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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    That's a bit deceiving. He had just 99.1 IP over his first 18 starts, last year, and he has 102.2 after 18 starts this year. That's 10 more outs over 18 starts, which is nice, but it doesn't make up for this... I love seeing ERod go deeper, but his ERA is 0.63 higher, and his WHIP has gone up 0.08. The team was 15-3 in his first 18 starts last year, and his ERA was 3.62. (It went to 3.34 after his 20th game.) The team is 13-5 in his starts, this year...still really good! Those 10 outs make a difference on a struggling pen but so do the two more ER's allowed over those 3.1 more IP.
  2. moonslav59
    Bumgarner is still somewhat in his prime. He turns 30 soon. He does have some concerns. He's been declining for 3+ years: WHIP 1.01 (2015) 1.03 1.09 1.24 1.20 This year ERA+ 146 (2016) 128 118 105 This year His K rate of 9.3 s still above his career 8.8. K/BB is 4.79 (career 4.17) He's a "gamer" for sure, but I doubt we have the goods to get him, and even if we did, it might take out top 3-4 prospects to get him, and our farm would be less than zero. I wouldn't do it for a 2 month rental.
  3. moonslav59
    I'd like to see how tough each schedule is after taking away the head-to-head games. For example, the Yanks may have an "easier schedule" because they play the Sox schedule instead of us playing the Yanks. It's an equally tough game for both teams, IMO. If you count those games as even, then maybe that changes things.
  4. moonslav59
    It's hard to like Wright, but the guy has had some very nice and long stretches of pitching very well, unlike many of the pitchers on our roster.
  5. moonslav59
    No love for Workman? (I like Hembree more than Brewer.)
  6. moonslav59
    Well, if that is the going rate for Keuchel, then Porcello will probably get something close to that number/years offer. I'd never offer close to that, so I guess I'm saying I'd prefer to say, "Thank you very much. You did very well in a Sox uniform. Good luck with your future plans elsewhere."
  7. moonslav59
    Prices have come down on non elite SP'ers: $15M x 2 Charlie Morton $13M x 1 Dallas Keuchel $10M x 3 Lance Lynn $9.5M x 2 A. Sanchez $7.8M x 2 G Richardson $11M x 1 M Harvey $9M x 1 T Cahill Okay, maybe $20M/2 is a bit insulting, but when I look at the list above, they all look like overpays, except for maybe Morton, and he turns 36 this November!
  8. moonslav59
    Look what happened to Keuchel. I'm just not sure what number would be "insulting" anymore.
  9. moonslav59
    I think this is DD & Cora's plan. I'm not sure it's enough, and I have my doubts about Eovaldi's effectiveness coming off a serious injury and being thrown into a somewhat unfamiliar role. I'd rather see us get a solid closer. Wil Smith may cost too much, but someone reliable but maybe not spectacular. ________ (New closer) Workman (8th/9th) Eovaldi (7-8-9 - 1- 2 inning guy) Wright (7-8-9 - 1- 2 inning guy) Barnes (7-8- one inning) Hembree (7-8- one inning) Braiser (5-6-7- one inning) Taylor (5-6-7- one inning) Walden AAA Johnson/Velazquez 5th starter or AAA (Velazquez)/Traded (Johnson)
  10. moonslav59
    Because they are worried, they are pampering him. There should be no issues with this strategy, IMO.
  11. moonslav59
    Rick has been a bit up and down over the last 5-6 years, but if you take out his Cy Young season, his fWAR has been between 1.7 and 3.0 every season. He's actually one of the most consistent performers in all of baseball, by seasons. He's on pace for about a 2.3 WAR, this year. This is largely driven by maxing out IP's almost every year. fWAR loves IP'd. His issue this year is a Dr. Jekyl & Mr. Hide syndrome. He's been about as inconsistent as he's probably ever been. 11.12 ERA his first 3 games 2.45 his next 4 games 4.62 the next 6 games 1.32 the next 2 games 12.75 his last 3 games Or, breaking it down another way: 11.12 his first 3 games, 12.75 his last 3 games and 3.30 the 12 games in between. When you look at from the second perspective, it looks like he's been fine for 12 games and has just had two really bad 3 game stretches. It give you hope he can have 12 game stretches of better than decent pitching, but it just doesn't feel that way right now, while he's in the midst of a horrible 3 game stretch.
