moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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I will note for the record that being the American League's Passed Ball King for 2 years straight, including a year when you only half-time it at catcher and STILL pass more baseballs than you did in a full year of catching the previous year, is rather discouraging to say the least. An interesting tidbit: Jason Varitek also led the league in passed balls for 2 straight seasons, thanks in part to catching (or trying to) Wakefield's knuckler.
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No doubt. He picked some winners.
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Lost in all the noise is the fact that we'd been in a drafting slump under Cherington for years BEFORFE DD ever got here. Theo had not drafted well in his last few years, and I'm honestly not certain if we have any decent Cherington draft picks in system outside of maybe Devers (was JBJ a Cherington guy? Unsure. Ben drafted or signed as Int'l FAs: Beni, Devers, Johnson, Moncada, Kopech & Basabe (who helped get Sale), A Espinoza (who got us Pom), Chavis (our current top prospect), Guerra (part of Kimbrel trade) and D Hernandez (maybe the top sleeper in our farm). Farm building was not Ben's weakness. Top FA signings were.
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It works great for Pearce, since he may be lucky to get $16M/2 or $20M/3. I'm not sure we want $8M on the luxury tax budget for 2021, when we'll be pinching pennies everywhere to try and keep Betts.
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Pearce might view 2018 as the best he can do, and this is the time to max out on his biggest contract dream amount possible.
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I don't think Swihart's bat will ever be good enough to play the long side of a 1B platoon. Chavis might deserve a look, and if he doesn't work, then try to trade for next year's Steve Pearce.
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Voit will get a look, as will Byrd, but if Andujar doesn't improve his 3B skills, he might be the best bet to be the Yanks 1Bman of the future.
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Injuries and PED suspensions. Groome is the best of our prospects to get hurt. Chavis was suspended for PEDs. Casas & Flores are just 18 Mata is just 19 Dalbec & Darwinzon Hernandez showed some promise, but I'm not sure they will ever crack anyone's top 50 MLB prospect list. Feltman has been talked up by some. Houck and Chatham seem like longshots. We are going to need some major strides by some of these guys to move up in the rankings and have some hope for some help from the farm.
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Oh, I know why, My point was more directed at those that felt we'd rebuild the farm in a short time, even though doing so has gotten a lot more difficult for perennial winning, high-spending teams like the Sox. Last graduated top prospects: Devers Beni ERod Swihart Last traded top prospects (after start of 2017 season): Jalen Beeks (Eovaldi) Ty Buttrey (Kinsler) Shaun Anderson (Nunez) Not exactly on the level of Moncada, Kopech, Margot, Espinoza, Dubon, Basabe & others, but a pretty good haul in return, right?
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Can Sanchez learn how to play 1B?
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Add to that is the fact that we didn't just lose anyone to graduation. True, Devers is young and was in the minors not too long ago. Same with Beni, but many teams have a weak farm do to recent graduations- not us.
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We can afford Pearce, if we can find someone to take Moreland and pay his contract ($5.5M x 1). 2016-2018 vs RHP .789 Pearce (597 PAs) .755 Moreland (1248 PAs) vs LHPs .908 Pearce (314 PAs) .725 Moreland (290) Chavis could provide a platoon, if needed, or we could try to get JD to play 1B some. (Ockimey bats LH'd.)
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IDK, it was your point to defend. Clearly, Pearce was signed to platoon, but he did pretty good vs righties. That may have played into more playing time- not just injuries to Moreland.
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Do teams really promise a guy like Pearce he will be guaranteed a FT position? Now, that's not to say, he and his agent might look at team rosters and determine what place he should play more often, but this is likely his last big contract, so he is probably not looking for someone to assure him 150 starts, so he can put up a big year and get a bigger contract later. I'm not saying he doesn't want to play everyday, but players who are looking for that (contractually) are usually doing so to increase future contract value. They sign one year deals. Pearce is probably going to sign with the highest bidder, unless the numbers are close. If someone goes 3 years, we probably can't compete. I'd love to have him back, but even if we do re-sign him, it's not lock he keeps doing very well with us as he ages out.
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Hmmm.... Games started by Pearce with Boston: 21 vs RHPs 15 vs LHPs (not counting the playoffs)
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Top Prospect Count: 55+ 6 ATL 5 SDP 4 CWS 7 teams with none, including BOS 50+ 12 ATL 12 SDP 11 CWS 9 TBR 3 teams with none (BAL, BOS, SEA)
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Does anyone still think our farm will replenish itself by magic or something? I've heard for 2 years, we'd build it back up. It's not easy, these days. The system ain't what it used to be. Winning doesn't help. Limited international budgets don't help. We will need farm infusions starting in 2020 or 2021 at the latest. I can't see where that's coming from. I'm okay with the situation, because we won a ring by trading away a lot of highly ranked/rated prospects. DD got some top talent in most of the deals. I will say, I wasn't expecting a 29th ranking, especially since nobody great just graduated this year.
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I want Eovaldi back, too, but he's older than Sale and Porcello and will be aging more when they reach free agency. A 4 year deal for him may really bite us in 2021.
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We may not be able to bring Eovaldi, Kimbrel, Pearce and Kelly back, but we should have enough budget space to fill those roles with capable players- enough to make us a top 4 contender. 2020 will be more difficult, and 2021 looks almost impossible to me, unless Henry spends way more.
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For thirty plus years I used to say, "I'll take 10 last place finishes for just one ring!" I don't feel that way anymore. I admit; I'm spoiled. I really don't mind having a couple down years starting in 2020 or 2021... call it a cliff or whatever you want, but because of this ring, it will all be worth it. That being said, how about another one in 2019 before the semi-rebuild begins?
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The way Pearce hit righties last year and Moreland nosedived again, Pearce could/should get plenty of time vs righties next year.
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Our budget issue is more about 2021 than 2019. We can stay competitive through 2020, but having money on the books for 2021 could prevent us from keeping a key star. IMO, we really want to keep contracts at or below 2 years, except maybe for Eovaldi. If we don't keep Eovaldi, then we can probably give 3 years to Pearce and Kelly.
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If he'd take the Oriole offer, then why not offer him this... $14M x 2 with a $5M option for a 3rd year and a $2M buyout. He either gets $16M/2 or $19M/3 from us. The luxury tax hit is $8M for 2 years vs $7.5M.
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This team is really special. I can't help but feel Cora (and DD) was a big part of the clubhouse confidence and cohesiveness. I got choked up reading the article. What a great team! I'm hopeful we can keep it going, at least another year. I'm more inclined to want Eovaldi back after reading the article. (I wanted him before reading, but felt the years would be too long.)
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Where did I ever come close to saying I think the Pats won't win the Super Bowl? I just said, I enjoy watching them lose. I'm a Packer's fan.
