moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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Other cities drew more than the Celtics during those years, even though they lost more.
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Yes, it is marginal but more than just for a year or two. With Moreland being hobbled for two years in a row, Pearce is nice insurance. Splits vs RHPs: Year Pearce Moreland 2013 .749 .752 2014 .856 .692 2015 .765 .876 2016 .795 .700 2017 .767 .784 2018 .890 .780 Red= significant differential 2014-2018 vs RHPs .802 Pearce .774 Moreland (+28 -A wider spread than "marginal.") 2016-2018 .789 Pearce (587 PAs) .755 Moreland (1248) (+34 -More than just "marginal.) Pearce has not been below .765 vs RHPs for the last 5 years. Moreland has been below .701 in 2 of the last 5 years.
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No doubt. The late arrival of spring and summer play a big role in that, but in terms of watching baseball, the northeast weather is better suited for mid summer viewing outdoors. (And, watching football outside in November & December less welcoming.)
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This is what soxprospects has projected for 2021, assuming no additions and all free agents depart... http://soxprospects.com/future.htm C Vaz/Swihart 1B Chavis 2B Pedey/MHernandez 3B Devers SS Chatham/Lin LF JD/Matheny CF Beni RF Castillo DH Dalbec SP Price Eovaldi ERod DHernandez BMata Pen Feltman Barnes Brasier Lakins Houck Shawaryn BJohnson
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Pearce has actually hit RHPs better than Moreland, lately and could see more playing time this year. He can DH, when JD sits or plays the OF and might see some starts at 1B vs righties, too.
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Not "totally" dedicated, but the northeast is certainly more baseball friendly than the south, central or western USA. That has to play a role in the numbers game. FYI, the Celtics did not draw all that well during their dynasty. They only drew more than 9,000 fans once from 1957 to 1971. The Pirates couldn't even sell out their World Series games in 1971 and 1979. They are a football town, and even the Penguins almost outdraw the Pirates!
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It's a risk, for sure, but we did get Eovaldi for pretty cheap last year and Reed for cheap the year before. It seems cheaper than a FA would cost.
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Yes, I agree. Here are the most likely candidates to fill some holes that might develop as some players possibly depart: 1B: Chavis, Dalbec, Casas, Travis (Moreland/Pearce) 2B: Lin, Chatham, Chavis, M Hernandez (Pedey, Nunez, Holt) SS: Lin, Catham (Bogaerts) OF: Lin, G Hernandez, Brentz, Travis, Metheny (JBJ) We could also extend or re-sign Holt and have him play 1B or OF. SP: Johnson, Velazquez, Shawaryn, D Hernandez (Porcello/Sale)
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Just because it didn't work last year doesn't mean they will try to limit him more this year. They might, but they might not. If we have no major rotation injuries, we may slide Johnson or Velazquez in for a start or two, especially in April to give everyone an extra days rest. If we do that and yank Sale a little earlier each game, I can see him getting 170 easily. He got 158 last year while missing several starts all together.
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Northern Indiana has Chicago, Cleveland and Cincinnati to choose over Detroit. The South is football country. California is California. Atlanta should have all Georgia, parts of Florida and other surrounding states. Plus, they have TBS. I just don't think baseball is all that big in that area.
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Last year, our pen fWAR was 4.9, which placed 9th in MLB. So, you are saying this year our fWAR might be -4.1? Last year, the worst pens were -2.1 (MIA) and -2.2 (KC), while the 3rd worst was only -0.6 (NYM). Losing Kelly might be a wash. Losing Kimbrel will hurt, but not by 9 games. Relief Only PAs against lost over the winter: 285 Kelly (.662 OPS against in 2018) 247 Kimbrel (.565) 104 Pomeranz (.823) 74 Cuevas (.933) 64 CSmith (.744) 40 Scott (1.333) 35 Haley (.952) 12 Beeks (1.000) All we hear about is Kimbrel & Kelly, but losing the 320 PAs of the others is addition by subtraction, if these guys get more IP'd: 124 Brasier .482 265 Barnes .624 122 Wright .618 234 Velazquez .706 166 Johnson .723 167 Workman .705 260 Hembree .734 59 Walden .669 93 Poyner .770 We'd need better from this guy to make gains... 107 Thornburg .901
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I think they limit Sale's inning, like they did last year, even before the injury. 175-185 is probably what he will get with no time on the DL.
