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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. moonslav59
    If Bloom can do what he did in TB with the money saved, and we get some key pieces by trading Betts (and maybe others), and then we bring Betts back, the rebuild might just be one year!
  2. moonslav59
    If we plan on losing JBJ and one or more from Price, Eovaldi and Betts, then we won't have to worry about staying under the luxury tax line. Anything we can get for JD, even by pitching in $10M might still be better than him opting out. Everyone says it all starts with JD, which in terms of time, it does, but the plans for other players may be more important and may effect what we do with JD, if he doesn't opt out. The no QO idea looks good. We only get a pick after the 4th round anyway.
  3. moonslav59
    You guys are making the same mistakes we did. WaAAAAAYYYYYY Tooooooo Much for a Closer!
  4. moonslav59
    Stanton's views on who he might want to play for might have changed. He may also have realized he hates it in NY. (I have no evidence this is true, but never say never.)
  5. moonslav59
    Imagine this team with no Betts, JD, Price, Eovaldi & JBJ. That's a lot of money freed up to spend elsewhere. Maybe some could be used to bring Betts back and still have what we got by trading him.
  6. moonslav59
    Is that sarcasm?
  7. moonslav59
    "Earth to notin" = calling an opinion (not the person) "idiotic."
  8. moonslav59
    That alone, makes it worth it. His money dropping off may help us keep or bring back Betts.
  9. moonslav59
    True, but Melancon became a damn good pitcher for a while, afterwards.
  10. moonslav59
    Yes, that was one of his first moves. My bad.
  11. moonslav59
    Better than Eovaldi & Price, but the main thing is the AVV savings is $7M in 2020, but isn't it much less year 2 & 3?
  12. moonslav59
    Does anybody remember who the poster was that swore up and down we'd regret it, if Price opted out?
  13. moonslav59
    Lets do both in one heartbeat!
  14. moonslav59
    No, but using the money to upgrade the rotation and pen might outweigh the loss at DH. If JD ends up declining quickly or is on the DL a lot, then seeing him go might end up working out for us. It's a tough call. Certainly, our line up is much better with a healthy, non declining JD in it.
  15. moonslav59
    Stephen Fife for Bedard.
  16. moonslav59
    UZR/150 from 2017-2019 CF: 9.5 Billy Hamilton 9.2 Jarrod Dyson 7.6 Juan Lagares 6.9 Keon Broxton 6.1 Leonys Martin 4.1 JBJ -1.5 Starling Marte -16.5Austin Jackson (33, N/A)
  17. moonslav59
    I think we go "stopgap." I hope we go defensive stopgap. Here are the FA Center fielders: Starling Marte (31 years old, 3.0 WAR) -- $11.5 million club option for 2020 ($2 million buyout) Jarrod Dyson (35, 1.3) Billy Hamilton (29, 0.4) -- $7.5 million mutual option for 2020 ($1 million buyout) Carlos Gómez (34, -0.1) Mason Williams (28, -0.1) Leonys Martin (32, -0.6) Keon Broxton (30, -0.8) Juan Lagares (31, -0.8) Austin Jackson (33, N/A)
  18. moonslav59
    I knew I missed a few.
  19. moonslav59
    Paying JD more than he's already owed by the Sox is a huge gamble. He's getting older. He's had back issues. He's pretty much just a DH, now, and playing him in the OF risks injury. He will not likely make more than $23.75M a year on any new deal, but the $2.5M buyout makes it so he only needs to make $21.25M to break even for 2020 only. There is no buyout, if he opts out after 2020, and his salary dips to $19.375 those 2 last years. It may make sense to opt out after 2020, but a bad injury could be a risk he does not want to take. So, he's owed $63.25M/3, assuming he stays for all 3 years. Is it worth it to him to sign for $70-75M/4? That's basically adding $7-12M for one more year. Maybe, the Sox could be the one offering the most for a 4 or 5 year deal. I'm not sure anyone offers him $80M/4 or $90M/5. If we got him back for $72M/4, the AVV would be reduced from $22M to $18M. $76M/4 would be $19M, and so on... I'm not sure saving that much on the AVV and luxury tax budget is something the new Sox management is even considering.
  20. moonslav59
    Most arbs underpay players as compared to FA market salary, but every now and then, an example like JBJ's comes up. The 4th arb year is part of the inflated value. Most final arbs are at year 3.
  21. moonslav59
    A lot of his signings in his last 4 years were questionable, at best. Carl Crawford Bobby Jenks Adrian Beltre John Lackey Mike Cameron Marco Scutaro Johns Smoltz Takashi Saito Brad Penny Rocco Baldelli Matt Clemente Re-signed Mike Lowell (3 yrs) Re-signed Curt Schilling (1 yr) Plus, these trades (some were good): Reddick for Bailey Marwin Gonzalez for Marco Duarte Rizzo for AGon Dustin Richardson for Andrew Miller Scrubs for Salty Kotchman for Bill Hall Masterson for VMart Adam LaRoche for Casey Kotchman Coco Crisp for Ramon Ramirez Manny for Jason Bay
  22. moonslav59
    If we trade/non tender/opt out JBJ, Betts & JD, there's plenty of budget space for a guy like Holt.
  23. moonslav59
    Speaking of Theo, if you compare his first 4 years vs his last 4 years, you might be shocked by the disparities.
  24. moonslav59
    If JD opts out, we have no cost counting towards the 2020 luxury tax budget. If he does not opt out, and we trade him, we may pay part of his salary. That would count.
  25. moonslav59
    I'm fine with what all our last 3 GMs did, even 4 counting Dan D setting up Theo well. They all made mistakes, but what GM never has? I'm feeling better about our future with the moves we've made in management. Let's let this winter play out. I think we may be surprised how quickly the rebuild can happen. Maybe I'm wearing rose-colored glasses, but I'm pretty certain we're better off now than had we kept DD around. (And, that's not meant to be a slam on DD. He's just not the guy we need for a rebuild.)
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