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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. Good points. I'm not sure why the 2.3 cut-off, but I'll roll with it. I used fangraphs 2025 and 300+ PAs. 4 out of the 20 player sample size had an fWAR of 2.3 or more. 30-33 year olds: 39 out of 77 26-29: 39/101 22-25: 31/73 All way higher numbers and percentages. I'll do a deeper dive, later.
  2. Kind of a quiet winter, so far. Plenty of moves- just not many big ones... Sonny Gray & $10M for Fitts & Clarke Johan Oviedo, Tyler Samaniego & Adonys Guzman for J Garcia & Travieso Ryan Watson (Rule5) for Riemer & lost J Paez to Rule 5 selection Jake Bennett for Perales Tristan Gray for Guerrero Ronny Hernandez for Murphy Isaiah Jackson for Grissom Braiden Ward for Bernardino Luke Heyman for Hoppe
  3. I'm not trying to get one that they actually do, so keep on trying to figure out other posters' motivations. I did get the Cody Ross signing right way back in the day! LOL!
  4. Assuming these SP'ers will get some starts at the MLB level, we are still loaded up in the minors: Crochet, Gray, Bello Crawford, Oviedo, Sandoval Harrison, Dobbins, Tolle, Early _______________________ Uberstine, Drohan, Sandlin, Mullins, Bennett Holobetz, Rogers, Wehunt, Rivera, Dean Valera, Fajardo, Witherspoon, Phillips, Eyanson, Aita Tygart, Neely, Ehrlicher, J Bello, M Patton, L Finley D Brown, B Margan, Y Ruiz, M Bido, Y Chirino & more
  5. He did get to "dump" Contreras in my scenario.
  6. He would not pass through waivers. Maybe HOU has no want for DHam and might take Sogard, instead or nobody else. It's just conjecture. BTW, 2024-2025 3.6 bWAR 1.8 fWAR (31st among 2Bmen with 500+ PAs) Not bad for a sub.
  7. MLB.com projects the Sox rotation as 2nd best in MLB and the pen 5th best. https://www.mlb.com/news/red-sox-position-breakdown-as-of-december-2025 If the season started today, they have Ceddanne at 2B, Mayer at 3B and the rest as expected. C: 23rd ranked 1B: 17th 2B: T 14th SS: 27th 3B: 23rd (Pretty sad infield) LF: T6th CF: 8th RF: 7th (Pretty nice OF) DH 12th
  8. Not sure why he fascinates you so much, but HOU is giving us two IF'ers for 1 and it's a 2 for 2 forty man roster swap.
  9. How about K Campbell & DHam to HOU for Paredes & Brice Mathews?
  10. B Lowe & Mangum to PIT Mike Borrows to HOU Jacob Melton & A Brito to TBR
  11. To BOS: Paredes 12 To HOU: Rafaela 36, Hicks -18 ______________________ To BOS: Hunter Greene 82 To CIN: Mayer 55, Campbell 19 & Harrison 7 ____________________ To BOS: Contreras -14 To STL: Yoshida -26 & Casas 18
  12. To BOS: Lodolo 31, Donovan 33 & Contreras -18 To CIN: Rafaela 36 To StL: Crawford 22, Casas 18, Masa -18
  13. From what I can gather on BTV as a nonmember, this might work... To BOS: Donovan 33, Bubic 16 & Pasquantino 13 (+$4M from STL) To KCR: Duran 46 & Contreras -14 (+$4m from BOS) To STL: Hicks -18, Crawford 22 & Casas 18
  14. I think KMarte has 2-3 really good years in him and then 2-3 pretty good ones to end his contract. Just a guess. I think he is light years better than any remaining option for boosting the offense. He also fills a decade long hole at 2B- once and for all. I think Suarez gets 3 years minimum, and I'd rather give $65M/3 than than $48M/2, especially since he probably wont take 2 years. Getting both would mean we could trade Mayer for a really good pitcher (Ryan?) or play Suarez at 1B and mayer at 3B. We could keep Duran in the line-up. We could even go overboard and trade Rafaela for Lodolo. Crochet, Ryan, Lodolo, Gray, Bello 1. L Anthony CF 2. S KMarte 2B 3. L Duran LF 4. R Suarez 3B (1B maybe) 5. L Casas 1B/R Romy 1B 6. R Story SS 7. L Abreu RF 8. L Masa DH/R Romy DH 9. R Narvaez C
  15. I'm not sure why you are so low on K Marte. The guy is aging well, unlike Bregman and others. Bregman is almost 32: OPS+ 132 at age 28 122 at 29 116 at 30 128 at 31 (2/3 of a season) 121 OPS+ ages 29-31 ____________________ KMarte just turned 32 105 at 28 127 at 29 154 at 30 145 at age 31 (141 from 29-31) ____________________ Bichette 114 OPS+ last 3 years at ages 25-27 (-27 from KM) Alonso was 130 in his last 3 years (28-30) -11 Schwarber was 135 ages 30-32 (-6 from KM) ___________________ There is no better option available.
