time. Unsung pitchers like Weissert, Bernardino and a few others have has times of struggle, but overall they have bridge many a starter to Whitlock & CHapman with very little damage done in between. We would not be where we are without them. I know fWAR disagrees, but I think we'd be flirting with .500 with a bad pen. (Sox pen fWAR is 5.4 and T2nd in MLB.)
  17. moonslav59
    His road OBP w COL was .310. It's .307, this year and .301, overall w the Sox.
  18. moonslav59
    It's always hard projecting minor league pitchers into MLB stars, but it's been a long time coming for the Sox farm to have a guy this highly regarded. Sox fans tend to shy away from anointing any farm arm great before they make it to the bigs, but Tolle does look like the REAL Deal. I also think our next tier of 3-4- maybe 5- pitchers is very promising: Valera, Perales, Witherspoon, Early/Clarke.
  19. moonslav59
    It's almost a 7 WAR projected to 650 to 675 PAs!
  20. moonslav59
    We could make it Duran or Abreu. Maybe I valued Kody Clemens, too highly, based on 1 season and harmony's comments.
  21. moonslav59
    I agree. The lack of a clear position is an issue with the team trading for him, too. His value to us and other teams has not not fallen all that much, since March.
  22. moonslav59
    On the surface, it looks like the high ranking our farm has is the result of Chapman and Whitlock carrying the numbers to those heights. While it's true they have made a big impact (1.97 ERA in 110 IP, before tonight's game,) the rest of the pen has been very respectable. Of course, not everyone, but the rest of the pen, combined is at a 3.85 ERA in 357 IP. That's better than our SP'er ERA of 3.92!!! Now, consider that 9 of our RP'ers (Kelly, Hicks, Hendriks, IC, Moran, Fulmer, Stock, Buehler and Toro) let up 58 ERs in 69.2 IP for a 7.50 ERA, the others not named Whitlock & Chapman have done very well, as no-names, mostly. The "others" have pitched 287 IP at a 3.05 ERA mark, and I included these guys in that sample: 5.06 Criswell in 11 IP 4.15 Guerrero in 17 IP 3.86 Winckowski in 12 IP and a few others over 3.05 (Bello, Slaten, Newcomb, Dobbins & Alcala) Hats off to the pen.
  23. moonslav59
    I'm sure MN wants a really good young pitcher from our pitcher-heavy farm, but I'd avoid giving up Tolle. Would they take Duran Mayer or Campbell Clarke or Early Sandlin or Mullins (Maybe add Castro, Bleis or Cespedes- Romero, if they insisted) for Joe Ryan and Kody Clemens? We'd have our #2 SP'er and longtime 2Bman. Bring back Bregman & Chapman and call it a winter.
  24. moonslav59
    May the kingdom, the power and the glory be yours- now and forever.
  25. moonslav59
    Players rarely lose a lot of value over a couple months of play, especially the first few weeks of a fast-tracked player starting in the bigs. I'm not saying I want to trade KC, but his lack of a clear position other than DH or in an already double-stacked OF makes me wonder where he fits. I guess 1B could be an option, but not trying him there, this summer is kinda telling.
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