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moonslav59

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Everything posted by moonslav59

  1. His AVV is an extremely low $3.15M x 4 years! These are his bonus targets: annual roster bonus: $150,000 for making Opening Day roster $6.5M annually in performance bonuses based on games started: $1M each 15, 20 GS. $1.5M each for 25, 30, 32 GS $3.5M annually in performance bonuses based on innings pitched: $250,000 each for 90, 100, 110, 120, 130, 140, 150, 160, 170, 180, 190 IP. $750,000 200 I He could maybe make $4-7M more a year. We'd still be way below the tax line. He's a steal, budget-wise, but not really a workhorse type.
  2. The trade value site has Price listed at a -55.3 value. If you subtract that from the $96M he is owed, his actual value is about $41M. Divide that by 3 and he's worth about $13.6M a year. That's about right between what I think he's worth and what the Dodgers end up paying him. (Not that this site is accurate.)
  3. Why don't we just trade Betts, Price & $48M for Verdugo and Madea? We need a 5th starter. His deal is cheap.
  4. No. I'm saying Price was forced on the Dodgers, so they could get Betts. They would not trade Maeda and his cheap contract for Price at $15M x 3 years. They only did it to get Betts. I'm not saying my projection of what Price is worth is correct, since the FA market is ultimately set by what one GM is willing to pay. IMO, Price is worth about $10-12M a year x 3 years. I'm not sure I'd give even that for him, at his age and with his "miracle arm" hanging by a thread. Maybe $15M x 3 is the going rate, and the Dodgers looked to break even, budgetwise. Word was we'd get Verdugo plus prospects for Betts alone. We forced Price on them. Yes, we paid $16M x 3 to get them to take him, but we apparently went from several prospects added to just the one from MN. It's my take, but I truly believe LA would rather have given us Verdugo & Maeda for Betts than Verdugo & Maeda for Betts, Price $48M.
  5. It has to. They'll work something out.
  6. I can't see how anyone would be for paying Price $15M a year x 3 years, if he was a FA right now. That's essentially what he is costing LA, and I'm pretty sure, they'd rather have Maeda and his contract over Price and his minus $16M a year.
  7. Taking Myers might not be as bad as giving $48M to the Dodgers, but since we just signed Moreland, we wouldn't really use Myers much. Myers's value on the Trave Value site is-47.4- almost the exact same as the money we are paying LA. The problem is, the Padres don't want to give up prospects. I played around on the site and came up with this: Betts & Price (+22M) for Myers, Lucchesi (doubt they'd give us him), Hedges, Naylor and Margot SD would not do this trade.
  8. If Graterol is damaged goods, I don't want him, but it's interesting to see how ML Trade Values rates his value vs some of our young pitchers: 14.3 Graterol 12.4 Mata 10.6 D Hernandez 4.5 Ward 3.8 Song 3.7 Groome 2.6 Houck 1.1 Chih-Jung
  9. The MLB Trade Simulator is not some be-all end-all site, but it's interesting to note their take on this trade. (Assuming it goes through.) The Sox end up +18.6. (Betts + $48M + Price= 43.4 and Verdugo + Graterol= 62.0) The Dodgers end up -18.1. Betts+ Price+$48M= +43.4, but Verdugo + Maeda is giving up 61.5.) The Twins end up -0.5 (Graterol is valued slightly higher than Maeda.)
  10. Yes, I posted this as a basis of where we are at now. I expect some additions.
  11. They both are to blame, but DD is the one who presented the idea to Henry. DD has a history of leaving franchises in poor financial condition upon being shown the door.
  12. Need a starter? https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2020/02/4-interesting-buy-low-starters.html
  13. Could be the guy.
  14. We're $21M under. Castillo's AVV is $10.3M. It depends on how much we might want to add. We could also wait until mid season to decide. We'd know, if we want to add other salaries by then, and Castillo's money would be lessened by prorating.
  15. To me, and I'm only speculating, these players may be at peak trade value right now: Workman (I have always liked this guy, but he has one year left and had a career year in 2019.) Walden (He keeps doing well without really having great stuff.) Chavis (Had 2-3 great weeks followed by sun .700 the rest of the year, although he kept getting key hits and rbis) Duran (Had an incredible BAbip, and I'm not sure he can continue that, despite his great speed.) ??? Barnes (His stock fell, last year, so he's not really at his peak, but he may not return to 2018 levels ever again. He has 2 years left.) JD & Eovaldi may be deadline trade material. I would not trade Sale. He's a fierce competitor and still has tremendous upside even if he has lost velocity for good.
  16. They will also replenish the farm by moving Pederson.
  17. I almost put him there, but I like starting with a lefty, since our pen is so lop-sided righty.
  18. I think the Dodger got hosed. Their only hope is that Price rebounds and Betts re-signs with them at a reasonable cost.
  19. Had we paid Betts $400M/10, many here would be ape s***. With the tax, we'd be paying him $50+M a year. The deal had to be made.
  20. No, we don't know, and some comments have come out about the Padres failed efforts. Maybe someday we'll know more.
  21. If we don't add any big salaries, why not give Castillo a shot?
  22. Bloom is the main reason I still have optimism for a quick turn around.
  23. Assuming no more acquisitions and total good health (except Pedey), here's my projected opening day 26 man roster: 4 SP: Sale, ERod, Eovaldi, Perez 1 Opener: D Hernandez 8 RP: Workman, Barnes, Taylor, Walden, Graterol, Hembree, Brice, Brasier 2 C: Vazquez, Plawecki 1 1B: Moreland 2 2B: Peraza, Chavis 1 3B: Devers 1 SS: Bogaerts 2 IF: Lin, Arauz (Rule 5) 1 LF: Benintendi 1 CF: Bradley 1 RF: Verdugo 1 DH: Martinez Should see ML time at some point: P: Velazquez, Brewer, Osich, Poyner, Shawaryn, Hart, Houck (Johnson not on 40) IF: Dalbec, M Hernandez, Chatham OF: Longhi, Sturgeon(Castillo?)
  24. Another thing is how well Bloom played the Padre interest to put some fear into LA.
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