  12. moonslav59
    I'm fine with the idea of pampering our SP'ers earlier in the season, so they can be fresher and stronger when you need them most, which is usually around now or a bit later in the season. Considering our place in the standings, I'd think now is the time to unleash our starters, especially when we play a contender by allowing them to go another inning deeper than we have been doing. This could also take a lot of pressure off our overused and struggling-to-stay-above-water pen. (I trust Sox management to know Price's limits.)
  13. moonslav59
    BR has 74 IP as a starter and 2 IP as a RP'erfor German. Fangraphs is always messed up in this area.
  14. moonslav59
    In a sense, we also added Hembree to our more recently troubled pen. Maybe they do think Eovaldi, Wright and Hembree is all the pen needs and they'll focus all their resources on a 5th starter. Could happen. If it were me, I'd stick with Velazquez/Johnson as my #5, trade for a solid closer, and use Eovaldi like the Andrew Miller of old. Having Eovaldi and Wright able to go 2 IP, if needed, would take an enormous strain off the rest of the pen and may allow guys like Workman, Hembree, Barnes and Brasier to thrive in less high leverage situations while being used less often.
  15. moonslav59
    It may not be all that objective, but they have been pretty good with their rankings when separating prospects by value. Also, the bias for Sox players in general should not sway them to give Dalbec the Defensive Player of the Year Award, if he wasn't at least a good defender among a system possible lacking one great defender. Their scouting reports often mention weak areas or give coded messages like "this player will likely be moved to 1B."
  16. moonslav59
    It's an insult only if some other GM offers him $15M or more a year, which they might. Probably the best way to handle Porcello, without insulting him, is to offer him a QO, but I'm not sure I'd want him back at close to $19M/1, since I'm thinking my to offer is $20M/2.
  17. moonslav59
    These games will be very significant. Each game against a contender amounts to a two game swing. If I had to guess, and I haven't been right all that much at this, I'm thinking we got at least 6-5. I guess we could go 5-6 or even 4-7 and win just about every other game and still be "in it," but beating our competition is the best way to gain vital ground. Another way to look at it is that we need to hammer the Rays and not lose ground to the Rays when we play the Yanks. 5 of the 14 games you mention come after the trade deadline. Here is alook at the games played before the deadline: BOS: 3 v LAD 4 v TOR 3@ BAL 3@ TBR 4 v NYY 2 v TBR TBR 4@ BAL 4@ NYY 3v CWS 3v BOS 2@ TOR 2@ BOS CLE 3v MN 4v DET 3v KC 3@ TOR 4@ KC 2v HOU NYY 3v TOR 4v TBR 3v COL 3@ MN 4@ BOS 2v AZ It won't be easy, but I think we can gain a lot of ground on the Yanks and TBR, if we can keep playing well.
  18. moonslav59
    I'm not saying many people saw the exact path Kyrie was taking, but I remember many questioning his choices and attitude while with the Cavs. As a Bucks fan, I remember thinking, I'm glad we didn't trade for him when the trade was announced. He wasn't a "team player" with the Cavs. It's not "hindsight."
  19. moonslav59
    Complete confidence in the greatest pen the Sox have ever had!
  20. moonslav59
    It seems like Price is on a 100 pitch count, and others around 110-115. I don't think anyone has given a reason for the kid gloves with Price.
  21. moonslav59
    He may be in the mix, but at this point, I wouldn't count on him to fill any meaningful role next year. (I may feel much differently, if he keeps doing well the rest of the way.
  22. moonslav59
    My guess is we roll the dice at 1B and 2B with in system options. 1B: Chavis, Dalbec or maybe a surprise from Ockimey. 2B: Chavis, Hernandez, Lin, Chatham (maybe Holt comes back) All our available financial resources (the number depends on which tax threshold we decide to stay under) should be spent on pitching, pitching and pitching.
  23. moonslav59
    I'm way far away from your suggested offer, and what some GM will likely off him. I might offer $18M/2 with an $8M option 3rd year and a $2M buyout, so essentially $20M/2 tops.
  24. moonslav59
    Chances are we can only afford one solid acquisition or two decent ones. I'd go closer and set-up, unless Eovaldi is looking strong by the deadline.
  25. moonslav59
    I like the idea, too, but if he's healthy next spring, I may plan to have him as the 4th starter. We can't afford to replace Porcello with a cheap FA.
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