  16. So, Hicks for the fixed up Brasier?
  17. A third team would have to be involved to trade 4 SP'ers, but I get your point. I think an OF'er has to be part of the trade, and Rafaela is the best one to not hurt the offense. Campbell may need to rebuild value, and as a RHB might be worth waiting it out. Rafaela and 2 of those 4 pitchers might be enough for AZ to agree to. So.... Rafaela, Crawford & Harrison for K Marte Dobbins & Mullins for Yandy Diaz (RHB 1Bman) or the same offer plus Hicks (maybe sub Sandlin for Mullins) for Wi Contreras. Not as much as I want, but not bad.
  18. 126 OPS+ 2022-2024 (840 PAs is much larger than dalbec fleeting run of success.) 33 HRs per 650 PAs Marte 129 OPS+ 2022-2024 (141 OPS+ 2023-2025 w 29 HRs per 650) 27 Hrs per 650 Duran 123 OPS+ 2023-2025 (different sample era) 16 HRs per 650
  19. This is indisputable. Maybe Anthony passes him sooner than later. Maybe in a couple years he's #3 among the players currently in the Sox system. He's considerably better than Bregman and Bichette due to his power. He's younger than Suarez. He's more proven than Okamoto and Murkami. He's much better than Contreras, Donovan, B Lowe, Y Diaz and Vientos.
  20. It's pretty close, and I realize my opinion is based on a way too small sample size from 2025. To me, Early looked to have supreme confidence and a few different ways to get batters to swing and miss. Tolle looked more like a thrower than a pitcher. It's early (pun intended.) I do think Tolle has a higher upside. I want to keep both. In today's pitcher market, when you see a guy like Brad Keller get what he signed for, I think pitchers like Crawford, Harrison, Dobbins and maybe even Sandoval have some real high trade value. Teams that need pitching but can't even afford Brad Keller will be begging for one of those 4. We can even trade 2 of them! The second good thing going is that we have other desirable pitching prospects beyond Tolle & Early: Witherspoon, Phillips and Eyanson Bennett, Valera, Fajardo & Holobetz Sandlin, Drohan, Uberstine & mullins Delzine, Monegro, Aita & others need more time to build value. We can build some formidable packages with an OF'er and a couple pitchers, and not lose Tolle or Early.
  21. When prospects are called up, they rarely hit the ground running. There is a lag before top production with the good. The lack of farm infusion actually started under DD as Betts, Bogey, ERod, beni & JBJ were just getting into form. Devers first full season was 2018, and he was pretty much it, until Duran, Crawford & Houck started playing a lot in 2023-2024. The only other meaningful player was Dalbec, and he was up and down before being just down. (Whitlock was a Bloom guy.) The farm did better than expected and was not a complete bust, but key prospects were few and far between. That was certainly part of the reason for the team's decline.
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