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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    Good points. Nobody has really come forward with a specific in-house alternative plan that will win over the majority of this board. Streaky hitters always seem to bring out the critics. Remember Napoli's horrific slump followed by a near all-by-himself championship leading stretch? (now, that's hyperbole!)
  2. moonslav59
    I’m perplexed by the timetable. I am more now than I was before after reading everything here.
  3. moonslav59
    We could have signed him before JMart. We could have benched HRam and let Moose play FT (a better option than Moreland). Everytime Devers, JMart, Moose or an OF'er needed a rest, HRam could play. Under Cora's give everyone plenty of rest philosophy, HRam could play 4 out of 6 games- perfect for stopping the vest.
  4. moonslav59
    Since 2015, he has these numbers over 1461 PAs 9.2 WAR 107 wRC+ .336 wOBA (.301 BAbip) .785 OPS (HRam is at .786 and Bogey .783) .198 ISO (Betts is at .199) +10.2 Baserunning on the fangraph's index His offense has looked okay over a larger sample size than 8 games or 1.1 years. He's not past prime. I'm not sure why so many people seem to expect a .550 OPS or something this year from JBJ. He's in a slump. History usually repeats itself, so we can probably expect he'll get hot at some point and end up somewhere between .700 and .800.
  5. moonslav59
    Yes, it's become a broken record. Every slump JBJ goes through, and there have been many, is going to be career lasting starting right now. Then, he gets hot, we hear a few mea culpas, and then we hit reset. Jason said it best- no other options make sense. If we needed a solid SP'er, we might think of trading JBJ for that and suck it up on defense, but Pom and Wright are returning soon. I still think Pedey's return and health outlook might end up being the deciding factor, as Nunez in LF makes a hell of a lot more sense than JMart, to me. Career UZR/150 in the OF Nunez +17.0 in 322 innings (small sample size for sure, but much better than JMart) -2.4 in 6089 innings IF JBJ is still in a horrible slump when Pedey returns, then (IMO) an argument might be made to bench or trade JBJ>
  6. moonslav59
    What did I predict in that post? What's your main issue with anything I said? Tell me who you want to play (and where) with JBJ on the bench.
  7. moonslav59
    1) You could use Moose like we do and will Moreland- hardly ever. 2) You keep HRam from vesting. 3) You can more easily trade JBJ, because now you've improved your defense at 3B to help offset the drop off in OF defense with JMart in LF. (Note: you can still "make it work" with JMart as DH in all AL parks with HRam and Moose basically splittting time.) My main issue with Moreland was the money and extra year. Even Duda would have given us more budget space this summer.
  8. moonslav59
    Yes, which is a smaller AVV than HRam. We lose Pablo's contract after 2019, and after 2020 all hell breaks loose. I'm not for signing Kimbrel to Chapman money. We can't afford that much for a closer, even if he is still the best by the end of this year. I'm not sure if Pom will be worth his price tag either, and I get that nearly every good FA is normally going to be an overpay. $22M can go a long way, if used properly. To me, this team's greatest future constraint may not be the low farm quality, but instead will likely be, IMO, the budget.
  9. moonslav59
    Yup. (No sarcasm alert)
  10. moonslav59
    Nunez sucks at SS, but so does Holt. Nunez has played SS more than any other position. His 2013 season with 600+ innings at SS was horrendous: -28 DRS -27.3 UZR/150 Career: -13.4 UZR/150 -42 DRS in 2091 innings He's -11.8 at 2B (-9 DRS is 409 innings) Note: from 2014-2108, he's +3.1 UZR/150 at SS in 940+ innings. (14th out of 58 SSs with 900+ innings)
  11. moonslav59
    I'd choose Lin. Cora may choose Holt and use Lin in the late innings. Here's a wild and maybe crazzzy thought: Nunez at SS and Holt at 2B.
  12. moonslav59
    Don'tteams often say longer than expected, so the players looks like ago-getter for coming back "early."
  13. moonslav59
    True. We heard the same about replacing our catchers last year. Vaz hits .730 one year, and now the hounds are set to JBJ's trail. Not a peep about Beni. He's -1.4 UZR/150 career and has a .570 career OPS vs LHPs. (Note: I'm not for benching JBJ.) I guess no matter how good our team is doing, people seem to want to first identify what they perceive is our biggest weakness, and no matter how small the sample size is or how great they guy might be in other areas of play, harp on replacing the weakest link. I admit, I look for tryin to improve our weakest areas, too. It's a natural and justifiable strategy, However, it's just 8 games played. Yes, add it to last year and JBJ's offense is a "weak area," but replacing JBJ with someone in our system, IMO, would weaken the team more than help. Swihart or Moreland would have to go nutty on offense. Nobody's talking trade this time of year. I'm just not seeing any suggestion that excludes JBJ in CF as being a better choice right now.
  14. moonslav59
    Maybe it's just a hairline fracture. Those can heal quicker than 6-8 weeks, but 10-14 days does seem overly optimistic.
  15. moonslav59
    Bring Marrero back! LOL
  16. moonslav59
    I'm all for letting Kimbrel go, if his demands are out of line or out of our reach. We may lose Pom as well, even if Hram does not vest. We will have some money to sign someone to replace part of what they left as a hole. We'll have much more without HRam's contract.
  17. moonslav59
    Does anybody disagree? Same with Pom vs HRam.
  18. moonslav59
    Like I said, I agree with your point that 4+ run wins are a better indicator of a good team than 1 run wins. Randomness plays a greater role in 1 run games for obvious reasons. (Well, obvious to some.)
  19. moonslav59
    Great stuff. It's interesting to note that the two guys who have not increased their numbers here are both stuggling to start the season.
  20. moonslav59
    Makes sense. As much as I have liked JBJ over the years, I'm not against looking at other chocies and gathering information. I do think, looking at the data and net value of each of our current players and where we might project they are going forward, playing JBJ FT or nearly FT looks like the best option to me.
  21. moonslav59
    It shouldn't break us, but IMO we're better with Kimbrel over HRam in 2019.
  22. moonslav59
    Cherry=picked or not three seasons of data from one team proves very little. I'm sure someone can dig up many championship teams that had great 1 run game records. (BTW, I agree with your point about randomness being a major part of winning close games, but skill tips the balance a significant amount of time as well- just not in 2004, 2007 and 2013 with the Sox.
  23. moonslav59
    Like Bill Walton?
  24. moonslav59
    By the time he's ready, JBJ will be a FA or re-signed.
  25. moonslav59
    You talking to me? I don't disagree with anything you said here.
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