moonslav59
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Everything posted by moonslav59
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With so many CF options out there, other than Beni, I fail to see how that could end up being the best choice.
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Agreed on all points. I don't see LF as an area we need to prioritize, at this point, and if it is a problem during a playoff-contending run in 2021, then finding a LF'er or platoon LF'er mid season is usually not all that hard or expensive. Pitching is clearly our #1 need. It's number 2 and 3 as well, but CF (or RF with Verdugo moving to CF) is, by far, our biggest non-pitching need area.
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Never thought of that, but it's a good point. I admire Ellsbury going "all out" on that play, but he's the general and has to make the call. -
To me, the unique configuration of Fenway's CF, and the need for a stronger-than-normal arm in CF (and RF) make moving Beni to CF very undesirable. On platooning him. I was calling for that before his offensive decline. Even his best season (2018) showed the need to think about a platoon: vs RHP: .877 vs LHP: .694 (not God-awful, but still the best he ever had, other than what might be seen as a fluke in 2019) 2016: .984 v .429 2017: .813 v .622 2019: .764 v .796 Career: .821 v .691 Now, people have pointed out that Yaz had a career OPS vs LHPs of .692, but he was an amazing defender. He also hit lefties much better earlier in his career, so maybe the platoon idea might have made some sense later in his career, but with a HOF'er, it's a tough choice for a manager to make without making waves. (Also, it's not like the Sox had many better options vs LHPs back in the 60's and 70's.)
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I'm terrible with dates. Now that you mention it, last year was very slow at this time, too. 2018? That's way too long ago for me to remember! (lol)
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He's a great defender who followed all the right procedures for an IF'er. He was a solidly built player and was likely to "leave a mark" on anyone colliding with him. He played "all out," and I admire that style, despite the dangers it may involve for players not following procedures taught to them in as far back as Little League,
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Your point is well taken, but if two players are running hard in the same direction, it is the OF'ers responsibility to decide to call for the ball and try to make the catch or decide to veer off and let the IF'er try and make the play. My point is that so many people blame Beltre for that play, and he did exactly what he is supposed to do -- run hard after a ball over his head until he hears someone call him off. Is see his culpability as 0%. The play is in front of Ellsbury. It's up to him to make the decision- write or wrong and either yell, "I got it!" or avoid a collision. I blame Ellsbury, and it's not the only time he did something like this. (I seem to recall he almost had a collision with the SS, in that same game.)
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I'd rather trade Beni, despite his stock being at an all time low, than move him to CF. I'd rather add a RF'er and move Verdugo to CF than Beni. I'd rather sign a .600 OPS CF'er who plays great D than move Beni to CF. Are you seeing a pattern in my opinions?
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Very true, but he is guy who steals bases at an over 30 per 600 PA rate.
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The career .326 OBP doesn't help, but he's never been given more than 440 PAs in any season. His 162 game average is 31 SBs. His OBP the last 3 years has dipped to .317 (BA .236), but he has averaged 30+ SB's per 600 PAs over this time period. His career UZR/150 in CF is just +1.5. With his speed, you'd expect better. If we decided to platoon him (.717 v LHP and .640 v RHP), you kind of lose the SB advantage as he steals less bases vs lefties.
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I agree on Beltre, though. The guy was a keeper! The fact that Youkilis, despite having a good 2011 season, fell off a cliff shortly after Beltre left made his departure even worse. 2010: .975 2011: .833 2012: .692 (traded)
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What time window are the most moves expected to happen? It seems like a slow start to the off season.
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A few recent articles from soxprospects.com: http://news.soxprospects.com/2020/12/scout-chatter-gilberto-jimenez-brainer.html http://news.soxprospects.com/2020/12/minor-notes-40-man-roster-takes-shape.html http://news.soxprospects.com/2020/12/fallwinter-league-roundup-reyes-keeps.html
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Probably true, but the Rays did non tender Dickerson after 27 HRs (T23rd) in 2017 then Cron after 30 Hrs in 2018 (T12th in AL). Duvall is a legitimate HR hitter, but with the shortened season, these kinds of statements need an asterisk.
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He has another "main problem:" defense. Unless we plan on trading Beni and putting Polanco in LF, I'd rather have Kiermaier and Inciarte. So, we'd still need a CF'er. Polanco fills no current need area.
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I like Kiermaier much better than Polanco, though. Since TB might be looking at their window as being open now, adding Vaz while cutting salary has to interest them. Just not for Snell. They may not be too worried about helping the Sox become a top contender during their window period. They can replace Kiermaier from within their own system, seemlessly. I'm thinking Kiermaier, Chirinos & catching prospect Hernandez for Vaz. I like Taillon as a target, too, and maybe we can do both deals, although adding Polanco & Kiermayer pretty much necessitates trading Beni or using an expensive platoon somewhere. Then, where do we get a catcher?
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This trade was accepted: Chavis, Chatham, Groome & Bello to KC for Duffy (1 yr at $15.5M but $13M on tax), Barlow (4 yrs of control), Lee (OF prospect) and Gallagher (4 yrs back up catcher- maybe trade Vaz, later?)
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According to badeballtradevalues.com, these are the SP'ers with the worst negative value: (Some are not on the trading block. Some are very good pitchers who are owed a lot of money.) -112 Strasburg -59 Cole -50 Bumgarner -45 Corbin -33 Verlander -28 Mikolas -21 Cueto -17 Greinke -18 Sale -12 Cobb -11 Eovaldi -11 Price -10 Roark -9 Duffy -8 Lyles & Keuchel -4 Miley -3 Kikuchi, Gibson & Ryu RH RP'er -15 Jansen -13 Familia -11 Kimbrell & Kelly -6 Martinez -5 Ottavino & Harris LH RP'er -9 Miller & Britton -8 Smith -4 Chapman & Pomeranz
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That one seems rather extreme, to me, too. If Bloom has some positive, inside info on Bumgarner we don't know about, it's way too risky and costly.
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Agreed. I guess the sweetner added to the deal is supposed to make up for that. NOT!
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The other time in the last 10 years I got upset was when they didn't keep Adrian Beltre. Yes he knocked Jacoby Ellsbury around, but that was an accident Seriously, what a fantastic third baseman. He should have been locked up in a long term deal. Watch the video. Ellsbury never called off Beltre. His mouth never moved. A 3Bman is supposed to run hard after every pop up, until he is called off. It was no accident. It was gross negligence on Ellsbury's part.
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True, but Moncada was much higher ranked than Casas. Kopech higher than Houck. Verdugo or Downs are higher than Basabe.
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We need 3 Snells and probably more. We are not even close to being in the position to make a deal like this, unless Henry and Bloom plan on a spending frenzy, this winter. If we sign Bauer, Hand a good CF'er and 2-3 more helpful pieces, then maybe we might think a deal like this makes us a top contender.
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3 years of control at just $10M/yr on the lux tax is a huge plus, but I just don't see us being in a position to trade prospects for that one last big piece. That's the time you make deals like this.
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I'm not a big believer in the whole "can't pitch under pressure," but I do think some players may have that problem. It could also be that Gray was coming off an injury and had to take time to return to form or "re-invent himself." I'm not for giving what the site requires for Gray. I think there are better deals like this, out there. I think getting Taillon would be a good start. I don't want Polanco, but we could DFA him and the deal would still be a good one.