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Almost all of New Englanders are Sox fans. That adds to the fan base beyond the city and metropolitan area limits. There are also less transplant fans as there are in growing areas or areas where people go to retire (like Florida).
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It would be a huge boost, if Chatham could take over SS next year and do well enough to not be a net negative. If we can cover the loss of Moreland/Pearce with Chavis & Dalbec, we might be able to keep some other big names and not see a bad rebuilding stretch. Of course, the spending budget will have a lot to do with where we will be going forward.
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Pedey's PA total was the hardest to project. I left Swihart off the list as the word is we will keep just 2 catchers. If we trade or cut Leon, I might add 50 PAs to Vaz and give Swihart 190 PAs. On Sale, he still got 163 IP last year, counting the playoffs and had over 200 IP the three previous seasons. 180 might be low. I think these players were on the 60-day last year: Marco Hernandez Carson Smith Tyler Thornburg ? Dustin Pedroia Austin Maddox
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Yes, and they showed signs of being pretty competitive last year. If I was a Philly fan, I'd be excited about the next few years.
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We didn't really capitalize too much on our 3 last place finishes, except for the Beni draft pick in 2015. One could argue we did as good or better drafting after the 2013 championship season saw us picking 26th. Here are the notable picks those 4 years: 2013 (after our last place finish in 2012) 7- Trey Ball 45- Teddy Stankiewicz 81- Jon Denny 2014 (after winning it all) 26- Michael Chavis 33- Michael Kopech (Comp pick for Ellsbury) 67- Sam Travis (164- Ockimey/404- C. Shepherd) 2015 (after a last place season) 7- Andrew Benintendi 81- Austin Rei (171- T Lakins/411- Poyner) 2016 (after a last place finish) 12- Jay Groome 51- CJ Chatham 88- Shaun Anderson 118- Bobby Dalbec (148- Shawaryn)
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MLBTR... Ryan Brasier has begun throwing from 90 feet, Red Sox manager Alex Cora told MassLive.com’s Christopher Smith and other reporters, as Brasier continues to recover from a toe infection. The issue has slowed Brasier’s spring work, though the right-hander and potential closer candidate is expected to be ready for Opening Day.
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He's making a case in 1 week of early spring training playing against AA and AAA players? (I'm glad he's looking good, but it's way too early to know anything.)
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So, we should let the cliff happen, ride it out for a while and then enter a new winning phase?
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Yes, there are cases where teams make the playoffs and still don't sell out the playoff games.
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That's deceiving. The Sox did not "tank," and the highest draft picks they have gotten are... 7th in 2013 7th in 2015 12th in 2016 The Astros: 8th in 2010 11th in 2011 (Springer) 1st in 2012 (Correa) 1st in 2013 (Appel) 1st in 2014 (Aiken) 2nd in 2015 (Bregman) 5th in 2016 (Tucker) It's apples to oranges.
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Only 15 players had more than 75 PAs and 15 players had more than 30 IP. Two of the 15 batters were HRam (195 PAs) and Kinsler (143). One was Swihart (207). Three of the pitchers were: 74 IP Pom 6.08 66 IP Kelly 4.39 62 IP Kimbrel 2.74 Here's my guess on how the 2019 team 6400 or so PAs might be divided up: 680 Betts 680 Beni 640 JD 640 Bogey 580 JBJ 540 Devers 350 Moreland 350 Pedey 350 Nunez 350 Holt 350 Vaz 300 Pearce 240 Leon 140 Chavis 80 Lin 50 Centeno 80 Travis & others Here's how the 1450 or so IP might be split up: 190 Porcello 180 Sale 180 Price 160 ERod 160 Eovaldi 70 Johnson 70 Velazquez 65 Barnes 60 Brasier 60 Hembree 50 Wright 40 Thornburg 40 Workman 75 Poyner and others
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No. I'm not for cutting all PED users, but it doesn't mean I have to gush over them. Just because he used PEDs doesn't mean he had or has no talent or couldn't have made it to the bigs without using them, but I'm never going to know. It's just something I can't accept with open arms. I'm fine, if others do. Like I said, I'll root for the guy, if he makes the team, but he'll never be my favorite player or close to it.
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I thought Chavis on the team by the All Star Game was hilarious with the insinuation it would be to replace Devers (not Moreland or Pearce or Pedey or Nunez...).
